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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
LOL - I seem to remember one season Porcello came out of ST with like a 0.00 ERA and still proceeded to be his usual <100 ERA+ pitcher for the season.... -
and expansion of credit increases the money supply -> inflationary.
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I guess it's one more thing where the US media does such a disservice to the public. The national news is always full of reporting on the stock market indexes, GDP, employment numbers, but very little of that ever reflects the reality of where the majority of the country lives. It's not like more representative data isn't out there, but reporters are either too lazy or economically illiterate to present it. Instead, they fall back on doing 'human interest' bits, anecdotal pieces about how this person or that person is struggling. Makes everyone feel bad but tells you nothing useful or actionable. Politically, you have to have numbers where you can hold people to performance. If Americans all knew the % of national income earned by the lower 50% of the population from year to year as well as they knew the unemployment numbers or interest rates, then maybe voters might start holding administrations responsible for doing a better job. As it is, all they know is that they are getting screwed, so they make terrible decisions at the polls because they are just guessing or hoping that anything they hear about the economy is the truth.
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If Bird flu keeps taking out chicken flocks volatility in egg prices could be around for a while.
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car sales likely to end at 16M. Retailers mostly showing gains. Travel is pedal to the metal. You couldn't get into a national park this year and Americans traveling to Europe this summer had the Italians and Greeks looking at quotas to manage the overflows at the popular sites. the thing is, it's uneven; too much of the country is either struggling or feels like it is and the other half is buying Faberge collars for their Poms. When you look at aggregates, everything looks hunky-dory. But as the averages increase, the medians keep falling behind.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
He'd be joining a team that is already a lot better than the Tiger team Pudge joined - plus it has a manager and coaching staff in more control. -
that's the double edge sword of inflation and interest rates. Drive rates down, the debt is cheaper to finance, and if low rates cause more inflation, the real value of the debt falls - win/win, amirite? There are so many incentives to bad management. Don't seem to be many to good -- well there is always avoiding potential disaster, but as long as it doesn't happen until someone else's watch.....
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
This probably true for most of the team. This is a team made up of a lot of guys with short track records. Beside Riley, Jake and maybe Vierling I'm not sure anyone is enough of a lock to survive a really terrible ST. But as Hinch is always quick to point out, what they are looking for isn't necessarily reflected in the stat sheet. -
meh - real stuff that people use is what the gov should spend money one. Not to mention that the bulk of the IRA infrastructure spending ends up in the pockets of middle class construction workers. But in terms fiscal impact, IRA spending will start trending downward further out and be a decreasing economic effect. FTM, a lot of defense spending also ends up with middle class workers also, but a bridge or internet backbone project leaves something more useful behind that a weapon system that hopefully ends up someplace like that Arizona airplane graveyard (I say 'hopefully' because that means it didn't have to be used in a war....)
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We are in a weird place. Everyone complaining about the economy being so terrible but as a whole the American Consumer is spending like a drunken sailor - that's going to make it harder to push inflation lower - and just more so if the Fed keeps easing. I think the Fed is still taking some money out of circulation with 'QT'
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Easter Egg?
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I don't, and I desperately don't want to.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Spencer and Jace approve (so far). -
Mohammed al_Bashar, who for what it's worth (and it's probably very little in the end) has been appearing in public in western dress - which is at least a nod in the hopeful direction.
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Cossa back to GR. 😡
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with or without the sulphur and charcoal?
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
actually the third point about baseball is guaranteed contracts. Asinine. Where else in the world do you get paid for not being able to do your job? You can get disability insurance on most jobs - usually pays a max of 55%! So there is a reform baseball desperately needs - a system of paying players for actual production and not a crapshoot on whether they will still be healthy or productive in 5 or 7 yrs. Maybe at lease an absolute inflation adjusted cap on how much and how long any team can pay any player in any year who out of baseball. -
Islamic radicalism is a mind set that doesn't come with a lot of self-correcting tendencies, but OTOH, you can remain a 'baddie' and still be less of a problem than Assad was. Not a very high bar. I think that's all anyone hopes for - or should. I was thinking more along the line that today a radical Islamic leader is likely to have a more internal nationalist focused view than the 'lets start the international end of the world Jihad' ambition of the guys in the line from from BinLaden to Al-Baghdadi who have all already failed at that. And that could mean less trouble for their neighbors. But that's just my speculation.
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IDK if he an explicit beef with the Tigers beyond that they were not a great org to play for in general, but I think his heart was always in Cleveland
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Ok, that parses better than the way I read it at first! To me it should come down to his shooting. In today's league if a guy with Ivey's athleticism can become a real shooting threat, you want him.
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the ironic thing is that coming out of a career in law enforcement, Harris was at heart probably a lot more conservative on the kind of public order issues that progressive dems have fumbled the ball on, but she couldn't run that kind of campaign and keep the party together, which is something the Dems need to figure out going forward.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Two things: The outside asset level of an owner and the profitability of a team are two very different things. Owners don't spend their own money on players, they spend the team's. which leads to the second point: the problem in baseball is not lack of a cap, it's lack of anything close to revenue parity. A cap is meaningless if a team still can't afford to spend to it. The cap works in the NFL because every franchise has at least that amount of income. -
I wonder how much computerized order systems have been able to cut down on grocery store waste? You would think it has to have had a huge impact to be able to track and correlate sales histories and real time product movement on a store by store basis.