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Everything posted by MichiganCardinal
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I sat down to watch it and was bummed it wasn’t up, then looked back at this post to see I was two minutes early. 🍿
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You’re right, he signed a two-year extension in 2024 but he was already signed through 2025, so the deal is through next year. I like Vaki, but even if he’s not as good as Montgomery, you’ve got a bona fide stud in Gibbs. Sonic and Knuckles was fun, but when Sonic can run 80 yards anytime he touches the ball, it’s hard to avoid that being the best thing for the team.
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The NCAA, for once in its existence, is blameless here. The CFP is an independent entity. The format as it exists with five conference champion auto-bids is something of a relic of the days of there actually being 4-5 “power conferences.” With the PAC-12 dead, the B1G and SEC are the Power Two and the ACC and Big 12 are the Weak Two, and then there is everyone else. The format wasn’t designed to accommodate an 8-5 Duke team being the ACC Champion. I have no problem with one G5 team making it. This year that would be Tulane. The days of undefeated Cincinnati getting shut out need to end when there are 12 teams making the playoff. And worst case, the best G5 team sucks (like Tulane) and the #5 seed gets an easy pass into the second round, just like the 1-seed in college basketball. But having both Tulane and James Madison is just making a mockery of what is already a diluted first round.
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He’s in a contract year and I don’t think he’ll be back. He’ll be league age 29 next year. That’s ancient in running back years.
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I didn't realize this and stand corrected as far as Penn State goes. I still find him underwhelming, but maybe I shouldn't. He's won everywhere he's gone.
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Brohm is who I would have expected Penn State to target if Matt Campbell said no. I would probably prefer a year of interim Poggi to fix the Department and do the search right than settling on an underwhelming hire whose crowning achievement as a coach is a Big Ten title schlacking with Purdue and a Sun Bowl victory with Louisville.
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The offseason talk has to begin with Decker. He's been hurt all year. How hurt? If he gets surgery in January or February, will he be in 2024 form by July or August? Or is this as much age degeneration as it is injury? Does he even want to return? If he's not back, you have no choice but to make that Priority #1. I don't know the cap implications of cutting him but Braden Smith (IND) will be a free agent. So will Jonah Williams (ARI). They're both in their late 20s though and will probably want a three-year deal, with the knowledge they'll probably regress soon. They're also both RTs, which means you're moving either them or Sewell out of position, something they haven't wanted to do. Otherwise, you're calling on a rookie to protect Goff's blindside. I'm not a fan of that. Priority #2 is begging Ragnow to come back. Obviously as a starter. Asking him to be a backup would be downright insulting. If the line next fall is Decker-Mahogany-Ragnow-Ratledge-Sewell, I think we are in significantly better shape that we were this year. If Ragnow will come back for one more year, tutor Ratledge at the center position, and allow Frazier to be a reserve IOL for a year, we are going to be in good shape. Priority #3 is a complete autopsy on the defense. For as rough as the offensive line looked, it's a real possibility the Lions will finish the season leading the league in points per game on offense without making the playoffs. How? Why? You don't need to fire Sheppard, but he needs to have a plan or his seat will be hot. The secondary was depleted, getting torched by better QBs was to be expected to some degree. But why did the run defense go from being a strength to being a liability? Will Kerby be back? Can you rely on him? When will Branch be back? Can you rely on him? Davenport better not be back. How do you finally address the Edge across from Hutch? Levi will probably be back. Can you rely on him? What can you expect out of Rakestraw? What can you expect out of Tyleik Williams? Why did Alim lose an edge this season? The list goes on. All told, I think my ideal offseason includes: 1. Decker returns 2. Ragnow returns 3. Re-sign Amik 4. Sign Jalen Thompson (DB, ARI) 5. Sign David Onyemata (DT, ATL) 6. 1st round edge rusher 7. 2nd round offensive tackle of the future 8. Late round defensive depth
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vs. Setting: 12/25/2025 4:30pm on CBS (locally) & Netflix Site: US Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN Weather: Climate Controlled Opening Spread: Lions -5.5 All-Time Series Record: Vikings lead, 81-45-2 Last Meeting: 11/02/2025, Vikings won 27-24 Minnesota Vikings (7-8) Head Coach: Kevin O'Connell (4th Season: 41-25) Projected Starting QB: JJ McCarthy (2nd Season: 5-4) or Max Brosmer (1st Season: 0-1) Last Week: 16-13 W @ New York Giants (2-13) Looking Ahead to Week #18: TBD vs. Green Bay Packers (9-5-1) Your Detroit Lions (8-7) Head Coach: Dan Campbell (5th Season: 47-35-1) Projected Starting QB: Jared Goff (10th Season: 89-59-1) Last Game: 29-24 L vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) Looking Ahead to Week #18: TBD @ Chicago Bears (11-4) Elsewhere in the NFL Christmas Day: Cowboys @ Commanders (1:00pm), Broncos @ Chiefs (8:15pm) Saturday: Texans @ Chargers (4:30pm), Ravens @ Packers (8:00pm) Primetime: Bears @ 49ers (SNF), Rams @ Falcons (MNF) 1:00pm: Cardinals @ Bengals, Steelers @ Browns, Saints @ Titans, Jaguars @ Colts, Buccaneers @ Dolphins, Patriots @ Jets, Seahawks @ Panthers 4:05/4:25pm: Giants @ Raiders, Eagles @ Bills
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You’re right of course. I rabbit holed this. If the Ravens win and Steelers lose, the Ravens would hold the tiebreaker against Pittsburgh with a Week #18 win because of common opponents. Baltimore beat Chicago, Pittsburgh lost to Chicago. So yes, official stance, we want the Patriots to win.
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It’s complicated but I’m rethinking my calculus from earlier where I said there was a situation there would be nothing for the Ravens to play for. If the Lions win today the Steelers will be 8-7. If Ravens lose today: Ravens would be 8-7. Which means win or lose for both teams in week #17, it would come down to week #18. But since the Steelers beat the Ravens in their first matchup, the Ravens would need some tiebreaking help. In the division, the Steelers/Browns game next week would matter to that. So too early to tell. If the Ravens win today: they are 9-6, a game up, and could clinch the division next week with a win and a Steelers loss to the Browns. Ravens and Packers play on Saturday Night, so they won’t know yet. All that being said, I don’t think it matters. Ravens will want to beat the Packers.
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I've felt the same way as a much more casual movie-goer. I will usually go two or three times a year, often by myself on a day I have nothing else to do. But I won't go if there's just nothing worth watching. I looked last weekend and that's how I would describe the current slate. I have no interest. It feels like it's been forever since I had to choose between two I actually wanted to see. If I had to guess, it was probably 2018 when Infinity War and Deadpool 2 were both out... Normally it's "eh I guess this seems like it might be okay." It feels like we get a really good original movie once every three or four years and then they just beat it to death for the next two decades. None I can think of this year. None I can think of in 2024. We got the Oppenheimer and Barbie summer in 2023. None I can think of in 2022.... Looking at 2024, the top ten highest grossing films were: Inside Out 2, Deadpool 3, Moana 2, Despicable Me 4, Wicked, Mufasa: The Lion King, Dune 2, another Godzilla, Kung Fu Panda 4, and Sonic 3.... Like holy sequel, batman! This year, the Minecraft Movie is the only original I can think of. And guess what's already gotten green lit for a sequel? The last movie I saw in theaters was Weapons, which I thought was decent. But then it's offered in my HBO Max subscription two months later. I definitely could have waited if I didn't want the theater experience.
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Lots going in the Lions favor for this one. They're coming off a loss while the Steelers are coming off a short week. Lions also need to win out while the Steelers will likely be in a win-and-you're-in game against the Ravens in Week #18 no matter what. Steelers are going to be missing their MVP TJ Watt and their second best edge rusher Nick Herbig. Those two combine for a third of the Steelers sacks this year. Goff should have time. On the offensive side the Steelers will be starting a 3rd string journeyman at LT who is fresh out of concussion protocol. Next to him at LG will be a 2023 7th round pick who has been forced into starting duties often this year. They're protecting an immobile aging QB who has turned into a check down king, averaging just 2.4 air yards per pass attempt, the lowest in the NFL. (For context, the next lowest is Geno Smith at 2.9 and the league average is 3.7; Rodgers in this regard has decreased every year since 2020). I think the Lions win this handily. If they don't it'll be as frustrating as the Giants game with the secondary getting torched and Goff throwing a pick or two. The Steelers are worse than their record indicates. They are well coached but lacking in talent and rely heavily on other teams missing tackles on those check downs and making mistakes of their own. Their +10 turnover differential is 5th best in the league. Take care of the gah damn ball and we'll be on to the next one. Go Colts, Go Patriots. Lions 41 Steelers 24
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Quoting from this week’s GDT, but I think this is exactly right. Some people will be upset we don’t control our own destiny, but what does that really mean if we get bounced in the wildcard round? Getting the Niners at home, then maybe even hosting a second home game before the NFCCG, feels like a much more plausible path to the Super Bowl than having to go on the road to Philly, Seattle, and LA, SF, or Green Bay. For the sake of argument, say we beat Pittsburgh and Minnesota, because if we don’t, we don’t deserve to be in the playoffs anyway. If both Green Bay (vs. Ravens) and Chicago (@ 49ers) lose next week, then we are looking at a situation where the winner of Detroit/Chicago will win the North. Either Detroit at 11-6 via tiebreaker or Chicago at 12-5… The loser will likely either be the 7-seed if Green Bay loses to Minnesota, or more likely would be eliminated entirely. Yet another Sunday Night Football finish in week 18?! The Niners still have the Colts, Bears, and Seahawks too, so it’s not out of the realm of possibility the Lions will make the playoffs even if the Packers and Bears win next week. But I think today helped the Lions.
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Love out with a concussion. Malik Willis in. I’m old enough to remember when people here wanted the Lions to draft him.
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Speaking of the old guard, what's Condoleezza Rice up to?
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Probably. It's all a spectrum and it's not like Grasso is going to have to pay the pied piper if the next guy brings about Scandal #347. He'll either be long gone, or have quietly taken his teaching role back. In either event, he won't be making the apology statement. If they can get DeBour or Dillingham, they'll call either of the highest moral standards. But they're not going to seek out Brian Kelly. And if plans A, B, C, D, and E all fall through, I wouldn't be shocked to see them look towards the old guard of morality gatekeepers in the college football world before looking to guys who have won at all costs.
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Based on Grasso's statement yesterday, I would be surprised if they don't have David Shaw and Lance Leipold on their list, even if they're not on ours. "Our University is built on achieving excellence - excellence in academics, research, patient care, service, and athletics. In that pursuit, we are guided by a relentless commitment to integrity and the public good. As we conduct our search for our next football coach, we intend to hire an individual who can and will instill that spirit, and who will represent the highest values that our University holds dear. We will hire an individual who is of the highest moral character, and who will serve as a role model and respected leader for the entire football program - and who will, with dignity and integrity, be a fierce competitor."
