mtutiger

It's just nice to see a couple of journalists that treat him to the same standard of other politicians... Was beginning to think they didn't exist anymore

David Muir and Lindsey Davis... The Trump people are going to go after them hard after this

He's a leatherneck lol

He has twice (immigration and fracking) let her off the hook... Incredible

The much discussed Times poll from the weekend did have a crosstab that said that upwards of 30% needed to know more (versus 10% for him, believe it or not). So yeah, addition 100% is the target... She has room to grow, him not so much

Oh my God...

Her campaign has, to date, done a really good job of brushing off his trash talk and not taking the bait... (Her responses to his comments about her ethnicity is Exhibit A). Tonight will be a test to execute it with him a few feet away... Voters want to learn more about her, they don't want to see her responding to him. It may be inevitable at certain junctures, but she has to play her game, not get sucked into his If she does that, she stands a good chance of a clear win... but easier said than done

I was going to finish off the Tigers game, but they finished off the Rockies instead lol

I mostly agree with this.... I don't like it, there's a tradeoff involved, but it's probably more good than harm at this point. True story, the fact that my son had his first every active shooter drill of his K-12 career on the day of the Georgia shooting (and the fact that he started describing it in a very matter-of-fact way when I got home from work) really shook me in a way that I wasn't expecting. It doesn't really change my positioning a lot on guns in general, but it makes one think about it in a much different perspective when you are sending kids into school.

I don't know, to be honest.... it strikes me as very "online"

At a minimum, it takes getting to a post-Trump era to start getting back to that point - particularly with how no GOPers seem to be able to replicate his success.

The frequent deploying of AI by the Trump-adjacent lot in this campaign.... doesn't it come off cringey?

Two North Carolina polls (SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac) showing leads as well... To the extent that Trump's campaign appears to be prioritizing PA/GA above all other states, NC being this close throws a wrench into that strategy

Gonna go out on a limb and say that the "Haitian cat stories" will not factor into anything debate related

Conspiracies everywhere.

There have been news reports over the past couple of months about retailers cutting prices as well (ie. Walmart) as people have modified behaviors due to higher prices, some of that stuff appears to be showing up (personally noticing that when shopping).

Gas prices are a huge factor.... nationally prices have been trending way down the past few weeks, and locally to the Midwest, some of the refining capacity issues (such as Exxon Joliet Refinery being down after the Chicagoland tornado outbreak a month or two ago) have subsided. Suspect that will continue for both seasonal and just market based reasons.

My sense in day to day life is that people are talking about inflation less today than they were two years ago at this time, FWIW. It doesn't mean that it isn't still a big factor that people will consider as they vote, but I do think the environment is different as well.

It was, and that was when actual inflation was higher than it is today (upwards of like 8% YOY versus 2-3ish% today). The issue is that a combination of other issues (ie. abortion / democracy related issues) as well as just terrible candidate quality mattered a lot too I don't mean to pick on Ed, but "Dems are getting nailed on inflation" is about the most conventional wisdom take in politics today. I suspect a lot of Dem partisans wish it weren't the case, but that's different than assuming that it isn't a big challenge to Harris or her candidacy.

He hardly has any core beliefs, but tariffs are the biggest, most consistent belief he has. And it's something he can do without Congress. So I absolutely would not assume he's full of **** on that.

I don't think it's being underestimated, it seems pretty much like conventional wisdom.

Exactly.... she isn't Jesus, but it's about who she's being contrasted with. And it's stark.

When you cut through the noise of social media and everything else... The contrast between these two candidates on a human level is stark

Jan 6th does matter at some level for sure. And just anecdotally, I know a couple of Trump-Trump-Harris folks in my own life.