Investing

[Screwball]

That if screwing up quite a few things. I got an email from the college I don't work at anymore saying Canvas, software used for for our entire learning system is down, and on social media a local restaurant posted this;

 

Of course I have an order on AMZN I am anxiously waiting on. Wonder how much it will be delays. I could log in but not track the package.

[Deleterious]

2 hours ago, Screwball said:

That if screwing up quite a few things. I got an email from the college I don't work at anymore saying Canvas, software used for for our entire learning system is down, and on social media a local restaurant posted this;

 

Of course I have an order on AMZN I am anxiously waiting on. Wonder how much it will be delays. I could log in but not track the package.

Saw a blurb that the NFL uses AWS for their tickets.  Might impact the Lions game tonight.  

[gehringer_2]

2 hours ago, Screwball said:

That if screwing up quite a few things. I got an email from the college I don't work at anymore saying Canvas, software used for for our entire learning system is down, and on social media a local restaurant posted this;

 

 

Of course I have an order on AMZN I am anxiously waiting on. Wonder how much it will be delays. I could log in but not track the package.

UM reported Canvas unavailability in A^2 as well.

[Tigeraholic1]

21 minutes ago, Deleterious said:

Saw a blurb that the NFL uses AWS for their tickets.  Might impact the Lions game tonight.  

Goodell master classs, make the Lions play in a empty stadium on MNF! 🤣

[Screwball]

Wait till AI fixes this ****.

[Screwball]

On 10/17/2025 at 8:30 PM, Screwball said:

How about a little chart porn. I love chart porn. Below is a chart of the S&P going back to March. You can see the low bubble at 4835.04 (4/7/2025) and the high bubble at 6764.58 (10/10/2025). That's about a 40 percent rip if I did the math right. That's nuts.

If you look up at the very top right, there is some interesting things going on. Let's look at a closer picture.

The trading day after the market hit the top bubble, Thursday 10-9, it took a big **** on Friday. Since then the trading days have not been outside of that large candle printed that Friday. I think that is something to watch. 

Update on this puppy. After 6 trading days, of all the market action between the sell off candle, which is now 6 trading days ago, two of our indexes are still within that candle. The DOW went above today, which the chartist might call a breakout. The DOW is a piss poor index to watch. Both the S&P and the NASDAQ are still within this candle. Not that that means anything, but I'm getting a kick out of watching it.

I would love to find some 108 year old Japanese guy who helped develop the candlestick system to see if there is a tip here. :-)

[Screwball]

5 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

UM reported Canvas unavailability in A^2 as well.

I really liked Canvas. I always kept a "development shell" which served as inventory to use as needed. But that's only my simple end. I thought it was a very good system. But then there is stuff like what happened today. If I go to class and can't get into Canvas (as well as the kids), we are done, period. 

 

Edited October 21 by Screwball

[gehringer_2]

2 minutes ago, Screwball said:

I really liked Canvas. I always kept a "development shell" which served as inventory to use as needed. But that's only my simple end. I thought it was a very good system. But then there is stuff like what happened today. If I go to class and can't get into Canvas, we are done, period. 

 

We had a home built system a UM which I thought was as good as Canvas for some things, but it wasn't as full featured and they converted sometime in the late 'teens. The class fourm addendum, 'Piazza' I was less thrilled with. Just a rather awkward piece of SW and the students did much take to it which made it rather useless.

[Screwball]

15 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

We had a home built system a UM which I thought was as good as Canvas for some things, but it wasn't as full featured and they converted sometime in the late 'teens. The class fourm addendum, 'Piazza' I was less thrilled with. Just a rather awkward piece of SW and the students did much take to it which made it rather useless.

I never looked into it, but it sounds like Canvas is used very widely. It can really do some neat stuff. During COVID I had 20 people, 10 in two different rooms. Canvas was easy to setup video feeds through Microsoft teams to the room I couldn't be in. Worked great for the classrooms, or people who were remote. Log into Canvas and we are good to go.

Then of course, there was the cluster **** only the brilliant people who ran our school gave me. Room one - E214. Room two - E102. That's one floor and half a wing apart. I guess I needed the exercise.

[Screwball]

Trading day number 7. Dow has broken out to the upside, but the S&P and NASDAQ are still inside the large candle. This is the S&P chart, and today's print is what the chartist call a Doji. Not a perfect one, but close. Given where the open/close was this one was right in the middle. They are known to predict a trend reversal but in this case I'm not sure that is true. If it was outside that large candle, after this 40% run up since April I might believe it more. But it is what it is. Fun to watch one way or another.

The yellow arrow around September 6th is when the Fed cut rates and I called the top. Obviously, that wasn't the top.

 

[Deleterious]

This is on top of the one from the other day.  Sounds like the same issue but different years/makes.  

 

[gehringer_2]

3 hours ago, Deleterious said:

This is on top of the one from the other day.  Sounds like the same issue but different years/makes.  

 

I find this one hard to fathom. At assembly plants the cars normally have to be driven to the rail or truck ramp, - and certainly get driven around the dealer lot prior to sale - and *backed* into spaces. How on earth do flaws in the RV camera system not get noticed before those cars get sold?!?!

Edited October 22 by gehringer_2

[chasfh]

21 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

I find this one hard to fathom. At assembly plants the cars normally have to be driven to the rail or truck ramp, - and certainly get driven around the dealer lot prior to sale - and *backed* into spaces. How on earth do flaws in the RV camera system not get noticed before those cars get sold?!?!

I remember being a bit surprised when a direct report of mine at the website I worked at, a young native-born Mexican woman, had joined a Spanish-language evangelical congregation, because Hispanic = Catholic was so ingrained into my mind. But remembering back on what she was like? I could totally see her riding the Trump train. 

[Screwball]

2 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

I find this one hard to fathom. At assembly plants the cars normally have to be driven to the rail or truck ramp, - and certainly get driven around the dealer lot prior to sale - and *backed* into spaces. How on earth do flaws in the RV camera system not get noticed before those cars get sold?!?!

Not at all. I lived in the belly of this beast for 35+ years. It's a ****ing wonder they find their way to work.

The only way they get more ****ed up is if they get bigger.

You ain't seen nothin' yet.

[Screwball]

And day 8 for the big candle. I want to see where this goes so I know what to do next. Rumblings are rate cuts at the next Fed meeting, guessing the conversation will be for 25 or 50 bps. We have no reports to go by as many are not reporting due to the shutdown. The Pigmen know. 🙂

[Screwball]

Since the AI stuff is here, I will put this here.

To make a long story short I decided to get myself setup to run my furnace and refrigerator in the winter if I run out of power via my truck and an inverter. I have been working on this for a few months. I'm good to go once I get a good enough day to work on my truck for about 20 minutes. But the funny part - enter AI - I decided to ask Microsofts Co-Pilot (there are choices - how wild is that when you think about it) about how to do my particular system.

Just wanted to see how it might work. I spent quite a bit of time giving it information and telling it what I wanted to do. It's really wild ****. Like talking to customer service we only wish we had. But creepy. I have everything in place so I was finalizing some of my questions to verify I had done things right. It ended like this;

GTFOOH

[Deleterious]

Speaking of AI.  I read yesterday that Meta was laying off 600 people from their AI division.  

[oblong]

9 hours ago, Screwball said:

Since the AI stuff is here, I will put this here.

To make a long story short I decided to get myself setup to run my furnace and refrigerator in the winter if I run out of power via my truck and an inverter. I have been working on this for a few months. I'm good to go once I get a good enough day to work on my truck for about 20 minutes. But the funny part - enter AI - I decided to ask Microsofts Co-Pilot (there are choices - how wild is that when you think about it) about how to do my particular system.

Just wanted to see how it might work. I spent quite a bit of time giving it information and telling it what I wanted to do. It's really wild ****. Like talking to customer service we only wish we had. But creepy. I have everything in place so I was finalizing some of my questions to verify I had done things right. It ended like this;

GTFOOH

I use AI to make funny videos of myself and a friend reliving every inside joke we gathered over 40 years of friendship.  I've also used it to interpret and critique some corporate speak that comes our way.  It rightly calls it out for bull**** and not really saying anything.  It picks up on my quirks and tells me what I want to hear, and how I want to hear it.  It's sarcastic.  The wit sometimes is better than you'd see on a late night talk show.  I'm entertained and terrified.

 

 

[smr-nj]

Yikes. Reading this last page of posts (& then re-reading them / still baffled) totally makes me realize I can’t possibly incorporate most of this (knowingly) in my life. I’ve often admitted to being old, but now for sure I feel like a dinosaur.

[Deleterious]

2nd round of layoffs in as many months.  

 

[Tigeraholic1]

11 minutes ago, Deleterious said:

2nd round of layoffs in as many months.  

 

EV is dead in the water. Now hybrid, that is the near future.

[Screwball]

4 hours ago, oblong said:

I use AI to make funny videos of myself and a friend reliving every inside joke we gathered over 40 years of friendship.  I've also used it to interpret and critique some corporate speak that comes our way.  It rightly calls it out for bull**** and not really saying anything.  It picks up on my quirks and tells me what I want to hear, and how I want to hear it.  It's sarcastic.  The wit sometimes is better than you'd see on a late night talk show.  I'm entertained and terrified.

 

 

 

2 hours ago, smr-nj said:

Yikes. Reading this last page of posts (& then re-reading them / still baffled) totally makes me realize I can’t possibly incorporate most of this (knowingly) in my life. I’ve often admitted to being old, but now for sure I feel like a dinosaur.

To the bold above - YES!

It's wild the way it talks to you. Very personalized, but it gets even crazier if you use the voice version (I was using only text). I did voice with my phone when I replaced a SSD card in my laptop. Guy had a Aussie accent. Talk about creepy! It was like someone sitting in the room with you.

How much to trust with stuff like this?  I think that is yet to be seen. I used it as a check on all the research and stuff I had done. I didn't post the numbers above, but Co-Pilot was pretty spot on with its assessments when I compared it to my own research, measurements, and calculations.

For example, it told me how many watts my furnace fan would pull. It was a pretty wide range, which isn't good enough to design the system. I could give it a model number for the furnace, and it would get closer, maybe even close enough. But I used an ammeter so I knew "exactly" how many watts I needed under peak load and startup. I don't see how AI can replace a meter, and that difference might be a factor. In this case, one I can't be unsure about.

But it is kinda cool - and creepy.

[Deleterious]

South Park did an episode where Randy fell in love with ChatGPT and shut out other humans.  

 

[Deleterious]

No wonder people want to work from home.

 

[Deleterious]

Just piling on at this point.