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mtutiger

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Everything posted by mtutiger

  1. In retrospect, there was a ton of irresponsibility by the political press this cycle in how certain races were covered. But for my money, the PA Senate Race takes the cake. When you get right down to it, the fundamentals really were never there for Oz, and the analysis throughout was buttressed by very little data. And it starts with the candidate himself - they spent a lot of time highlighting Fetterman's flaws (particularly after his stroke), but never considered that a candidate with 50+% disapproval numbers was gonna have an extremely difficult time beating a candidate with a positive approval rating. It should cause introspection, but I'm sure it won't.
  2. Short answer is no. It simply takes a majority vote. Thats where something like a 1 or even 3 vote majority becomes really precarious and where you could see some sort of coalition building or R speaker candidates needing D votes for House. (Happens a lot here in Texas as well - House Speakers tend to be relatively moderate because Ds will throw votes to them to prevent harder right votes). IOW, If the majority ends up that narrow, Kevin M. is gonna need to invest in some kneepads
  3. Grand Traverse is likely headed toward blue county status going forward
  4. Dems may be closing in on a trifecta in MI! unbelievable
  5. Good night for the non-partisan pollsters generally, terrible for the fly-by-night GOP ones (and RCP)
  6. Ya think?
  7. Guys, he has a path
  8. This seems like a good sign in Nevada...
  9. One of the more embarrasing results for the pundit class
  10. Early returns from NV
  11. Someone needs to get to a majority in the vote.
  12. Outside chance, like 2020 it will come down to Brown Co and Milwaukee
  13. Lol, my hopes aren't up, don't worry
  14. CNN just went over Georgia and what is out, and Warnock may still pull it off without a runoff
  15. Does Trafalgar go out of business after tonight?
  16. RCP showing their *** tonight
  17. That would be ideal...
  18. I hate to give it to CNN, but of their panels did bring up what DeSantis did versus what some of Trump's acolytes have done so far tonight. Probably wishcasting, but it's an offramp if they want to take it
  19. Wisconsin is interesting... I think Evers wins, but can Barnes keep up with his margin? Running 2-3 pts behind
  20. Wow.... Biden won the initial batch by 11 last time iirc
  21. Not many good tea leaves for the Doc
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