-
Posts
22,875 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
174
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Store
Articles
Everything posted by gehringer_2
-
at least good enough to fool 538 anyway (it's showing up there)
-
at any rate, he's trying to argue for deflation, which is economic suicide for any economy. Again, either he is just ignorant, or pandering (of course, why not both?) doesn't much matter, but you see the appeal of someone who tells people what they want to hear when any responsible person has to tell them they can't have what they'd like. Obviously there is a limit to how much you can do that (as Jimmy Carter found out), but the leader's job is to be enough of an educator in the public sphere to make people understand what their real choices are vs adderall or dementia (or whatever) fueled political fantasy. The irony is in less than 5 minutes you can explain to any lay person why deflation can easily turn into an economic crisis but it seem all candidates have so little faith in the electorate they'd rather finesse economic questions than spend the time - which in turn leaves things wide open for the idiots.. Bill Clinton was probably the last Pres we had who actually liked to lay out options and explain them.
-
Maybe a neural net where somebody forgot to tie the knots.... (sorry, engineering joke.....)
-
Regular season seats behind home plate at Yankee stadium run min-max of $400-$5,000(!) per ticket. No clue how much for a playoff.
-
Hard to know anymore. Last night my Twitter feed went totally bonkers. All RW trash, smut, and posts in Malay (I kid you not!). I muted about two hundred accounts and restarted several times and it finally started to straighten out but it's still pretty goofy.
-
MBN knows Wings will probably keep him in GR way longer than he'll ever want to be there once he gets there, so why be in a hurry?
-
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
He's a young man compared to Arenado or Goldschmidt though. 😉 -
Hmm. There is nothing at this link. Did Elon kill it already or is it suspect?
-
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
While I think history argues that as many FA signings are busts as are winners, the one thing I have come around on is don't try to scrimp. It's the 2nd tier guys like Zimmermann and Baez where you get burned trying to save money. IOW when looking at FA's I think the downside risk is far more important than the contract cost in the value equation. You are better off paying higher dollar for the player that is most likely to produce than hedging on the cost side and ending up having to write it all off. TL,DR version - if you are going, go after Bregman. -
And the other side of the same equation is that to the degree that Covid deaths occurred in older populations that like your GM had already dropped out of active voting, any political effect is proportionately reduced.
-
I can believe there is a lot more back channel contact between Israel and Iran than might be assumed.
-
IDK - Journalism freed from commercial constraints used to work for the television networks. Newspapers have pretty much always needed to make a profit so I don't know if we conclude that alone is the issue. Maybe it's more that ownership has become more politically monolithic along with more concentrated so there is just less divergence of world view among the publishers?
-
You'd think that if there was a state where it might have had an effect, it would be FLA, but the effect may be drowned out by volatility in the Hispanic vote.
-
Coincidentally enough - I just heard Steve Schmidt talking to a long time Dem pollster and his numbers really do have it reversed. Among those that have voted in all 4 of the last federal elections, Harris is at 55%. Among occasional voters, Trump is up by 5% (49-44 IIRC)
-
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Goldschmidt could be interesting. Old, terrible season overall, but a 784 OPS in his last 300 PA might mean he's still got a bit left in the tank. Is he willing to play less than full time? On the - side, he was walking at a career low rate. -
LOL - Elon must be really worried about his boy after his performance the last two days, my twitter feed has very suddenly gone all MAGA in the last hour!
-
our school board is non-partisan and the financial and personnel management by the board has been a disaster so I had to really drill down on those. We also elect judges in MI, but at least half of them end up running unopposed. The Partisan ballot was pretty easy - I can't even imagine voting for any GOP candidate until their party looks a lot different than it does today.
-
I think this is usually the case. There are 180 million non-voters and I think more of them have D tendencies than R, so in recent cycles getting as many of those people as possible to decide to show up is always the battle. But the voting habit is slowly getting better on the blue side as evidenced by turn out for Obama and Biden. And part of that is predictable because it's class related. The college educated and the old have always voted in higher percentages. Now starting from the new deal, the old tended to be democratic and the college educated Republican. As the FDR generation that were the 1st to receive SS and were completely loyal to the party of FDR died out, the old vote shifted GOP and for a while the GOP had the best of both, the old and college educated both trended GOP and both were more reliable voters than Democratic cohorts. But today's GOP has mostly lost the college educated vote. And as that group has gone democratic, democratic turnout reliability improves.
-
was going to make the same post - I don't see the trump voter as being reticent anymore either.
-
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
The problem for the Tigers is that other than 3rd base - assuming Jung ends up back at Toledo for more development, you don't really have an obvious wide open spot to give a good RHH you bring in 500+ AB. Harris notes correctly that they are too left handed but three of their LH bats are everyday players, maybe even a 4th if Sweeney continues to develop and even if he doesn't javy complicates the situation at SS until they know whether he can contribute.. So to me unless you are bringing in a 3b like Bregman, the likelihood is going to be they pursue more platoonish guys like Canha again. -
Allred taking it to Cruz tonight. If debates matter - which is always questionable, Allred should have helped his cause.
-
Meme steal for the day:
-
Technology casualty. Double line spacing and variable kerning to justify lines on both ends. When we wrote long hand on individual sheets of paper, who wanted to waste a line? When its print on a screen and the printer does 20/sheets per minute or it never gets printed at all, it's hard to beat the look of blocked paragraphs. Printed books still use indents, but they probably still care about page count.
-
Red Wings 2024 October Game Thread
gehringer_2 replied to slothfacekilla's topic in Detroit Red Wings
Pretty terrible call on Seider to negate a Wings PP. -
LOL - After last night, the MAGA may or not care if Trump drops dead and they get Vance, but the media investors apparently do!