I'm also not convinced the bottom is going to fall out of rural Michigan. Biden won Leelanau County, came close to flipping Grand Traverse which is getting bluer every election, and Emmet County is trending blue. Democrats aren't likely to win these areas consistently, but the NW lower peninsula is trending blue. The rest of northern Michigan is losing population. Traverse City is targeting young college educated now that more people are working remotely. The area that is probably going to trend even more red is the thumb area.