Jump to content

KL2

Members
  • Posts

    1,596
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Everything posted by KL2

  1. Nailed it
  2. But that is just a vacuum. What if you cut short and the krider sucks. Who are you calling up? What if schoop gets hurt. If you cut short and Clemens, kreider comes up and struggles or someone gets hurt at the same time you literally have nobody to call up. You have short sighted yourself all to bring a guy up to give him a look while also ignoring the financial ramifications of it. You keep looking at it in a one year vaccum/ignore injuries or guys struggling.
  3. Probably not So got it since you ignored everything else, make him more expensive earlier, ignore the fact he might be as bad as short all for one extra win this year. Solid team building strategy. You'd be in charge of the 1997 tigers.
  4. And lose them a year earlier to free agency, hurt trade value, risk losing other players off thr 40 man and they might just suck Those are all the risks you have with calling them up today. Are you willing to put all that on the line to see what they have in a season that's gonna end with a top 5 pick? Seems silly to me and ignores all long term risk for the hope of another win this year.
  5. Did we not see this with tork and Greene? Just cause I guy is doing well doesn't mean you have to rush him up to the majors.
  6. Cost control In a lost season
  7. Insurance pays way less than you think. Nowhere worth the scenario you propose.
  8. BAU post for Kdog. Misrepresentation. Distortions and facts based only on what happened in the last 5 minutes.
  9. They're 12th this year. Have been top six the few years before that and led the league in 2019 In 2018-2015 they were in the somewhere between 15 and 20. So wanna try again with your post?
  10. Wait the pitching, which were on about the 18th guy on the depth chart, is what will hold them back. Not the historically bad offense?
  11. I mean it's possible. But they also spent 200 million this off-season. When have the pirates done that?
  12. Irrelevant to the idea that Chris will never get rid of anybody
  13. Didn't Chris already get rid of one gm of a team he owns?
  14. Was being squeezed out. Free agents after next year. 2 young outfield the other is O'Neil at 27. Then they might try Gorman out there and have Corey Dickerson on the roster.
  15. That's the problem But no reasons to say I wish we would have just kept him. At least now we got a guy to crap on in thr minors thread.
  16. Well he was gone either way. This way at least you get something albeit crappy
  17. Should have taken bregmann
  18. Before everyone gets mad, 24 year Olds who struggle in aa usually turn out great
  19. Not on their top 30
  20. Don't we have enough low OPS guys already?
  21. The problem with using bionominal in this account is that it can be used in flipping a coin. Right. So you have either heads or tails and that's it. So you can calculate what the probability of getting multiple heads (but probability is not odds. The odds don't change its still 50/50). In baseball there are 1 of 2 outcomes win or lose. But, there are 12 teams, i.e. coins. It also doens't take into effect other things that can impact the outcome. In a coin flip the only thing that's gonna change it is a wind which is random. baseball is a game of skill and has many more random factors. Those change those 50/50 factors in different ways. Using bionominal does help calculate probability, but not the odds or chance you will win a championship by appearing in the playoffs more times. The previous year in a game of skill has no baring on the current. Maybe one of those other coins is heavily weighted to win. Maybe you keep getting brushed by the wind, i.e. a random bounce. Bionominal doesn't work in this situation.
  22. They are the same whether you have one or 10 at bats. What happened in he previous at bat doesn't impact the current one. The odds don't change. It remains 1/12 whether you have one or a decade worth of at bats. It's why if you flip a coin 10 times it might land on heads 10 times. 50/50 odds don't mean it will land on heads exactly five times and tails exactly five times. Same concept here if you have a 1/12 shot to win the championship, and make the playoffs 12 straight years. The math doesn't say you are guaranteed to win one. Yours odds are 1 in 12 every year and what happened the previous years makes it no more or no less likely you will that given year. Especially in something with as many variables as a game.
  23. Not true at all. The odds are the same and what happen in previous or future years has no barring on the current playoffs. In baseball its 1 in 12 every year. And if you make it the next year its 1 in 12 again. it doesn't improve just because you made it multiple years. It's the same thinking that gets people to spend $100 on lotto tickets.
×
×
  • Create New...