bobrob2004

3 teams won 100+ games in the NL this year and it's the Phillies and Padres in the NLCS, both that failed to win 90. Baseball is a crazy sport.

I just wanted to make the pun. But there are several examples of players that Avila acquired that are not good enough to be an a roster and yet were given 50 chances for no good reason.

Can anyone name the starting 2019 Tigers infield without looking it up? It was only 3 years ago. That whole team was forgettable, probably because everyone stopped watching them. But I guess that's what happens when you lose 114 games. As for the player that defines Avila's time with the Tigers? I don't know. I'm Stumpf. Daniel Stumpf.

I believe it was Scott Boras making up rumors about teams being interested to get his clients more money. The Tigers were starting to spend money, so they were a popular team for these rumors.

A lot of those "non-save situations" were when he was brought in a tie-game. He gave up 11 runs in 15 games when the game was tied and a .378 batting average against. Sure, I don't much much stock in bullpen roles either, but Hinch continued to use him in high leverage games when he shouldn't have.

Does Ivan Rodriguez count?

We can't predict what Harris will do based on Avila's philosophies.

The 11 losses is a telling stat, considering he finishes most of the games he enters. He had the most losses of any reliever in 2022. A more advanced stat is win probability added (WPA). Soto was a -0.74, 24th worst by any reliever. (What's interesting is that he wasn't the worst of any closer, Tanner Scott, Taylor Rogers and Craig Kimbrel had worst WPA). Soto should have been removed from the closer's position before the season ended, and that's 100 percent on A.J. Hinch.

I think we should trade him while he has value.

If Miggy plays in the baseball classic like he intends, he won't be here for Spring Training.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.fcgi?id=langeal01&year=2022&t=p#catch The Tigers' analytics department should have this information and much more. Edit: Split G IP ER ERA PA AB R H 2B 3B HR SB CS BB SO SO/W BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB ROE BAbip tOPS+ sOPS+ Tucker Barnhart 33 30.1 0 0.00 108 96 4 10 2 1 0 4 0 10 36 3.60 .104 .204 .146 .350 14 4 2 0 0 0 1 .167 12 2 Dustin Garneau 2 1.1 2 13.50 7 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1.00 .200 .429 .200 .629 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 .250 101 109 Eric Haase 36 31.2 24 6.82 156 130 31 37 4 1 5 2 1 20 45 2.25 .285 .383 .446 .829 58 0 2 2 2 1 3 .390 164 132

First base is not that hard. Tell him, Wash.

Time to see how bad my predictions were this year: Javier Baez 2022 Prediction – 524 AB | .265/.305/.471 | 24 HR | 81 RBI | 15 SB | 25 BB | 179 K 2022 Actual – 555 AB | .238/.278/.393 | 17 HR | 67 RBI | 9 SB | 26 BB | 147 K Jeimer Candelario 2022 Prediction – 534 AB | .275/.359/.463 | 18 HR | 76 RBI | 0 SB | 65 BB | 124 K 2022 Actual – 429 AB | .217/.272/.361 | 13 HR | 50 RBI | 0 SB | 28 BB | 109 K Eduardo Rodriguez 2022 Prediction – 202 IP | 14-9 W/L | 3.79 ERA | 1.277 WHIP | 221 K | 68 BB 2022 Actual – 91 IP | 5-5 W/L | 4.05 ERA | 1.330 WHIP | 72 K | 34 BB Robbie Grossman 2022 Prediction – 548 AB | .243/.357/.416 | 20 HR | 58 RBI | 20 SB | 92 BB | 141 K 2022 Actual – 411 AB | .209/.310/.311 | 7 HR | 45 RBI | 6 SB | 56 BB | 129 K Miguel Cabrera 2022 Prediction – 475 AB | .248/.307/.368 | 12 HR | 59 RBI | 0 SB | 38 BB | 126 K 2022 Actual – 397 AB | .254/.305/.317 | 5 HR | 43 RBI | 1 SB | 28 BB | 101 K Casey Mize 2022 Prediction – 157 1/3 IP | 8-9 W/L | 4.36 ERA | 1.185 WHIP | 131 K | 41 BB 2022 Actual – 10 IP | 0-1 W/L | 5.40 ERA | 1.500 WHIP | 4 K | 2 BB Akil Baddoo 2022 Prediction – 471 AB | .240/.309/.406 | 14 HR | 52 RBI | 24 SB | 48 BB | 147 K 2022 Actual – 201 AB | .204/.289/.269 | 2 HR | 9 RBI | 9 SB | 24 BB | 64 K Tarik Skubal 2022 Prediction – 161 IP | 10-10 W/L | 4.08 ERA | 1.205 WHIP | 178 K | 50 BB 2022 Actual – 117 2/3 IP | 7-8 W/L | 3.52 ERA | 1.156 WHIP | 117 K | 32 BB Jonathan Schoop 2022 Prediction – 578 AB | .268/.308/.424 | 21 HR | 75 RBI | 1 SB | 31 BB | 130 K 2022 Actual – 481 AB | .202/.239/.322 | 11 HR | 38 RBI | 5 SB | 19 BB | 107 K Michael Pineda 2022 Prediction – 122 IP | 7-9 W/L | 4.43 ERA | 1.238 WHIP | 96 K | 25 BB 2022 Actual – 46 2/3 IP | 2-7 W/L | 5.79 ERA | 1.414 WHIP | 26 K | 8 BB Tucker Barnhart 2022 Prediction – 321 AB | .227/.301/.352 | 6 HR | 38 RBI | 0 SB | 31 BB | 95 K 2022 Actual – 281 AB | .221/.287/.267 | 1 HR | 16 RBI | 0 SB | 25 BB | 74 K Matt Manning 2022 Prediction – 131 2/3 IP | 7-9 W/L | 4.65 ERA | 1.352 WHIP | 111 K | 43 BB 2022 Actual – 63 IP | 2-3 W/L | 3.43 ERA | 1.175 WHIP | 48 K | 19 BB Spencer Torkelson 2022 Prediction – 560 AB | .241/.315/.463 | 32 HR | 86 RBI | 0 SB | 58 BB | 159 K 2022 Actual – 360 AB | .203/.285/.319 | 8 HR | 28 RBI | 0 SB | 37 BB | 99 K Riley Greene 2022 Prediction – 374 AB | .257/.330/.455 | 15 HR | 47 RBI | 8 SB | 38 BB | 126 K 2022 Actual – 376 AB | .253/.321/.362 | 5 HR | 42 RBI | 1 SB | 36 BB | 120 K Austin Meadows 2022 Prediction – 529 AB | .263/.342/.501 | 27 HR | 96 RBI | 7 SB | 62 BB | 127 K 2022 Actual – 128 AB | .250/.347/.328 | 0 HR | 11 RBI | 0 SB | 16 BB | 17 K

Not positive at all. It just is what it is.

Even if Tork's batting average were higher, we would all be wondering why he hasn't hit for more power. That's the most concerning part of it. With Greene, the stats shows why, low flyball rate, low launch angle, etc. At his age, it's optimistic enough that he would gain power in the future. It's also optimistic enough for Tork too. But at this point, even a deep dive in the stats has Tork at a more disappointing end than Greene.

I don't fully agree with this. Even if Greene and Torkelson had similar offensive numbers, Greene will still have a better WAR because he's playing above average defense at a premium position. It's similar to when Trout would have a higher WAR than Miggy. It was already mentioned, but Torkelson has a 40.6% fly ball rate compared to Greene's 24%. This is a big enough difference to at least partially explain the difference in BABIP. Greene has an expected batting average of .244 compared to Torkelson's .222. And despite this difference, they still have similar home run totals. The barrel% isn't even that similar, Torkelson has a 7.9% compared to Green's 9.6%.

So what stats were you referring to that are similar that isn't based on results?

Greene has a 99 wRC+ and a 0.9 WAR. Torkelson has a 69 wRC+ and a -1.2 WAR. Those are big differences.

Sure, the logical thing to do is hang onto Baddoo for two reasons, he's young and he's cheap. There's no way you're going to be able to overhaul the entire roster in one off-season, and it makes sense that Baddoo is going to stay since there's a sliver of a chance he can perform adequately enough. If Harris does his job right, I don't think Baddoo has any shot of a starting job, but maybe he can be a bench player (especially since there are always unforeseen injuries). I'm not a fan of Baddoo, but I'm also not a fan of most of the hitters the Tigers currently have. There are only three hitters worth keeping, Greene, Hasse and Baez (and you only keep Baez because of his contract). Maybe keep Meadows because he can potentially be healthy enough to be a comeback player. They could get rid of everyone else and I wouldn't be upset about it. There are some worth keeping because of the potential upside, (such as Torkelson, Kreidler, and Carpenter) and I guess some people think Baddoo fits this category too. I just don't see it and think he's just a one year wonder. I think maybe the way everyone has hit this year made me failed to recognize someone's potential. They way I feel I just want Harris to blow everything up and start over.

There's obviously more upside in Torkelson. I'm not about to hand him first base for next season either, though.

Haven't you heard that he's figuring things out?

Maybe they can trade him for someone that's actually useful in the off season.

You can pick up the same exact production off of the waiver wire. Baddoo is a dime a dozen.

Is this the same Baddoo that is hitting .198/.279/.266? No, it's time to cut bait with him.

Just last year the Angels released Albert Pujols. Miggy is no more special than him. I would hope that Harris will have the authority to release Miggy if that's what he believes will improve the team.