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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. the level of duress teams are under does vary. If a team is in a position where they know their window is closing the relatively value of those two years maybe a lot higher than for a team that has confidence it still has a lot of pieces in its system to keep adding. As long as owners are rich guys with opinions there is always a possibility one wants what you have enough to make it worth your while. No guarantee, but you should always keep the antenna up.
  2. True, The Tigers could offer him 7@35M starting this season, which has (at 3%/yr discount) an NPV of $218M. If he got 8 yrs at $35M two years from now the NPV is $230M. $12M is actually a pretty small insurance premium to pay against a pitching injury in 2 seasons. Problem is, Boras doesn't look at it that way.
  3. Indeed, there is very little a team can do with a player committed to going to FA other than make the best deal they can to recover value or ride it out and take the comp pick when it comes. Players and agents will always say the right things so the fans don't start booing the player whose made it clear to team management they are committed to going FA, but none of it means squat. It's just one more thing management has to deal with. If you want to win long term, you have to do what you judge will minimize the impact of player decisions you can't control.
  4. for good or ill, no developed country in the world today will deliberately operate their central banking system to produce deflation. It just isn't going to happen, because every central banker in the world today believes deflation is far more dangerous to an economy than any impact of any typical inflation. Again, a very plain simple fact of which most Americans are ignorant because; politicians find it more convenient to lie and obfuscate than just explain/admit the facts, and the (vast majority of the) media is economically illiterate.
  5. that's great. let see what he actually does. Trump's typical MO is talk up a real problem and then do something that makes it worse.
  6. Boras is really pushing the Detroit angle for Bregman and the USA Today story by Nightengale reprinted in the Freep is enough for good laugh - did you know Detroit has the inside track on Bregman because he went to school with the Tiger's bullpen catcher? Who knew?
  7. Yeah - it's just random crap - you get clusters sometimes. I remember one year not too long ago UM was supposed to have a great D and then they suffered something like 5 injuries all at LB and that was that - every TE in the league had a field day.
  8. I still don't get how the Leafs have a better record when Matthews is hurt. Maybe if you break down the schedule of who they played there is some answer to it, but when Daniels quoted those numbers the other night they offered no theories.
  9. they can try, but it's hard to do. No matter what they did the Soviets couldn't produce students that didn't grow up and understand the system was a crock. China is learning the same lesson. Sure, you can give up serious teaching altogether and just run a repressive regime that crushes everything the way Putin does now, but in that case your home schoolers are going to be sent to the gulag as well.
  10. That's not a Lions thing though. Injuries are a big factor in the final success level of every NFL team and there is not a whole lot anyone can do about it. No matter how good your team and FO are, you still need some luck on the health front to get through an NFL season in any kind of shape compared to where you started it. I think Holmes recognizes this better than any previous Lion's management and he has put together more depth than any Lion's regime in my memory, but no matter what you do you can't guarantee it will be enough.
  11. Almost any policy, but in particular to the idea that the fact that there may be some cases where home schooling is absolutely a better solution doesn't mean that on a national level the shared experience of the public school is still not going to provide a better net social outcome for any country that wants have some cohesive national shared experience, and cultural references, so better public schools and attendance there-in is what I would argue is always the better policy to government to encourage. But never to the point where you make other options impossible because those exceptions will always exist.
  12. IDK, Chas, you don't think you may getting out on a limb there do you?
  13. Most likey there is as much variation in management styles for baseball managers as for any other kind. Some are probably delegators to their coaches, some are probably more hands on, some are buddies with their players, some make sure to retain distance, etc.... Which reminds me of my all time favorite "Frank and Ernest" cartoon panel (lost in an office move...😢). The boss is behind the desk, the employee is standing in front - the quote was "Remember Smithers, my door is always open... So don't wander in here by mistake."
  14. I will grant anyone's special cases all day long, but anecdotes and corner cases usually don't help make good social policy arguments - in a world of 7 billion people there are *always* cases where the best overall solution is the wrong answer in the particular case. Which is why real world policy implementations always need escape valves, which is a whole set of problems of its own.
  15. Possible. it is a fact he went to lunch with Correa - but beyond the fact is speculation. For all we know it could as easily have been a Correa who wasn't getting offers testing the waters with Hinch. Bottom line is Correa is not here, and I wouldn't argue that Minny spent more than the Tigers could have to land him.
  16. To me the history of the episode argues that is very unilkely Hinch would want anyone from that team/history showing up at his doorstep today, let alone one of the supposed ring leaders, and I see no way Harris would not respect that. To me that is a stronger determining factor for Bregman any analysis of whether he is a fit or will be a declining asset.
  17. It wouldn't be a panacea but even a right to match deals for the home team would at least go part of the way.
  18. Close on #1, but Asians hadn't gotten to Highland Park in the early 70's.
  19. Have you seen the kind of money the cyptos put into campaign contributions? Don't take that as much of a hurdle.
  20. the Tigers could extend Skubal, but I think it's near likely zero probability unless Skubal changes his agent. Boras will never let a golden goose like Skubal so anything but go to FA. They'll part company first.
  21. Some Crytpos other than Bitcoin (Etherium and co) are moving away from 'Proof of Work' transaction verification to 'Proof of Stake' which requires many orders of magnitude less computation (how many depends on the exact system). If crypto has a future as any kind of working currency it will be in systems that have moved off of 'proof of work'. When the cost of the kWhr to put a transaction on the ledger is many multiples of the value of the transaction - you don't have a functional medium of exchange, you just have an arcane investment scheme.
  22. or it's just a another take on 'pump and dump' - get the gov buying to tighten the market, the insiders sell high, new admin comes in and closes down the program, demand falls, prices fall, and the tax payers and any schmucks that jumped in also get left holding the bag. Using the US gov as your pumper is a pure Wall Street grift nirvana scenario.
  23. Driver is going to be in need of a new career.
  24. You might need a constitutional amendment to off load the post office.
  25. I would recommend that anyone who can go to school where they will meet a lot of different kind of people should do it. Monotone suburbia on one side, monotone black urban on the other, and FTM monotone rural are all bad for everyone. I had the good fortune to be a middle class kid at a high school with classmates that ran the spectrum from Palmer Woods to Highland Park. Looking back now I wouldn't have traded it for the world. At 15 yrs old that exposure actually is life changing.
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