Edman85

I think it's a remnant of their early season stabs and rounding up to 1 IP.

I almost think some teams don't mind that and may leave a player exposed they don't want who may get taken just so they can get the free $100,000 drafting fee for a player they didn't want in the first place.

Here's the projected playing time for pitchers the rest of the way that the system is based on. Obviously if you are doing this for all 30 teams, you have to take some short cuts, and you are trying to predict injury risk, etc. https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?pos=&stats=pit&type=rfangraphsdc&lg=&team=6

Regarding protecting Workman, you can only protect 40 players, and is he one of the 40 best eligible? You have 43 after 60-Day activations, and with the late surge, there aren't that many easy cut candidates. Shelby Miller is the only free agent, and even he has an option. You can probably lop White, Madris, Vilade, and Baddoo and that gets you to 39, 38 if you decline Miller's option. Then you are talking about Kreidler, and are you going to protect Workman over Kreidler? There are guys like Wilmer Flores who could get dropped from the 40 this offseason too, but you don't have that many easy drops, and there are higher priority guys to protect, including several just acquired at the deadline. Edit: I forgot Sammons, who seems to be an obvious drop candidate. McKinstry has probably played his way onto next year's team, much to people's chagrin. Maybe you pull the rip cord on Baez after the season.

They are based on playing time projections, but to my knowledge they do not make an attempt to figure out opposing platoon splits. They may bake those into playing time projections though? Like if the Tigers were projected to face 10 straight lefties, I think their system would weight Andy Ibanez a bit more than Jace Jung, or at least it should. What I like about projection system based systems is it does factor in who is playing. Odds change (slightly) at the trade deadline. Odds change when a star player gets hurt. They are my go to.

What's wrong with the method that uses projection systems? FYI, in case you didn't bake this in, the projection systems do update over the course of the year. I'm assuming it's some kind of regression being done to bake in current season performance with preseason expectation (which likely has some kind of certainty baked in to tell it how much to factor in this year's performance)

Morning consult has a D lean. Cherry picking can distort.

You aren't wrong that the Minnesota/Baltimore series complicates matters, but it is true that any loss by Baltimore, Kansas City, Minnesota, or Seattle helps the Tigers.

If Harris or a designee offers that trade, it is a fireable offense.

Price controls are communism.

I saw this elsewhere in response to the Lowry video. Had to share.

Losing means he goes to prison.

I started noticing that last season. I hope he is okay.

This was in 2021.

This was her 8 years ago.

He should but it will be Quartaro because the Royals exceeded expectations

He certainly has a type

What is with his accent? It's like Ann Coulter/William F Buckley with a tinge of even snobbier.

I've been youtubing old norm macdonald videos lately. One weekend update joke from 1996. "Donald Trump announced he won 20 million dollars betting on Evander Holyfield. Trump said he went public with his winnings in case there are a few people left who don't hate him."

Winning 2 out of 3 the rest of the way is 85-77. That ain't enough. The target needs to be 87 plus.

Hey now, McKinstry is up to 2 now.

Yep. I saw that, but did kind of want to amplify in case people were making plans to catch a Wild Card game or two in Detroit.

Take the odds of making the playoffs and halve them. Don't forget the lower seed in the Wild Card round doesn't get any home games. Gonna have to get past the Astros first.

I believe it is as simple as the minor league season lengths are collectively bargained now. I don't have the text of it, but from the Athletic: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/4377736/2023/04/03/minor-league-baseball-cba-union/