gehringer_2

Correct. "Low rate lock in" is absolutely freezing the resale market. But for decades we were building 2M+ new units of new housing every year - which was considered sort of the equilibrium requirement. That has fallen way off in the last decade or two. So sure - given the lack of new housing the stiffness in the used market just makes things worse.

For a good part of my lifetime, a 6.5% mortgage would have been considered a good deal, and most boomers probably paid at least that on average over the lifetime of their mortgages. The 15 yrs of very low rates sort of masked the fact that without abnormally low mortgage costs, housing prices were rising out of reach of too many people. So the issue for housing costs in the US is less mortgage cost than the price of housing. This is a multifaceted problem that has grown up slowly over the years and it touches on zoning, building codes, transportation policy, urban policy etc. It took a long time to develop and is going to take a while to unwind. To their credit, the Dems are at least talking like they realize housing costs are being driven by shortage, but it's going to take a lot more than down payment subsidies to fix it.

And near zero rates have even worse results in the corporate world, it removes investment discipline and a lot money gets put into stupid investments - pumps up bubbles that will only burst later, etc.

Total employment in the US is something like 160million people so to try to measure it down the 200K level is actually an amazing feat of accuracy. But we have people here immediately jumping to conspiracy assumptions when the measurement misses by about 0.1% of the total. You don't even get the gas you buy at the pump measured closer than 0.5%

Trump has 2 issues. Immigration - which exists because the GOP has refused every effort to pass new legislation for over a dozen years, and inflation, which was world wide and the from which the US has recovered faster and with more growth than any place else. There are lots of reasons why the general public doesn't understand how economics works, and every election that lack of understanding is an issue that can cost a good economic manager (e.g GHWB) an election unfairly. But there is nothing new about that.

this exactly. You can keep working a gig like that when you are old if you are in decent condition, but you have to keep working all the time to stay current like Scully did.

I take it as new terminology that shorthands a combination of pitch recognition and covering the K zone. It's the batter's version of controlling the zone. It does seem to be a shift though. When Hinch first got here it was all about 'getting good pitches to hit' -- the 'Shapes' stuff seems to be aimed more at learning to hit pitches that aren't so good (from the batter's perspective that is) but are going to be called strikes if you let them go.

Possibly - or maybe in a simple approval survey they aren't superimposing their estimates of who is likely or registered to vote, etc? But it still comes down to the fact that when you don't have a sampling methodology that can give you a sample you believe is closer to random than a 5% bias, you don't have a very good sampling methodology.

This. Some analysis I've - for instance someone (not Bonior) dove into the tabs of a 3 poll series from Quinipiac (not normally considered hacks) and found the actual difference in their reported results, which showed Trump gaining in the three successive surveys, was ALL in the sample weighting.

And more significantly, her approval rating is higher than trumps. No doubt she is going to lose some votes compared to Biden from misogyny, but she’s going to pick a lot because she is a woman and also because she is next gen (remember Haley’s proposition that whichever side didn’t run an old guy was going to win. )

Depends on how much you want to abstract. You certainly can define a communist economy in isolation from governance, but we do get "Dictatorship of the Proletariat" and the Party as the "Vanguard of the Proletariat" as the adjunct to creating the communist economy directly from Marx and Lenin so the tie has been there in practice. I heard a lecture by Kevin Rudd, ex-PM of Australia, who is also actually a China scholar and for example his take on Xi is that he has a very rigorous ideological reading of the requirements of Socialism and it's that ideological framework which is his justification for bringing the Party back into a more dominant role in management the Chinese economy ( and a more suppressive role in everything else!).

Right. BST pretty much used to say an American wouldn’t recognize a real socialist if one walked up and bit him.

I'm sure pitchers have gone over a 3rd time before, but never in a game I was watching until tonight. Didn't affect the outcome in the end but still a 'want to crawl out my skin' moment for Weaver.

the number of the counts is 3, and three shall be the number of the count. Neither shall it be 2. 4 is right out.

Romney can't help it - he is of the oligarchy.

Bingo. That is exactly the thing. This team can certainly get physical if they want to, but there it still no mental energy in their play - spark is a good word. When you watch great athletes you see when they know they can put their opponent on the ropes and take the game to them, and you don't see the Wings generate that fire on any kind of regular basis. At least a couple of years ago you'd see the Larkin/Bertuzzi/?? line just get in a grove and show up the other team. Now when Larkin is out there half the time his line can't even get possession to start anything. Damn depressing to watch.

this guy apparently created his own paper Seminary and the then gave himself a degree after not finishing anywhere real.

I don't know how far back some of the laws on the books go, but back in the day, the rule was if you didn't have a CPL, you had to transport your weapon in an area of the car you that you could not access - i.e. locked in the trunk. What % of cars have trunks separated from the passenger compartment today? I wonder if that one is still on the books.

The guns certainly. OTOH, I think he said he lives in the city - I have no idea where but Jefferson and Connor is only a couple of blocks from Indian Village or Grosse Pointe so he *may* (or may not) have had reasonable reason to be there.

Sometimes I think the only reason they keep 7 rounds in the NHL draft is so they have worthless picks to shuttle around for worthless players - otherwise it would end up like the NBA where teams have to trade 2nds years into the future.

3,000,000 reasons?

That's why they talked him out of running.

It's a lot of moving pieces! To me, there are two possible motivators for trying Keith back at 3rd - both depend on his arm being OK of course. The first would be his range gets worse as he grows into his frame, the 2nd would be Jace Jung hits but keeps playing a poor 3rd base and assuming they think he would be better at 2nd since that was his 'natural' position before they moved him for Colt. In either scenario Jung ends up at 2nd if he hits. If he doesn't and they move Keith anyway I think 2b is wide open. Or Keith could move back and forth: Vierling RF, Keith 3B, Ibanez 2B against LHP; Vierling 3B, Keith 2B, Carpenter OF against RHP.

Nah - they'll hold one, the vote would just be fixed as we just saw in Georgia and Venezuela.

Stupid rhetoric and not justified by the actual economics. The budget can be controlled without any where near that kind of Sturm and Drang. We are talking single digit percentages of GDP that have to be shifted. But of course generating fake crisis is what Fascism thrives on.