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Posted
3 hours ago, romad1 said:

I think the evidence is already there that the Hispanic vote will swing wildly back to the party that isn't gulaging people for their skin tone. 

 

I can’t imagine that the Texas state government will not work with the Trump government and the state and federal courts to throw every barrier they can brainstorm up to keep people in Democratic and swing precincts from voting. 

Posted
5 hours ago, chasfh said:

I would not underestimate the ability of the Trump machine to get red hats out to the polls. Pay close attention to October.

Absolutely. If the dems weren't also so unpopular as party the risk wouldn't be so clear - but this election could be anything from a record turnout to everybody on both sides is jaded and stays home - who the heII knows?

Posted
42 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

Absolutely. If the dems weren't also so unpopular as party the risk wouldn't be so clear - but this election could be anything from a record turnout to everybody on both sides is jaded and stays home - who the heII knows?

smdh

 

Posted

With regard to the senate flipping are we sure MI stays blue?  Al- Sayed is a lightning rod and can split the D vote because he and his supporters thinks anybody who is nice to a Jewish person is a Zionist.  If he’s the nominee will he keep pro Israel Democrats?  If he isn’t will he support Stevens?  Doubt it. 
 

 

Posted
2 minutes ago, oblong said:

With regard to the senate flipping are we sure MI stays blue?  Al- Sayed is a lightning rod and can split the D vote because he and his supporters thinks anybody who is nice to a Jewish person is a Zionist.  If he’s the nominee will he keep pro Israel Democrats?  If he isn’t will he support Stevens?  Doubt it. 

yeah - MI is definitely a race the Dems could screw up. I can't figure why Buttigieg didn't jump on this one.

Posted (edited)

from Axios today:

Quote

The intrigue, via our colleague Matt Phillips: Real per capita disposable income — the money consumers can spend after accounting for taxes and inflation — declined 1.4% in April from a year ago. It also dropped 0.4% in March.

  • These are the first consecutive negative year-over-year readings since late 2023.
  • Some analysts have found that real disposable income can be a powerful predictor of election results, with increases boosting incumbents and declines helping lift challengers.

The bottom line: "Aggregate spending is still being supported by the wealth effect and the upper end of the K-shaped economy, but that support is doing more of the heavy lifting — making the overall spending backdrop look increasingly uneven and fragile," wrote Olu Sonola, Fitch Ratings' head of U.S. economics.

also this from the wire services:

"The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge surged to a three-year high in April, adding to growing concern at the central bank and on Wall Street over broadening price pressures.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index rose 3.8% in April as the conflict in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher. That was in line with expectations and up from 3.5% in March. Excluding volatile food and energy prices on a so-called “core” basis, PCE was up 3.3%, also in line with expectations, and up a tenth from 3.2% in March. Still, that’s the highest core reading in two and a half years."

Edited by gehringer_2
Posted
15 hours ago, romad1 said:

People who know, know

 

According to the article, the “flailing authoritarian regime” he is fleeing is California.

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