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Everything posted by chasfh
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07/23/2023 12:05 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
If it does get delayed they will wait until late evening, if they have to, to get the game in. Padres are not coming back. -
07/22/2023 6:10 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Plus, once we make Englert walk the plank along with a suitcase with $50,000 in it, who we gonna replace him with? -
07/22/2023 6:10 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
He was always planning to sell no matter what. The only possible way he was going to buy to contend is if a bunch of these guys turned out to be All-Stars this year, after all. -
07/22/2023 6:10 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Fulmer was replaced by Drew Smyly, and the cardinals have just brought in Drew VerHagen. It’s a Tiger Pitcher Party! -
07/22/2023 6:10 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
And indeed it was a short day for Michael Fulmer: 2.0 3 1 1 1 2. Not a terrible line. -
07/22/2023 6:10 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Old friend of ours starting here on the north side: Here’s the first pitch of the game, on which he served up a bomb: The next two pitches were hit hard, too. Unless he can fix something minor the dugout, probably a short day for Mike -
07/21/2023 6:40 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Also, that Rogers Hornsby was one of the original five players in the Hall. That’s what the second banana said in the Cubs-Cards Apple game. It took Hornsby five years to get not the Hall. -
07/21/2023 6:40 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
But .. but ... there is no coastal bias! -
07/21/2023 6:40 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Is one of those technical problems the prop bet probabilities they show on every pitch? -
Yeah, well, who would you rather have as president? A guy who talks like a Queens stevedore, or a guy who's fallen off a bike?
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Reads like somebody is being won back … 😉
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It’s considered income only if it’s income. If it’s P2P, or P2B, or B2P as in a refund, then no.
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07/21/2023 6:40 pm EDT San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
I happen to have Apple TV+ for a month because my wife wanted to catch up on Ted Lasso, so I’ll be watching. Also watching a great seven-part documentary on Apple+ about how the year 1971 changed music forever. It is surprisingly excellent for its clips, pics, and interviews. -
Sure, and I believe it's more likely that there will be a hit in an eight-man three-team trade than in a straight two-man trade.
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I agree not all no-brainers pan out, although I would say that Avila gets the smallest credit possible for doing the thing practically everybody else would do and not screwing it up, which to date he absolutely did with Jobe over Mayer. If the argument in your post was that Al Avila is still helping this team, then even if only Riley Greene becomes a Tigers lifer, it could be argued that Al Avila will be helping this team well into the 2030s. It's hard to argue against the idea that a good number of Avila players will still be on the team when they start winning in a couple or three years, since that's a wait-and-see proposition. I would say it's possible that will come true, and equally possible that it doesn't.
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These are all players with a shot at our future who came on board with Avila at the helm. Mize, TORK!, Greene and Manning were all no-brainers. The main thing Avila had to do was not get too cute by reaching down the list to surprise us, such as Jobe instead of Mayer. Skubal, Keith, and Carpenter were solid pickups that we've been able to do things with. Rogers was a decent second guy to get in a trade for a slam-dunk Hall-of-Famer—who had years and years of Cy Young-level performance left in the tank—along with $40 million. Even adding in the long shots that 1984Echoes mentioned, there's still an inordinate amount of garbage in the system that Avila left behind, which I think is indicative of his terrible hit rate on player acquisition overall. Were he even average at player acquisition, we wouldn't be nearly in this bad shape—although, flip side, he'd still be here. So, yes, these are guys Avila picked up who might help us, as long as the new administration develops them in a way the Avila administration probably could not have. In this sense, I can see why you say that by having acquired these eight players, Avila is still helping the team.
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I also think we are much-better respected in the pitching department, which may have helped here, and also, we may have been the only team that would commit to guaranteeing Lorenzen a shot at the rotation.
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Also unusual because he was part of an eight-man three-team deal, versus a straight-up we give up a back-of-the-rotation starter for a mature minor-leaguer who can start right now.
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I think it really comes down to, what kinds of teams buy, what do they want to accomplish by buying, and in where are they on the contention spectrum? Teams buy if they are certain playoff teams and need that one player who closes the obvious hole, such as SP depth, or back of the bullpen, or that one big hitter who fixes an obvious hole, in order to go deeper once they get to October. We are not a certain playoff team, so this doesn't apply to us. Teams also buy if they re on the cusp of a playoff spot and they are one impact position player or impact pitcher short of making it happen. We are way more than one position player short of making the playoffs, and if we count Eduardo and Lorenzen as reliable starters, at least two starters short of a playoff-level rotation. We do have a halfway-decent bullpen we could go into the playoffs with, but it's not a shutdown 'pen, and even if it were, that's not enough to overcome our other deficiencies. And teams buy when their contention window is wide open and they're ripe to make a run, if they can get the one piece that would solidify that. Our contention window is, at best, cracked open possibly enough for a fly to get through it, as long as it's not a big fat fly coming directly from dining on your garbage. That is simply not enough to throw away the plan and sell prospects in an effort to try to secure a division that's not high-majority-percent winnable—that is, we wouldn't want to bet the house on green here. I'm as certain as an outsider can be that Harris sees all this, too, and even if we were to go 10-0 for the rest of the month, we are not only not buying, we are definitely not not selling.
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He has recently said that he has had trouble with pitch recognition, so I wonder whether he has either an eyesight issue (i.e., maybe only 20-20 or 20-25) and can't read spin, which could be helped; or whether he has naturally slow reflexes, which probably can't be helped. If these are true, that would make Javy the platonic ideal of a mistake hitter.
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Yes, please, Angels! And block the Rays' number. 😉
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Even if the Cardinals were to magically—by which I mean, while on magic mushrooms—accept a gimpy Skubal plus a wild and inconsistent Lange in exchange for their ten-time Gold Glove-winning and this-year starting All-Star third baseman, I would definitely never want to extend Eduardo for another six or more years, nor give more than 2/20 to the other guy, which I doubt he would accept.
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Who are you thinking of here?
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It's always a complicated calculus to figure out when to bench a guy, but other things being equal, a rookie hitting .224/.261/.333 is going to get benched a lot quicker than a 30 year-old Gold-Glove All-Star Top-2-MVP veteran hitting the same, if for no other reason than the 30 year-old Gold-Glove All-Star Top-2-MVP veteran is always a bet to turn it around, even after a whole half-year of soft hitting, versus the unknown quantity that is the rookie.
