1. Matt Eberflus: I think his fate - and Poles - is sealed barring a miracle, but the Bears won’t make a move until the season is over. You don’t go into a new season with two top five picks and let the same guys who’ve screwed up the last ones keep drafting. This will be an appealing destination that I’m sure they will still screw up.
2. Ron Rivera: Likewise, I think it’s over for Rivera and Mayhew short of a miracle. The new ownership will also likely wait until the season is over.
3. Brandon Staley: I put this at #3 only because it sure feels like they have the talent to make a run….. but it’s felt like that for a while. I agree that this is writing that’s been on the wall for a while, and could happen before Black Monday.
4. Bill Belichick: I don’t think his job is guaranteed in 2024. I think Kraft would try to make it Bill’s idea, or a transition to the front office, but it could be a clash of egos.
5. Mike McCarthy: if the Cowboys make another first round exit (or maybe even anything short of the NFCCG), he could be replaced by another Jerry Jones yes-man.
Dennis Allen and Todd Bowles are probably warm too and depend to some degree on what happens in the next two months. Brian Daboll, Jonathan Gannon, Frank Reich, and Robert Saleh haven’t inspired confidence in their long-term futures but I doubt they get canned this year. I think LaFleur is safe in Green Bay but that Guntekunst or however it’s spelled is warm for his handling of the Jordan Love pick.