and not to lose the forest for the trees, I just read that by 11/2024, the 2016 electorate will have rolled over by 52 million voters. No matter what else is happening, for the R's to still have a shot you would have to assume that purple trending boomers are turning hard red as fast as hard blue millennials are entering the electorate, and I have my doubts that can be close to true.
I know well enough that people have been predicting demographic armageddon for the GOP for a while now without it coming to pass, but we've never had the young side entering cohort be so monolithically on one side.