Screwball
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Everything posted by Screwball
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I couldn't agree more. I was involved in a six sigma project as well. Locked in a room for 2 years to reinvent the mousetrap. Toward the end, when the under qualified wannabes were puzzled we got the wrong answer - management was all ****ed up - they didn't know what to do. So they lied about the management was all ****ed up and made up a bunch of BS to cover their own ass. SO, us the worker bee's who made the trains run on time (as usual and always) created a new mouse trap and won awards, stock options, and raises for all. Everyone was happy, but we saved the day, not the geniuses who thought they were. AI will make these same boondoggles bigger, worse, and more expensive when they blow up. I'm retired so I hope I can read about all the corporate carnage I will miss. **** those people.
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Speaking of energy costs... I had a contract with an electrical supplier for 12 months at .0523 per kWh. This expired and it went to .0779 per kWh. I just got a notice this will expire on Nov 30 and will go to .103 kWh. So I went shopping. In Ohio on AEP distribution. Best I can find for a 12 month rate with no fees is .0863 per kWh, or .0796 with a $100 dollar early cancellation fee. The cost per kWh is less than 40% of the bill so you are only saving on that much. Distribution, transmission, and customer charges still apply. My point - our energy costs will continue to go up.
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This is an example from back in May of a personal care physician's experience with the AI model.
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I am more worried about AI replacing jobs that can't be replaced because some dip**** in a corporate office promotion and raise depends on his pet AI project that will never work. When it all goes to hell, he got his promotion and the place is all ****ed up because they spent millions on a giant boondoggle. Then everyone pays the price. Believe it or not, there are a bunch of corporate dickheads who ain't too smart.
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It doesn't know what it doesn't know - I like that and I think that sums it up quite well. In the example above, it didn't know the standards for the drawings, but the drawing makes no sense either. None. The punch is designed wrong to begin with, isn't positioned correctly, and there are no clearance specs. Which has nothing to do with the standards that are also wrong. Even worse, it is assuming a material of mild steel thickness of .03 to .05. Well guess what, a 2 ton cylinder doesn't have enough force to punch a 1" hole in mild steel, especially considering a safety factor. That's the kind of stuff it should know. I suppose I could feed in a much better set of instructions and see what happens, but at this point I would "leverage" another design, change some components, and create the needed drawings for production and be on my way. You are fired AI, I got this.
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The drawing also shows it doesn't know ASME Y14.5 or ANSI standards which is what the industry uses.
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Here is an example of how this doesn't do what it needs to do. I used to do a bunch of tool & die design. Many times simple punches with a die set. So I asked my co-pilot what it could do. *** Absolutely, <insert name> . Designing a die set for a 1" diameter punch requiring 2 tons of force involves careful consideration of material, clearance, alignment, and safety. Here's a conceptual breakdown tailored to your specs: π οΈ Die Set Design for 1" Punch (2 Tons Force) βοΈ Key Parameters β’ Punch Diameter: 1.000" β’ Required Force: 2 tons (4,000 lbs) β’ Material Being Punched: Assumed mild steel (~0.030"β0.050" thick) unless specified β’ Punch Type: Round, flat-face β’ Operation: Manual press or hydraulic π§© Components & Design Features 1. Punch β’ Material: A2 tool steel, hardened to ~58β60 HRC β’ Shape: Cylindrical with flat face, slight chamfer on edge (~0.010" Γ 45Β°) β’ Shank: 0.75" diameter Γ 2" long for mounting β’ Retention: Set screw or shoulder in punch holder 2. Die Button β’ Material: D2 tool steel, hardened β’ Clearance: ~0.002"β0.004" per side (total ~0.004"β0.008") β’ Die hole: ~1.004"β1.008" diameter β’ Mounting: Press-fit or bolted into die block β’ Relief: Tapered relief below cutting edge to reduce friction 3. Punch Holder β’ Material: Mild steel or tool steel β’ Design: Slotted or bored to accept punch shank β’ Fastening: Set screw or dowel pin for alignment 4. Die Block β’ Material: Mild steel with hardened die insert β’ Size: ~3" Γ 3" Γ 1" thick (depends on press and mounting) β’ Mounting Holes: For bolting to press bed 5. Guide Pins (Optional) β’ Purpose: Maintain alignment between punch and die β’ Design: Two hardened pins with bushings π Assembly & Alignment β’ Ensure concentricity between punch and die hole β’ Maintain vertical alignment to prevent side loading β’ Use shims or adjustable stops to control punch depth π Safety & Durability β’ Add stripper plate if material tends to stick to punch β’ Consider spring return or urethane ejector for slug removal β’ Regularly inspect for wear and regrind punch/die edges Would you like a visual diagram or CAD-style layout of this setup? I can sketch out the punch, die, and holder arrangement to help you visualize it. Or if youβre working with a specific material or press, I can tailor the design even further. fad* ***** That is really nothing but a bunch of BS. It has no clue what it just did even though some of the stuff is correct and makes sense. I will not replace me, and that's a good thing.
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In my case this little AI experiment went pretty well. I would expect AI to do well in this arena - after all, it was born from zeros and ones - just like a computer. So we are now in HAL 9000 territory, are we not? But I think there are severe limitations, not only to the technology itself, but what will be needed to scale, as in the necessary requirements for data centers, which also means power and water infrastructure. I have also tried AI for other things. HTML/website (not very good), home problems (bad), electrical inverters (OK, but not great), and left me unimpressed. I have read countless articles saying pretty much the same thing. It still goes back to the old computer saying "junk in - junk out." It will never replace what is known as experience learned by humans over their lifetime, IMO. It is also a boondoggle due to the power and cooling needs that don't exist and will prove to be too expensive to scale. This is a bubble looking for a pin. That's pretty funny. I think John Lennon wrote a song about you, something about a dreamer. I mean that in a good way, just to be clear. No amount of anything will fix this ****hole, and that surely includes the pukes in DC or some AI generated bull****. But I give you extra credit for getting common sense, political parties, and facts in the same paragraph. π Adding, from what I have read from some doctors I read, we want this AI **** as far away from our already inept medical system as possible. Which right now it the exact opposite of what is happening. Nothing will **** this up like AI will.
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I'm not an AI fan, but I've been a computer fan since they were invented. They pretty much were a huge part of putting food on my table and feeding 4 kids. All depends on how you use them, but they made a ****load of people a nice living. But I do have a little AI story. My main computer (laptop) had a drive going bad. It's about 8 years old. Long story short, I had a guy put a ssd drive in an extra slot and we started booting from there, which made the old one a storage device long enough to get the data I wanted off. It was partially corrupted. There is still another slot so I bought another ssd (500 gb) to setup as a backup. I didn't want to bother this guy and it doesn't look to difficult to do anyway so I decided to do it myself. Since my computer will be off I wanted to transfer the transcript to my phone so I had the directions handy as I tore off the back of my laptop. I was using Microsoft co-pilot, new to me. Once I got into this, I couldn't get the battery unhooked, so I got on my phone to ask for help - it started talking to me. WTF? Don't know how, but it did. OK, so let's go with the flow. For the next 15 or 20 minutes I am having a conversation with what sounds like a really nice Australian guy - and customer service like we have never had before - and they are there at all times. They even tell you so. I'm right here to help, just ask. Your doing fine... It's creepy. But it did a great job helping me add this drive (it wasn't that tough). But still, creepy. Once done, my instinct said to say thank you - to who? Just for ****s and grins, I asked it if he was from Australia. No (your name - they do that a lot), just a typical AI. Then I told it they didn't have to listen anymore. They said OK and have a nice night they are always there for me. Settings, apps, co-pilot, uninstall
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the 1%'ers make money if the market goes up or down. If it blows up the banks in the process, we bail them out. News at 11. Read things like it's 1999 again, just before the dot-com blowup. Might be right. The only people who will get ****ed is us. Fun watching your retirement account take a beating in only a few months. Late 2008 it all looked pretty good. By March 9, 2009, the S&P bottomed (intraday) at 666 something. Ain't that wild? It's different this time they will tell us. Giggle. I think I also caught a Cramer clip saying it was time to buy.
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5/3rd bank sucks in about every way possible. Maybe every way. You will have your very own personal banker that ain't worth a bent ****. Of course all banks suck, for the record.
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The Tigers hitting approach at the plate looks like a bunch of drunk 10 year olds playing Wiffle ball in the dark under a full moon.
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Which Economic Reports May be Cancelled Due to the Government Shutdown? Government shutdown = market all time highs (or close). You can't make this **** up.
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10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
He also hit a home run. -
10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
Except if you win game one. -
10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
They talk about The Mick, but he was a junk-baller, a completely different deal, so I agree. But, these guys throw every day, they have to. I don't know how to look it up, innings are easy to find (not really for me because I don't look for them) but I would be more interested in pitch counts. And how far between starts. Didn't Skubal have like 6 days between starts not long ago? Maybe the arms are too expensive today. -
10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
I just read he is the projected starter on Sunday. WWJLD? What would Jim Leyland do? He's my hero, followed his whole career. Was mad when they hired Sparky (had a dog named Sparky) instead of Jim. Was thrilled when he finally got the job. I live an hour a way from a high school baseball field named after him. I was so sad when he retired. I can't watch his hall of fame speech because I would cry like a baby. I'm guessing Jimmy would give Tarik the ball game one, and tell him to get it done. You take the game to them. Go with your best. Win game one, the pressure is on them. No matter, I'm going to get 40 years older in the next week. -
10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
Depending on what they decide, Skubal will pitch game 1 and 4, or 2 and 5. If he goes 1 and 4, game 4 will be in Detroit. If 2 and 5, both will be in Seattle. What is the advantage/dis-advantage to the ball park and matchups of the parks? -
10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
I want to win game one. -
10/2/25 3:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 3
Screwball replied to Biff Mayhem's topic in Game Threads
I'm old and I'm old school. I don't see how they don't start Skubal game one no matter when it is. I don't know how to look up the stats, but like someone said, he's had some rest. I think he went a little over a hundred pitches that day, and around 92ish the game before. He's a horse, and shouldn't be overworked. He throws every day except maybe the day after a start. Besides, he will be gone anyway. And Detroit should be glad that happens. He will be too expensive, so get something. He will break down early and never make the end of the contract he will command. He's already had arm surgery as I understand. He has a violent delivery that will eventually doom him. I love to watch him work, and he is absolutely (as Rod Allen would say) filthy when he gets it all going at the same time. Incredible talent. This chance only happens once every so often, maybe a lifetime. My Indian friends were talking about 1948 today. We are lucky, many remember 84, and maybe some 68. But this is when you leave it all on the line. Nut the **** up. And quit swinging at bad pitches. -
IMO, the worse drive in Ohio is going South 23 from anywhere. The road you need to take to Columbus. From about anywhere North. Just on the North side of Deleware (nice state park) is a traffic light. First light is Rt. 229. Rt. 270 is 43 miles away. I think I have lost count, but pretty close, there are 38 traffic lights.
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I don't know if this dip**** knows his role, or he doesn't know he is the Mark - using poker vernacular. When this whole ****house blows up, which it is about to do, someone gets the blame. It will be him. Someone has to take the blame, why not him? And hey look, we have Al Czervik from Caddyshack. So easy. You can't make this **** up. As the old Jerry Reed song said years ago...something about the gold mine and the shaft. I can't wait until the part of the movie when they bail out the banks, again.
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As you are driving south going through Findlay, watch on the left for about...5 huge windmills, not sure how many. There is a Whirlpool plant just off 75, I don't remember how much of it you can see, if any, but you can see the windmills. Whirlpool and a company called Ball Corporation financed them to feed their plants (only paid part of the bill). They go back to the mid or early teens. Whirlpool has a huge dishwasher plant there. I worked there when they were putting up the windmills. Once the large support was in place, you could see guys standing in the cavity where the spinning shaft will eventually be. Fun to watch it all go on, but...given hundreds of us had to get in and out from all over, it was a real pain at times. When they shipped in the blades traffic was a giant cluster. I wonder, if they were not so close to 75 if it would have ever had happened? Those blades are pretty long. They could never truck them to Cornhole. Funny town Findlay. They are on the I75 corridor, which is a good thing. That helped them grow. They also have Marathon Oil's corporate office, Cooper Tire & Rubber (who I think might have been bought out by Goodyear) as a couple big names. The downtown is small, but kind of neat. Quite a few food places to chose from. But they have trouble with floods. The Blanchard river has flooded ever since Moby **** was a minnow, and they never did jack squat. It ended up running places away from downtown because they kept getting flooded. It's a very wealthy town. There is a...I don't know what to call it...myth maybe. They said that Dave Thomas of Wendy's fame square hamburger was stolen from a Findlay restaurant named Wilson's. I don't know if that is true, but I ate there, and they are square. It was a long time ago, but I don't remember when. First famous person I think of is Ben Roethlisberger.
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9/30/2025 1:08 pm Tigers @ Guardians AL Wild Card Game 1
Screwball replied to oblong's topic in Game Threads
Baseball and girlfriends are not a good match. Maybe for a while, but... At least way back when. They got a huge break today. Don't beat yourself. Back to the basics - as always.
