Mr.TaterSalad

I wanted to share an anecdotal story from door knocking this morning. I knocked on a door and the lady who answered is probably early to mid-40s. She let me know right away that she is Puerto Rican-American. She also let me know that her and her daughter are voting for Harris because of what was said at the MSG rally about Puerto Rico by Trump's people. It seems to be breaking through.

538 called them the most accurate pollster of 2020 though. There's something to that no?

Atlas Intel was apparently the most accurate pollster in 2020 per 538. They have a clean sweep for Trump in every swing state. Gulp!

What are the crosstabs of the Seltzer poll as far as women to men surveyed and Ds vs Rs?

My dad's father was a horrifically abusive man. He would beat his sons down to the raw skin and make them bleed. He would make them do things like kneel down on bb pellets. He would pick them up by their necks and punch them in the stomach in a fit of rage. If they didn't finish their dinner, he'd literally knock them across the face off the chair and onto the floor and then send them to bed hungry for the rest of the week. At dinner, he'd make them eat things that no kid wants to eat like liver and onions or limburger cheese just because he could be an asshole like that, then hit them when they predictably didn't finish it. He was no better to my grandmother either. In-fact, he was so bad that she pulled a gun on him once while he was sleeping ala Karen Hill in Goodfellas. If it hadn't been for a garbage truck driving by to wake him up, she'd have shot him. In the 1950s, that was accepted as a father "doing his fatherly duties to discipline his children" and a husband "being a man in control of his house." Child abuse went largely unnoticed or not punished by the law if it was noticed because that's just dad being dad. The same thing goes for spousal abuse, that largely occurred towards the wife. Not to mention women couldn't open bank accounts, get credit cards, hold most professions, and on. So to the women in this video, you need to reconsider and relearn history because 1950 and June Cleaver isn't what you think it is.

Call me Debbie Downer or whatever, but I just can't get behind the idea that we're winning Florida and the Senate seat there. I think we can be more competitive and bring it closer to what it was in 2018 or 2016. But to believe Florida went from a loss for Biden in 2020 to a blowout of the Dems in 2022 to them suddenly winning it now is just a bit too far for me to believe. I'd love to see it happen and be proven wrong.

No, I don't remember that one. I'd love to see him excuse Trump giving head to his microphone at a public campaign event. I guess the Trump campaign really does think they're ahead in this race.

Can you imagine Barack Obama mimicking giving his microphone a blow job when he ran for President.

A guy who bankrupted casinos no less. A guy who has stuffed multiple contractors and failed to pay up when he owes the bill too.

I'm guilty as anyone of using the "but 2016" argument. That said, it will be nice to be potentially be able to put that argument to bed once and for all if we pull this off.

Not sure if this was shared here yet. I thought Patrick had some interesting EV analysis for Michigan.

Jesus Christ that makes the Herschal Walker trade look like a steal.

Edit for double posting.

I hate to say this, but Winfrey says **** that ends up not being true. I'd love to believe she is right, but I don't believe her.

MMGA . . . MAKE MEASLES GREAT AGAIN!

MPGA . . . Make Polio Great Again!

I always love the narcissists lie of "nobodies done more for X than me."

Because we had no better, realistic choice to win with and we couldn't let Trump win again. And yes, the 1996 Telecommunications Act, and many other forms of deregulation, are an affront to democracy. Allowing corporations to have complete control over workers and society is indeed a problem for democratic institutions. As is allowing consolidation, where a small handful of corporations control more than 2/3rds of he radio and TV stations in this country. The right wing media ecosphere, formed on talk radio originally, did indeed give rise to the right's power. Whether it be the Republican Revolution of 1994, George W. Bush winning in 2000, or the Tea Party in the late 2000's, right wing talk radio aided all of that. And deregulation of radio and other media outlets, done through the 1996 Telecommunications Act, aided that all along.

https://twitter.com/KamalaHQ/status/1851703907115835772 For some reason the link won't embed. Anyways, Steve Bannon said that Laura Loomer would be the new White House Communications Chief if Trump wins.

If you assume every Stein vote would have went to Hillary from the left don't you also have to assume every Gary Johnson vote from the right would have went to Trump? Gary Johnson got 172,136 votes in Michigan. If even half the Libertarian Party voters go to Trump instead of Johnson he still wins over Hillary.

It would still be nice to have their votes in the Harris coalition though. We need all the votes we can get.

Ronald Reagan did far more damage to our Democratic institutions than Sanders. As did Clinton's deregulation, Telecommunications Act and otherwise. The 1996 Telecommunications Act is particularly egregious though because it allowed local broadcast media, radio especially, to be coopted and monopolized by big media companies that support conservative view points. Right wing radio and TV media exploded thanks to companies like Clear Channel, Cumulus, New Corp, and Sinclair. These companies were able to buy up thousands of radio and TV stations across the country and bring on dozens of right wing, conservative syndicated talk show hosts after the 1996 Telecommunications Act went through.

Sure, but Whitmer still won overall with Arab-American and Muslim voters. That is looking less likely this time. I don't doubt that social issues cost us some votes due to many Muslims conservative religious views. But when abortion was on the ballot in Michigan, Whitmer still won overall with Arab-Americans and Muslims.

I saw your typo so I fixed it. Thanks to Bubba's deregulation with the Telecommunications Act of 1996, we ended up with the rise of right wing hate media and talk radio. The problems of Trump started waaaaay before he came onto the political scene. From Reagan to Bubba to Newt Gingrich, the era of deregulation has ruined this country and driven the politics of it.