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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. that would be an 11% ->D swing since 2020.
  2. Mitch Albom school of journalism. 😉
  3. I suppose because in his mind, if he was only hit by a bit of flying glass, then Comperatore's death might have become a bigger story than he would be.
  4. If you can afford or have room to have an extra vehicle. The crew cab is probably the primary family vehicle in households that have one and that's the same reason they get fancy, just like people go top of the line with a good percentage of other vehicle types on the market. Maybe especially in the case of the pick-up because if mom and the kids are going to ride in it, Dad's going to have get a nice one......(or at least that's his excuse!)
  5. Now if you live near the coast in the Australian New Territories all 12 months, you better have yourself a snorkel equipped Toyota land cruiser. Otherwise probably not so much....
  6. Pickups at home took off when they stopped building RWD station wagons and starting selling crew cabs. If you live in suburbia and do any of your own home maintenance/rehab, they are about the only thing left you can carry 4' wide construction material in. Many early SUVs had 48" hatches, but now you are down to pretty much Tahoes and pickups. Minivans served the purpose for a while after the station wagon disappeared but everyone hated them. Pickups are also about the only vehicle left you can tow with - so boat, ski-doo, snowmobile ownership is going to put you in a pickup as well. I still have a old wreck of a large SUV or I might have one.
  7. Farm equipment gets pretty large, but would it have blocked anybody's (i.e the shooter's) view from the roof? I guess if you put close enough to the stage...in which case Trump probably would have told them to move it!
  8. SB has a point. The Fed is a reactive operator and one of the things they react to is what the government is doing in fiscal policy. For example, Ben Bernanke was completely up front about the fact that the Fed started doing QE because they felt that government fiscal policy after the crash was too restrictive to prevent deflation, and in testimony to Congress told them that fiscal stimulus would be more effective and reach a broader segment of the population but if that Congress wouldn't act (and they didn't) the Fed was going to do QE even if the benefits accrued more narrowly to the capital class than fiscal stimulus would have (and it did). Conversely, when governments around the world started pumping out fiscal stimulus to keep things afloat when Covid hit, that was a large factor in creating the inflation that led the Fed to raise interest rates and start doing QT to pull back on money supply. So there is linkage, but it's indirect. The Federal government is the 800# gorilla in the economy so what it does will always affect what the Fed does. You just don't necessarily know how the Fed will react, only that they are taking fiscal policy as an input to what they do.
  9. This. I grew up around a clique of supremely competent women who were my mother's friends, many of whom were in the work force doing the work to keep the nation going while their their men were off at war, who while not necessarily unhappy, still all knew exactly how much more they could have been given the opportunity to do more than raise their children after the war ended, many of whom were the leading edge of the movement of women back into the workforce in the 60s-70s.
  10. The lack of investigative results is suspicious but not necessarily of staging - just as likely the SS doing CYA. There is no question that the Trump camp put out false information about the degree of his wound. Penny sized tears in cartilage do not heal without a trace in 30 days. And of course the problem with dishonesty in one aspect is that it only casts doubt on all the others so Trump has only himself to blame if he is doubted.
  11. John McWhorter (NYT) had a different take on this yesterday. One view, which I tend to share, is that Trump is getting more outrageous because his personality is beginning to deconstruct as the result of neurological decline. McWhorter's theory is that he is fine but is bored to tears with campaigning (but must keep at it to hope to stay out of jail) and can only get rush he needs from the crowd by being more and more outrageous - sort of like the comic that keeps pushing to the limit until they go over - a la Michael Richards or something. I won't argue that isn't is a possibility, but it seems like a complex answer to what appears to be much simpler.
  12. FWIW I have three vets in the immediate family, two were lifers, they all hate Trump.
  13. Frontal lobe supervisory judgment and inhibition function turning to mush. At the rate his personality is deconstructing Vance would be be in the Oval Office in 12 months - tops, assuming he didn't manage to set off WW3 first.
  14. True, but waterfront in MI is ~700 ft above sea-level!
  15. of course. I didn't get very accurately to what I meant in my post. I don't see any actual threat to the transfer occurring this time because Biden won't be sitting on his arse if maga decides to act up in DC or anywhere else. So what I meant to say is that the transfer isn't going to be threatened (i.e. the process in DC is going to take place without interruption="peacefully") regardless of whether many, a few, or no cells of maga violence occur anywhere in the country or even DC. They will not be allowed to interrupt the process.
  16. great point. I hadn't even thought about bullpen start days being included, but they may well have been..
  17. If there is one state that might flip unexpectedly, I would most expect it to be Ohio, even though it might be an even bigger lift than say FLA. The energy of the woman's vote in 2022 plus the across the board anger at the state GOP for trying to kill Ohio's referendum rules to prevent the abortion vote are the kind of thing that may stick in the craw of the average hard headed Ohioan and create the a quiet undercurrent of electoral shift that polling is going to miss.
  18. Not good. Might look somewhat better for the Tigers if you looked at the losses per 9 inning of BP work.
  19. At one point the scouting on Sweeney was 'can't miss bat - won't stay at short'. I thought he looked OK at short as far as it went - we can hope scouts weren't wrong on both counts. Like Malloy, though to a lesser degree, Jung's MiLB OPS had a big walk component - but not a particularly high average hitter, so you always have to wonder if that is going to translate. In Jace's short stint in the majors the BB rate was good (better than Malloys even). If he keeps that up his OBP might make him valuable until he develops more ISO. However I haven't been impressed with him as 3B. I hope he comes up with better D if they are going to leave him there.
  20. You couldn't make it up. Just couldn't.
  21. Any reasonable definition of the word 'reform' was about as far away from any GOP intent with respect to these programs as A is to Z. The GOP was already beginning to embrace the big lie theory as political strategy. Protest as loud as you can that you are saving the patient no matter that while your mouth trumpets your virtue your hands are intent on strangling the patient.
  22. and who can't rally in Albuquerque because he still hasn't paid them from 2020!
  23. Make perfect sense - for the three of them the value of a life is too low for them to be bothered by the execution of people in the face of exculpatory evidence, why would the value of correcting a vote mean anything to them at all?
  24. Bingo. Not to mention that without immigration, the US population would probably start falling, which would likely make real estate of just about any kind except water front a bad long term investment.
  25. So the rest of us take one for the team? The argument would be that currently there are externalities adding to building costs which have uncoupled housing prices from direct construction cost, which if removed, would increase market driven construction. The market says the the proper balance of factors creating the value of your house should neither be driven down by the government overbuilding housing sold at below cost nor driven up by government created bottlenecks (regulations or whatever) creating an artificial shortage. But for sure, if you hold an artificially inflated asset of any kind you are always at risk of it coming back to earth whether it be your house, a bitcoin, or an Nvidia share.......😉
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