mtutiger

JD was conceived in a lab to appeal to DC pundits, so he's getting plaudits there. My issue is that he comes across too shifty, kinda like Ellis in Die Hard.

What makes it worse now is that he's now 78 years old... It only gets worse from here

I know we are numb to it all, but this a vile thing to say. Vile.

Micro knows more about this stuff than any of us, but to clarify, my point was never the concept of it being wrong for a leader to ever visit a disaster site but rather that visits should take into account timing. I probably wasn't as clear as I should have been in my initial post, but that's it. Maybe the situation on the ground in Valdosta is different, but at the same time Biden and Harris are being grilled by people for not parachuting into Asheville right now even though local leaders wouldn't want them in there until such time that the situation is stabilized. According to the President, he's likely to go to NC this week.... hopefully the VP will go as well at some point. But at least as it pertains to Asheville and the situation in the mountains, it would be a mistake to go there right now. Politics be damned.

Diverting resources to accommodate photo op... Lovely

I think the Democratic Party has taken Hispanic voters for granted to some degree and hasn't messaged toward economics in the way that they should. Not to mention immigration, which they are struggling as well (Harris' speech in Arizona a couple of nights ago is a good example of trying to counteract that) My overall point that wasn't quoted needs to be grappled with: there's a lot of ink spilled on Hispanic voters these days, and certainly not without reason, but at the end of the day, anywhere between 68-70% of voters in this election will be white voters. That's even moreso the case in the battleground states, particular PA/WI/MI... Biden improved on Hilllary with white voters, particularly in the suburbs, and it's likely to going to happen again, both in suburban and rural settings, in 2024. It's a headwind for Trump that I don't think is given enough attention IMO.

Demographically, the attention tends to be focused on Hispanic voters, and not without reason: trends to the right aren't helpful. Not enough attention is being paid to white voters and what trends may be at play, for whatever reason... The fact that Trump feels the need to spend for the ME-02 EC vote provides evidence to that effect.

I post a lot of clips, and I know people get annoyed by Acyn and Yashar Ali and Aaron Astor and Filipowski clips and all But, at a very basic level, if any of us were conducting a job interview, we would never hire someone who sounds like this.

Awesome, he wants us to be a combo of "Idiocracy" and "The Purge"

Yeah, we know very little about what really happened at this point... The news will get so much worse

Has he even uttered a word about Helene yet? Western NC got hit with something approaching a Katrina level event, and he doesn't care

Mitt Romney can come off the sidelines anytime now...

As a bullpen piece in a short series, I don't know why you wouldn't carry Jobe.... high leverage situations may be tough for where he is at on his trajectory, but the stuff is too good to leave on the sidelines

Beyond the on-the-field product, which he's clearly responsible for, the audacity of a guy in the midst of a historically bad season to go to the city/state and beg for money to build a new stadium is hilarious. At least the McCaskeys can legitimately claim to be cash poor relative to other NFL owners, I'm not sure what Jerry's excuse is.

Sounds like Jace is gonna need to sober up lol

Sweeney was such a big piece of the equation, even if the offensive stats don't pop on the stat sheet.... very solid defensive piece and was a much more reliable piece than Javy. It's hard to evaluate because Flaherty was such a good pitcher and you'd never say that Sweeney is a better player than Flaherty, but as we have seen, they are strong enough of an organization with their pitching deparment that they able to backfill trading from strength to bring someone in to address a weakness as well.

Unless they pull a 1969 Mets and go all the way (keeping my powder dry), I do think it's more longer range impacts in terms of marketing for next season and beyond. Not getting into free agency and other offseason moves, which is a conversation for another day.

Oh my goodness

Unreal, just worked their asses off the last month and half!

Shot: Chasers:

Garrett is right, but I specifically think it's a good bellwether for Midwestern suburban areas... Milwaukee comes to mind specifically, there's still a room for Trump to fall in the WOW counties. And I don't think he can afford to lose much ground there.

A couple of thoughts (not necessarily correlated, but observations that may apply): Katie Hobbs went into election night in 2022 seen as behind Kari Lake around 2 points, based specifically on polling. In the end, she did end up winning. Sun Belt states present their own challenges for pollsters because they are diverse and sometimes can encounter issues with sampling minority voters (Georgia is another case of this - Biden 2020/Warnock 2022 (before the runoff) both overperformed polling IIRC)... Another challenge is getting the turnout correct - using Georgia again because it's a little more straightforward an example (not as familiar as AZ), but if you see a poll that's only composed of ~26% black voters in that state, that likely isn't high enough; black voters since 2020 have generally always been at least 29% of turnout in that state, and 30% turnout is the magic number that D's like to hit to feel like they have a chance iirc Immigration is Trump's overall best issue, and among the battleground states, there's no state where it's more salient than Arizona by virtue of where Arizona is located