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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. I think this is usually the case. There are 180 million non-voters and I think more of them have D tendencies than R, so in recent cycles getting as many of those people as possible to decide to show up is always the battle. But the voting habit is slowly getting better on the blue side as evidenced by turn out for Obama and Biden. And part of that is predictable because it's class related. The college educated and the old have always voted in higher percentages. Now starting from the new deal, the old tended to be democratic and the college educated Republican. As the FDR generation that were the 1st to receive SS and were completely loyal to the party of FDR died out, the old vote shifted GOP and for a while the GOP had the best of both, the old and college educated both trended GOP and both were more reliable voters than Democratic cohorts. But today's GOP has mostly lost the college educated vote. And as that group has gone democratic, democratic turnout reliability improves.
  2. was going to make the same post - I don't see the trump voter as being reticent anymore either.
  3. The problem for the Tigers is that other than 3rd base - assuming Jung ends up back at Toledo for more development, you don't really have an obvious wide open spot to give a good RHH you bring in 500+ AB. Harris notes correctly that they are too left handed but three of their LH bats are everyday players, maybe even a 4th if Sweeney continues to develop and even if he doesn't javy complicates the situation at SS until they know whether he can contribute.. So to me unless you are bringing in a 3b like Bregman, the likelihood is going to be they pursue more platoonish guys like Canha again.
  4. Allred taking it to Cruz tonight. If debates matter - which is always questionable, Allred should have helped his cause.
  5. Meme steal for the day:
  6. Technology casualty. Double line spacing and variable kerning to justify lines on both ends. When we wrote long hand on individual sheets of paper, who wanted to waste a line? When its print on a screen and the printer does 20/sheets per minute or it never gets printed at all, it's hard to beat the look of blocked paragraphs. Printed books still use indents, but they probably still care about page count.
  7. Pretty terrible call on Seider to negate a Wings PP.
  8. LOL - After last night, the MAGA may or not care if Trump drops dead and they get Vance, but the media investors apparently do!
  9. Probably good strategy there.
  10. I don't think anyone is ready to give up on Dingler after 84 AB. Any hitter needs 500+ AB to know what you have. I was only questioning whether it is all *that* much different for catchers. Heck - Mike Trout had an 89 OPS+ in his 1st 135 AB. I probably shouldn't have used the expression 'out of the gate' when I really just meant as compared to the normal progression for hitters.
  11. and I think it's fine that managers want to take hitting pressure off their catchers so that they don't let their ABs impact their concentration on their catching job, but that's a bit different than saying it's because they are catching that they aren't able to be more successful hitters. They are the hitters they are.
  12. it's beyond ironic that for Biden the mind is there though the body is failing while with Trump the mouth is still robust but the mind behind it is sclerotic.
  13. <rant_on>I don't know how much I buy this great dichotomy. It strikes me as much about justification for not finding catchers that can hit. The big part of being a good catcher is managing the game/staff and that is almost all soft skill. Hitting is a hard skill. The time spent on one doesn't really impact the ability to spend the time needed on the other. There are plenty of catchers who can hit and who did it out of the gate. And there are a ton of good defensive catchers who played for years until they had catching down cold but never became better hitters. It's OK not to value hitting that highly in a catcher but just be up front about it <\rant_off>
  14. Hundreds of WaPo readers skewered the paper in their responses to the front page story on the Philly rally. Like water off a duck's back.
  15. and I suppose Ave Maria is out of copywrite....🤔
  16. I was just so glad to learn that if I needed an auto plant all I needed to do was call Trump's guy - 'cause you never know when you just might be out of auto plants, you know - like you might run out of bronzer.
  17. who is N12? EDIT: an Israeli TV station.
  18. starts out ranting about Detroit again. he knows a 'guy' who 'builds auto plants.'
  19. going to start at least 45 min late. Must have had to send out for bronzer.
  20. LOL - needs the last bit the that link insertion cuts off: Trump, once bold as Achilles on the field, Now quakes like Hector, forced at last to yield. His lofty hopes, like Icarus, take flight Yet fall to earth before the close of night. Mid pomp and cheers, the fatal slip is made, His courage fled, his shame’s displayed. For all now smell his foul and secret doom, A shart, not fate, seals poor Trump’s tomb.
  21. yeah - Jake's bat is what it is at this point. When Dingler turned around his numbers at AAA so well we all hoped there was something there but it sure didn't carry over. I'm sure they'll give him more opportunity. I haven't watched his career at all so have no idea if there is some basic flaw in his approach or not. But if not Dingler, I guess the org is basically in a holding pattern for a bat at C hoping for Lirzano....
  22. doesn't answer the question really. 180 million Americans don't vote and a lot of them are plugged into their AirPods listening to something...... His audience just strikes me as a good fit for people who listen to be entertained but are detached. Just my impression but that's why I'd be interested in knowing, sadly I doubt anyone has ever added 'do you listen to Joe Rogan' to an election exit poll survey. 🙃
  23. that's fair enough - I read your previous post to get to a different take. As I posted before, my only question in that risk/reward for Harris about Rogan would be whether his listeners are voters at all.
  24. I understand that argument, but I'm not persuaded of its strength. I don't think the Trump voter cares if he sees Trump on MSNBC or even CNBC. That voter is perfectly content to get his Trump fix from the captive media RW media sphere. OTOH, I don't see Trump's managers allowing him to go onto neutral ground given his current state no matter what comparison Harris tries to establish. At this point the risks to him with the uncommitteds and GOP habit voters are worse to show himself live than to just stick with advertising.
  25. it's sort of interesting - in the earlier days of live interviews, if an interviewer asked a question that the interviewee didn't want to answer, the normal response was to give a reason why they weren't going to address that question. Today, the SOP by virtually all candidates - not only Harris by any means, is just to ignore the question and talk about what they want to talk about. I won't say it doesn't seem off putting to me, but at this point I have to believe all this stuff is so thoroughly audience tested that they must believe that's the better course.
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