gehringer_2

I don't know how far back some of the laws on the books go, but back in the day, the rule was if you didn't have a CPL, you had to transport your weapon in an area of the car you that you could not access - i.e. locked in the trunk. What % of cars have trunks separated from the passenger compartment today? I wonder if that one is still on the books.

The guns certainly. OTOH, I think he said he lives in the city - I have no idea where but Jefferson and Connor is only a couple of blocks from Indian Village or Grosse Pointe so he *may* (or may not) have had reasonable reason to be there.

Sometimes I think the only reason they keep 7 rounds in the NHL draft is so they have worthless picks to shuttle around for worthless players - otherwise it would end up like the NBA where teams have to trade 2nds years into the future.

3,000,000 reasons?

That's why they talked him out of running.

It's a lot of moving pieces! To me, there are two possible motivators for trying Keith back at 3rd - both depend on his arm being OK of course. The first would be his range gets worse as he grows into his frame, the 2nd would be Jace Jung hits but keeps playing a poor 3rd base and assuming they think he would be better at 2nd since that was his 'natural' position before they moved him for Colt. In either scenario Jung ends up at 2nd if he hits. If he doesn't and they move Keith anyway I think 2b is wide open. Or Keith could move back and forth: Vierling RF, Keith 3B, Ibanez 2B against LHP; Vierling 3B, Keith 2B, Carpenter OF against RHP.

Nah - they'll hold one, the vote would just be fixed as we just saw in Georgia and Venezuela.

Stupid rhetoric and not justified by the actual economics. The budget can be controlled without any where near that kind of Sturm and Drang. We are talking single digit percentages of GDP that have to be shifted. But of course generating fake crisis is what Fascism thrives on.

IDK, I thought the Dems would crush the Repubs after Trump had ****ed it up for 4 yrs. All they did was dent them a little.

Exactly. Whether he was being foolish is a different question from whether he was being illegal.

I think this is going to divide into two different questions. One - was Williams being irresponsible? I think we get a pretty clear yes for the evening - whatever they were intending to do while speeding with two guns in the car was probably a bad idea. The 2nd is whether a gun law violation took place or not, since it was the driver's car, thus his 'concealment' that both weapons were in regardless of who there were registered to. So depending on the wording of the law that is not in front of us, I can see the possibility of Worthy dropping/declining the case --- and that may generate a certain amount both sympathy for Williams as having been abused by the police, and blow back from other segments of the public feeling he got special treatment.

Correct, but it may make a big difference in the career of that SGT or the LT/Cpt (or whoever it was) depending which one made the decision!

that's an impressive trend for Harris over 90 days. Something special about MN - maybe that Walz is on the ticket? Or is there reason to expect that trend holds anywhere else?

Hmm - Not the way I read it. I thought the SGT showed up and while he recognized Williams, the arrest was still going forward and somebody off site higher on the food chain the SGT was talking to cancelled the proceding. Not that it makes a big difference in the case overall, but it does absolve the guys on the site somewhat. Does a CPL say you can't be responsible for someone else's gun as well as your own? I would guess that would be the defense claim. None of that is an excuse for Williams, just trying to figure out what the PD might have been thinking or what Worthy might decide.

Legally the situation does turn on a technical interpretation of the CPL and clearly the cops on the scene simply followed chain of command. Still stupid though - why didn't he get his own permit? His frickin' brother obviously could have shown him how.

That is the question. I think the one service the MSM is doing this cycle is that while they may still be sane-washing Trump in term of his personal presentation, they are calling out the overt racism of his campaign in a big way, and while that certainly does consolidate his support in a narrow segment of his base, I do still believe that even if there are millions of Americans who complain about DEI, or are sometimes not 'woke' enough to see the institutional forms of racism that still exist around them, they still personally reject the characterization of themselves as racist people, and so I do believe the coverage in this cycle is going to peel of good number of traditional 'mainstream' GOP voters away from Trump because of that. If I am wrong and this doesn't happen, then we will share in the disappoint in our fellow citizens.

As is usual, I can see the election being half a loaf. Trump will lose but it will close enough that he won't go away and the GOP will remain in his thrall. So hopefully the courts have the cajones to put him in jail, or he shuffles off this mortal coil before 2028.

There is the countervailing view that no government is good enough for bad people and any government works for good ones. But that requires making cultural judgments that are taboo, not to mention that cultures do change, often as a result of government policy/action.

Pop concert would probably be Joni Mitchell at Hill Auditorium late 70's. Small venue, a good part of the concert was acoustic, we we in the about the 5th row. Absolute worst was Gato Barbieri, at the Michigan Theatre. He brought sound equipment more suitable for Shea Stadium and just shattered everyone's eardrums with boring riffs that were so loud you couldn't make out the notes anyway!

We are seeing one of two things: a) the dems are flooding the market with bad data designed to counter the GOP bad data, or b)results are filtering in that says the national polling models have been wrong. Take your choice until Tues night when you can cash in or lose your money! 😱

Same story as Italian caring more about the Trains running on time than Mussolini being a creep. People lack imagination about how fast a society can fall when you start caring more about transitory concerns than about process. Argentina, Hungary and Venezuela are pretty good examples but American don't pay much attention to overseas news/history.

That fine but it's also regular reporting, which isn't I was talking about even if that is what the Post calls the desk. I was explicitly describing a desk to do less immediately newsworthy stuff in the public interest that most papers wouldn't budget to to.

This is all good with the exception that poll aggregation has lost much/all of its theoretical statistic power due to the manipulation of polling that is currently widespread. But the whole idea of MOE as a real boundary is a misunderstanding driven by the need for common media to short hand scientific/mathematically complexity. There is no actual boundary on the result, as explained in the KOS article, the MOE is simply the distance around the result that includes some total percentage of the likely outcomes. Change the chosen percentage, the MOE changes with it. It's only a meaningful measure to a particular total probability. Push the total included probability to 100.00..%, MOE goes to infinity. And of course as I have vehemently protested all thread, once you add adjustment factors to re-bias your sample, as all nationwide polls are now doing, the MOE's given are pure fantasy because none of the pollsters know the true error introduced by their adjustment formulae.

We might yet find out the results are not useful with adjustments......

Orwell missed by exactly 40 years with his title.