mtutiger
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Everything posted by mtutiger
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Have to rememeber as well that despite winning by a big margin, Whitmer did worse with these sorts of voters than Biden 2020 did. So much fretting over these voters, and while it isn't totally unimportant, they are around ~1% of registered voters in Michigan and the margins were likely always going to be a little worse regardless of October 7th.
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In light of new events, beginning to think this may not have been the case?
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Wow... Explains a lot
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True as well.... I will say this though... if Texas is close in the Presidential race (like, 2% win for Trump close), Cruz goes down IMO.... there will be a gap between the two races, and MC, whatever their lean, backs up what other pollsters have found on that question.
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So simple, and true
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Yeah, Beto overperformed polls in 2018 IIRC. And literally no one thought he'd finish within two.
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Settling aside lean (IDK, I can buy there being a semi close race for this seat, Cruz is that polarizing), biggest issue is vote share... The Presidential race found 50-46 Trump, this poll found a 46-45 Allred result. More undecideds, and you cannot assume they are all splitting evenly
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There's a lot of tape
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Whether he gets out or not, they need to make sure they don't let Trump off the hook... He endorsed, called him "MLK on steroids" with his campaign knowing full well that this guy had big skeletons in his closet.
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On the flipside, their standard-bearer has conditioned this party away from having any sort of shame, so they really shouldn't be surprised if he doesn't listen to them.
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There's probably a scandal somewhere in this that they are using as a pretext, but yeah, politics is afoot here.... He's a bad candidate that's dragging down everyone else running statewide, and he's sharing a ticket with Trump in a state that is a must-win. Personally, I doubt he gets out, but I've been wrong before.
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Thread... basically internal tensions / civil war within NCGOP on the last day that Robinson can withdraw with ability to replace with candidate who can earn votes under his name
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Trump has already endorsed him.... called him "Martin Luther King on steroids" even!
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If Holocaust denialism didn't do Robinson in, I'm not sure what would...
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👀
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Hate to bring the family into it, but this is a legitimately fair question
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Et tu Nate?
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I've had my issues with AOC since she has come onto the scene, but I think she's much more pragmatic and formidable than some of her detractors make her out to be. A lot of that is just growth in the job and the acceptance that in order to make change, you have to meet people where they are at.
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Nothing is a guarantee of success, but as far as the Harris campaign is concerned, they seem to be aiming their sights at these kinds of voters much more than the other guy is at the moment. Not much more can be asked for than that
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I think you're right in terms of how low information voters approach these choices for sure, but with regard to the bolded, in Year of Our Lord 2024 with Leon Musk owning Twitter, that probably cuts to the D's advantage when marketing to undecided voters IMO
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Shameless
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Amazing how many people Trump surrounds himself with are just, on a basic level, terrible human beings
