Edman85
-
Posts
3,813 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
31
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Store
Articles
Everything posted by Edman85
-
He said in his newsletter this was closer than a coin flip and Harris only came out on top because they run a Monte Carlo instead of a deterministic model.
-
In flight?
-
Ditto the Nates, the polls just can't confidently give us an idea of what happens this week, for a variety of reasons.
-
Hopefully the same is true of the campaign.
-
The remember the names bit was great. Good spoof of online culture warriors.
-
There's an ice cream truck that goes around here decked in Trump gear. To paraphrase Michael Jordan, "People with brains buy ice cream too."
-
Harris is more likely to win a quickly decided election, IMO. I only say that because it is looking like Arizona, Nevada, and Alaska are all going to take days to finalize. And those are states Trump needs.
-
"Wrong again?" Selzer is usually dead nuts on as if she has access to early voting totals.
-
Right. Conan O'Brien of all people got me thinking on conspiracy theories. The pure amount of people who need to keep a secret and execute to plan makes the most elaborate of conspiracies unlikely.
-
-
Would be a lot easier terrain in which to build a wall, at least the northern border.
-
That's a chain. I've been to one in St. Louis, and there is a differently named replica in Jax.
-
Not much polling or campaigning there and I saw something about a demographic shift to the left yesterday that I forgot to bookmark that had me concerned it may be a surprise flip.
-
Is anybody concerned about New Hampshire?
-
Yep! Inflation would have taken off in 2020 if COVID didn't tamp it down.
-
-
The Fed... And Trump's promise to micromanage the Federal Reserve is one of the many alarming things he is pushing.
-
They have in the aggregate, actually, but I haven't dived in to look at the caveats. Only saw the top level headlines.
-
I mean, it's not like there is going to be deflation to bring prices back to 2019 levels.
-
Worked in 2016.
-
This was expected because of Helene and Milton.
-
Both? Wolff has shown himself to be a poor filter.
-
It's Michael Wolff, so while I believe there's definitely Epstein ties out there, Wolff doesn't deserve the benefit of the doubt when it comes to veracity.
-
Something is fishy with the AtlasIntel polls. The frequency and sample size. I'm surprised Silver weights them so heavily.
-
Me, dressed as Mongo tonight, if I come across any horse costumes decked in MAGA gear.
