gehringer_2

Meanwhile the same poll showed Harris increasing her lead nationally. The two things are contradictory. She can't be backsliding massively in FLA while increasing her lead elsewhere by that kind of divergence. Can't happen. Shouldn't pass anyone's smell test.

and that's the thing with CLE, they don't hit for much average outside Ramirez, but they don't strike out, so they are on the high side for putting balls in play. Taking a look at Foley's season results on FG, things that jump out compared to last season are that his walk rate is up and GB rate is down, and HR/FB is up. If you look at his pitch mix, what you see is that after dropping it last year, he has added a 4 seam fastball back to his mix. Amateur observer sleuth here says he added the 4 seamer to try to up his K rate (because that's what closers do, right?). The problem is that Ks are not up and instead the effectiveness of his sinker has dropped off. I've heard some pitchers say they cannot throw both the sinker and 4 seamer without one messing up their delivery of the other. Maybe Foley is one. And of course, not easy to retool at this point.

the way I would interpret the rule that shouldn't be possible. It should not have have mattered if a few degrees of Kwan's glove was under the ball because if *any* part of the ball contacted the ground, it's not a catch. I think too many people lost the forest for the trees there trying to decide if some part of the ball was on Kwan's glove. That shouldn't have been the question - it should have been did any part of the ball touch the ground, and to me it clearly did.

As of now, Brieske and Vest are the leverage guys. Interesting question if Hinch's growing confidence in Brieske late mean we won't see him open again?

Foley has faced 14 Cle batters across 4 games this season, 4H IBB, 2B HR for a 973 OPS.

I think Olson is effectively the #2 starter now. Even if they open with Holton, the expectation for Olson is at 5IP +

I predict a falling out before 11/5. Trump can't stand anyone else in his limelight and Elon can't stand the dark.

Funny you should mention this as for the last two days the SO has been getting somebody's itinerary texts about airport arrivals etc, all from a wrong number. I hope there isn't a guy somewhere still waiting to be picked up! 🤷‍♀️

the 2.2 BB/9 is sort of the tell. It's what made me think of the Porcello comp because in RP's CY year he also put up an outlier to his usual walk rate. Take a pitcher with great stuff and give him an outlier low walk rate and you are going to get a great year. Now interestingly enough Gooden did hit that walk rate once again in '88 but clearly his stuff was down some from '85 judging by hits and Ks, so it was not as dominant a year - though still a pretty good one. on a related note, an incredibly low walk rate is a big piece of Skubal's dominance since last season, and to be honest, I don't expect him to be able to stay below 2 on a regular basis in the future either. Of course if we get some form of ABS all future BB/9 comparisons go out the window anyway.

If Milton ends up half a bad as predicted, will Johnson bring the House back, or might Biden call a special session over his objection? If even half the FLA GOP reps (there are 20) want a FEMA supplemental passed, that's enough to flip the House on the issue.

and he had Naylor struck out before he got his double.

still not as bad a replay miss as against KC.

Do or die for Berggren then?

This is true.

basically they are all adjusting their data to get the results they are willing to believe. This is close to the exact opposite of real data driven statisics! So bottom line the polls are just just the best guess of the pollsters as compared to the best guess of anyone else. That a survey was taken is reduced to just for show.

People in middle Europe had many relatively positive pre-nazi cultural antecedents they could claim re-connection to. I don't know much about the emergence of Japan from feudalism but I would guess in Japan there were fewer just by virtue of how closed Japan was for so long.

Bankrupting the Federal government to create a crisis that would result in reduction of entitlements that are too unpopular to pass by other means has been a keystone GOP objective for 40 years. It just is. It's just silly or some kind of fantasy to ignore it. The party has been perfectly clear about it. You raised concern about the deficit, that is the fact of the deficit. You can call it partisan if you like, but that's reality and reality is what it is.

here is your answer. Every time I start to think the NHL might be growing up, I see something like this that confirms they still have one skate firmly planted in the Neanderthal era. https://www.mlive.com/redwings/2024/10/red-wings-pleased-with-physical-response-to-roughhouse-tactics.html

strapping the bat to his left upper arm so he can't extend has to be an uncomfortable drill.

As much as it may be an insult to civility that Bout still breaths, I'm not sure it changes much that he's out. He's close enough to an official organ of Putin's kleptocracy whatever he is doing Putin would be having someone do in his absence.

Facts are facts. Why bother to address it when history shows so clearly that the going all the way back to Reagan, every GOP admin has blown up the deficit and every Dem admin has at worst had to fight a holding action in response. So there is no question to answer about the impact of your vote on the deficit - it's probably the least at doubt question the candidates could be asked.

I can see the next commercial: We're the Jones. We love our neighborhood, but the the people next door, they have this weird truck that we are afraid is going to blow up, and not only that, it smells -- its MUSKY! voiceover: Geico can't help you with your inept consumer neighbors, but we can save you hundreds on car insurance - well as long as your car isn't MUSKY like the Jones' neighbors!"

but even for that reason it's backward. None of those guys will ever play with Larkin. If you need to defend Larkin you need someone on the ice when *he* is, like Messier was to Gretzky or Shanahan to Yzerman. Watson will never see the ice on a line with Larkin so he is useless for that. If you need Larkin to have space there is one obvious answer, you play Ras with him. Blashill actually did go there occasionally IIRC, but Lalonde doesn't. Probably because they don't have enough center depth. Which reminds me that while Luke is on the downside now,I could never figure why they didn't find a way to keep Glendenning for a couple more years at the time.

I suppose in retrospect Hinch maybe played game 1 one step too clever. If he had just started Olson, who was ready, it's also a different script. We can't resist over analyzing it, even if on cool reflection we know that when a 92 win team goes against an 86 win team the difference in the win probability between them is too close to zero spend a lot energy trying to decide 'what went wrong.'

So it does seem the media is finally going hard at Trump over the FEMA lies, and that seems to have also catalyzed another round of GOP defections. It's hard to be anything but pessimistic anything can move the needle, but still I'll be watching to see if this is something that finally does.