gehringer_2

Once the Tigers signed Peralta, it made me think Matt was off the table for them so maybe it figures his signing would come quick on the heals of Willie's. Wish him well, seems like a great guy, not sure he's a member of the rotation on a winning team though. Maybe he'll be better with the patched up arm. Getting to the point where you are no longer interested in the guy who used to be the best you had is one of those things you find yourself both happy and sad to see.....

probably the first 'fusion' album I bought. Zawinul was a classical pianist -- about until he lost his hair.....

there is a more detailed article archived on Crane's if you have a subscription. https://detroitjockcity.com/2017/02/20/detroit-tigers-news-chris-ilitch-doesnt-technically-tigers/

Owners don't get to owners doing that kind of thing. Not only is it bad business, but in most cases those other business also have other stake holders that would be none to happy to see their efforts diverted to a money losing sports team.

of course there has to be hostile overseas money driving driving this. Orchestrated politics of any kind in America doesn't happen without money. In hindsight it becomes plain that has to be one of the main drivers behind the GOP efforts to emasculate every Federal financial enforcement agency. It's aimed directly at making sure it doesn't get found. And to think that back in the Cold War days we laughed at those people concerned about '5th columns'. They've gotten a lot better at it than old Gus Hall could ever have hoped.

ROTLMAO - Axios' story hook that appears at the bottom of stories was doubly appropriate on this one...."GO DEEPER" !!!

the point holds, but I'd still wouldn't call what they have a *small* war!

the thing that is so dumb though, is that you are willing to do things earlier in the astronomical day *all year*, than just do them earlier in the *clock* day *all year*. You don't need to move the clock off the actual center for the day to do that. We are just such a stupid society.

For whatever reason, the wheels seem to be falling off.

Just read the piece. Of course the Ambassador may just be dissembling but taken at face value there was little comfort there for Putin. And I would have to think the Chinese respect Western Intelligence capabilities enough not to think they can do much to resupply Putin without being found out.

My guess is Fulmer and Soto will be fine if they stay healthy, but you have a big swing around Cisnero. He has a long high walk history and you could see that whatever magic pill was behind his new found command, it was never too far away from abandoning him again. CIsnero throwing strikes is a huge plus, but I'm not all that confident that is the Cisnero we will get. Not really all that much different than Funkhouser in that regard except Funkhouser hasn't shown Cisnero's upside so won't be as much of a loss if he turns back into a pumkin.

Awww Schucks! Maybe we'll have to just play the games! 🤔

right, and even worse, when you are looking at teams you are looking at guys going in and out of injury states and players coming in and out the roster so you are faced with even defining whether for a given club the April and August teams can even be considered the same.

doesn't this deny reality though? Almost every player's career performance goes though an arc. They come up, improve, plateau and then fall off. At any point in their career applying the basic career arc effect is going to be a better predictor of the immediate future than the flat average of his whole previous career. Of course to take the most ridiculous example, what do Cabrera's career numbers tell us about what he is likely to do this year? Not much I'm afraid. So we weight the recent past heavier all the time - it's always just a matter of how much - and that's always a fair thing be working toward better definition.

You can look at it that way, but teams and players are not constant unchanging populations being sampled, they evolve. What they did recently is always more important than what they did in the past. The aggregate average of the data that form a trend is not best unbiased predictor of the future value if the trend is real. Of course picking the time interval to look back before what you are looking at is no longer what is (or isn't) is always tricky in human endeavor. But we do this all the time. Take a number like K rate - we don't look at a players whole career to estimate his immediate K rate, that normally stabilizes after only a couple hundred AB. What happened before that was for all intents and purposes a different player. So the argument is not really a fundamental one, it's just a matter of picking the timescales for any given type of data. How much a season captures the nature of a team? 12months or 162 is an arbitrary number, there is no fundamental reason to believe that is the best interval over which to base team projections. It's just the most obvious one...

the unreality of 'reality TV' at work. People thought he was person on their TeeVee, but the person on the TV was the producers' version of Trump playing a scripted character with his face, rather than the real character behind that face.

which is good example of analysis losing the forest for the trees. I'm more interested in trends. The Tiger team aggregates are skewed by last April, but a human factors approach argues that that was more likely the anomaly. But we'll see!

good catch, missed that. I read that the army wanted a laser guided mortar - looks like they got one.

land mine?

seems odd. They played the last 120 games at 7 over 500 and in the main the team is at a point where most players are still improving toward their peak years and they have overall made more additions than they have had losses, so why would you assume they would be any worse than the last 2/3 of last season? Of course with any team the pitching could take a huge step back, but that is no more or less likely for the Tigers than any other team.

yup. The low case counts are good to see but they might not really mean much anymore in terms of whether the Virus is circulating out there but only causing minor illness because of the community immunity level. But as Hong Kong shows, Omicron can still pack a wallop for the elderly unvaxxed.

don't see much of a chance for Cameron - I think he's going to have to put up some good numbers at Toledo for a while to prove his bat before he gets a call. Reyes and Hill will be good competition. Reyes had a good off season and you pretty much know what you've got - it ain't gonna be a lot but he can OPS 850 against LHP so he's a good pair with Baddoo. Hill has the higher ceiling but the bat has to be there right now. I think he can win the job coming out of the gate if he hits well in ST but whichever of them wins it. the other is only the 1st slump away from swapping places so I don't see it as a very big deal whichever comes north in April. As per this link Baddoo, Reyes, Cameron & Hill all have options remaining so they will be free to bounce them around.

yeah - I don't think any wires are going to get fished through that stuff without cutting wallboard. But most inside work guys treat redoing wall board as pretty much nothing. Of course if you weren't planning on repainting the room after the electrical work, well, now you are!

I had fiber insulation blown into the walls at my 1st house - it was a bit messy when you opened an electrical outlet - but the insulation worked great . I was always a little reticent about the foam blowers because of the potential for organics, but they do have much better compositions then when I was looking at it. Current house was built OEM with tar paper backed fiberglass in the walls - not enough, but enough that trying to shoot anything in around it is probably a bad idea....

another difference is that as I read it, there is still some semblance of a distribution Chinese governmental authority around Xi - he has not had nearly the generational time frame to consolidate his dictatorship that Putin has. He may have the same impulses, but he remains somewhat more constrained.