gehringer_2

Somebody's gonna need a lot of clean fill.

Putie's body language in the video looks like a 5th grader trying to explain why he doesn't have his assignments done.

this is going to split one of two ways and I don't think we have any way to know until the votes get counted - either the dem over estimates in 2016 and 2020 were purely the result of GOP turnout energy from Trump himself being on the ballot, in which case the Dems are golden, or the dem overestimate repeats and it's going to be a dark two years.

it would be better if they spent the weapons and didn't kill the civilians!

the Fed wants a slowdown, that is how they get it.

I get the rationale that the US doesn't want to supply things like ATACMS to Ulraine, but they are going to need to supply better anti-missile defense and quickly because at this point the Russians appear to be committed to doing as much domestic mayhem in Ulraine as they can.

Yup - PEDs have to be considered and with latin players of that era it's hard to be confident their ages are correct, but even that said, some guys do get older quicker. You see it start more at 33-34 but there is always a lot variation in the human population.

True, but higher interests rates are going to lower the stock market and higher interest rates following a period of FED zero interest rates and QE were inevitable even without inflation compressing the timescale for the increases. The die was cast for equities to see a future period of pain a long time ago.

that looks pretty close to my experience - maybe a little high, but things like down payments and credit ratings mean there is never just a single numbers for any date.

But consumers don't really experience the year to date inflation number, they experience the month to month change, which was 0.1%. It basically takes a year for the year to year number to come back down even after inflation cools. I don't know if people don't understand the math or maybe they expect prices to go back down (which usually won't happen much except for raw commodities), but lets say in May of 2020 prices rise 10% then stop going up. You will still get a 10% year to year inflation rate report every month until May of 21 even with no prices increases over 11 of those months.

my recollection is for a long stretch in the 50-60's early 70's, mortgages were sort of stable in the 4-6% range. In those days the Fed's mandate was constant interest rates so rates didn't change as much as they do now, and the prime rate target was something like 3-4% I think. My folks had a 5.5% mortgage in 1972, I took a 7.5% mortgage in 1979. Things got stupid high for a while after that and a lot of folks went to adjustables because it was clear things had to start back down. By '87 things were falling again I and got 8 1/4%. From about there on refi's moved pretty much consistently downward to as low ~3.5%. Then the crash and central banks going to ZIRP kept them low until this year.

Handled Chlorine a lot early in my career. Weird stuff - it makes no sense for a gas to be green.

Curious he didn't seem as clear on the value of spin on his FB but worked on it anyway. If he can hit 19" vertical he'll do fine with it.

Best deal the Tigers never made.

Not sure what so many American's are so afriad of. In a nation of 350 million with a fertility rate of 1.70 and a million XS COVID deaths in the last 2 yrs, that might still be short of replacement. Heck immigrants from South and Central America don't even worship strange Gods or anything.....

railroad tankcars are amazingly robust though. It always amazes me when you see derailments and the tankecars are all strewn around like a kid got mad at his Lionel, but most are perfectly intact.

yeah, the 390 LF power alley was too much. But is that is what they fixed.

I just don't get these corporate managements who think they need to create working conditions they wouldn't live with themselves for 10 minutes. If you can't create an environment your workers wouldn't rather quit than stay in (RR workers have been quitting in droves) you are, quite simply, incompetent managers. "But look at our profits!" It doesn't take any particular talent to squeeze more profit out a business by putting it on a path to an eventual reckoning or collapse.

this is pretty huge if it holds

California may also have the most vibrant economy in the nation, but no way that could be related......

I might have been nice to see if Parker could have sustained his success at AAA at the end of this season - but OTOH maybe it's also good for him to experience some sustained success with the bat after what has to have been a frustrating MiLB career prior to this year.

True. Of course the question is can the West do any better job than the 'help' offered after the Soviet Union fell apart?

True enough - though differences also. The Sunni power structure in Iraq knew that once Saddam fell they were never going to get power back again - beyond Saddam they had no prospects - the future was civil-war and/or an inevitable Shia take-over since the Americans would eventually force an election the Sunni couldn't win if they removed Saddam. "Reformed" government by the Sunni wasn't possible in Iraq as the only 'reform' the Shia cared about was gaining control. What is so striking in Russia is the degree to which Putin is destroying all the vestiges of civil society that could reasonably function once his bullet finds him. It's going to be like Libya isn't it?

you keep what you kill?

people complain about CF but dead center is actually the same as Tiger Stadium was for the last 30-40 yrs at the old ball park- 420*. Now it's true that the 420 wall is a lot wider at COPA than it was at Tiger stadium so that just to left and right of dead center are longer at COPA. But there were still a good number of deep shots hit at Tiger stadium that guys didn't get rewarded for. They could round out the CF wall at COPA to get rid of the 430 areas and it wouldn't bother me but TBH I like the 420 to dead center. (For a long time I think Dan Dickerson was the only guy in the Det baseball media that understood that dead center was not the deepest point at COPA) *If you are old enough to remember the flagpole being in play at TS,, it was 440 into a fairly square corner where the left and right field walls met, which was where the flagpole was. But when they did some remodel work at one point (60's, 70's?) they put a fence across the sharp corner which put the flagpole out of play and took about 15-20ft off the distance from dead center to home plate. Strangely enough, they left "440" painted on the wall until the end even though it wasn't anymore.