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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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2023 Detroit Tigers Regular Season Discussion Thread
gehringer_2 replied to oblong's topic in Detroit Tigers
When Nevin comes up the Hens will have 6 IFs with Wenceel on the DL being 7. Once Perez comes off the DL Kreidler would be 8 unless someone gets sent to Erie. -
yeah - you can critique his automotive judgment from the get-go for racing in a jeep.
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04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Right - If you DFA a player, the waiver is irrevocable, but they could put a player on revocable waivers at any time to guage interest before deciding to chance a DFA that get's a guy to AAA. Of course teams can sand-bag each other on waiver claims as well, but those are the options. Whether a play has to accept an assignment can depend on service time rules/options etc. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
yeah - I get that as a general proposition, but after the bad starts the last couple of years the team's mentality, let alone its marketing, is in a pretty weak position to survive giving up games early in the season trying to find out what they've got. Maybe if you have a guy with options and you want to teach him a new position you send him to AAA for month? -
2023 Detroit Tigers Regular Season Discussion Thread
gehringer_2 replied to oblong's topic in Detroit Tigers
again, not to read too much into bad data sets, but if we just compare ST 22 to ST 23 there is some implication to believe this offense should perform better than last year's - which looked bad even in ST. So there is that. OK so McClanahan and Springs were on their game and Turnbull self-destructed. Write the series off. Still, longer term concerns already in view: I'm not liking Maton at 3rd, Carpenter has been much worse than I was hoping for in the OF. Veirling may be fast but he doesn't seem to be a good OF so far yet either. -
Yeah - you've hit on what is sort of the odd part. I think an alternate explanation might be that he suppliment binged, overdid it and ballooned up some. And the issue at the workout was cramping - which could also fit that scenario.
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I got lost on the sequence. He left the scene, called a friend, told them to go to the scene, the friend immediately rolls over on him and tells the cops who sent him. So how does AC get back there again? Did the cops call him, bring him back? He just showed up? He's in walking distance? And he has no shoes? Whatever....
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2023 Detroit Tigers Regular Season Discussion Thread
gehringer_2 replied to oblong's topic in Detroit Tigers
I like Hinch is some aspects - I think he has been great with the bullpen. I think he has squeezed a lot of performance out of a lot of marginal pitchers out there. OTOH, I simply can't escape the feeling that there is something in his approach to managing that negatively affects this team's offense. Yeah - it's all shadows and innuendo but it too many things keep pointing in the same direction - for instance - the team offense was pretty good in ST, sure it's ST but a lot guys were looking relaxed and ready to go at the plate - and the season starts and it's like switch flipped. But what was something I remember Hinch saying?: It was more or less "We don't do a lot of preparation for ST games, but when the seasons starts we'll be much more in depth" I hope they wake up and look good once they are away from the TB pitching staff and I can persuade myself I am wrong. -
I know, it's irritating to have links posted to paywalled stuff, but there an excellent NYT article offering a retrospective of how Sweden's low mandate Covid policies actually turned out in the end. There is a lot of good stuff in there if you can get access, but I'll excerpt a few conclusions and summarize by noting a couple of things: 1-it turns out there is no such thing as 'herd immunity' for Covid - it's just not that kind of virus so all the conversation around that question early in the pandemic was futile. Wrong infection model. Covid has never and will never recede because of infection resistance in the population -rather it has become and will remain endemic. The corollary to that is that Covid vaccination does not stop populaton transmission - what it does do is protect the vaccinated from severe illness. To try and give an explanation of this: Covid is a virus that can replicate and spread via the nasal mucosa - so you can have good systemic immunity from it via vaccination - while you can still be 'infected' and spread it because you can carry it 'superficially'. (What has now been achieved in unvaccinated population is simply past exposure immunity, but that came at the cost of the unvaxxed populations suffering higher mortality rates.) 2-For Covid what turned out to be important was raising serious disease resistance in the popuation via vaccination. That is why Sweden's experience did not turn out to be much worse than average despite the lack of mitigation mandates - they didn't push mitigation that hard but they did get very good vaccination compliance. (And they got a lot of voluntary compliance with other 'guidlines' as well as they are a socially cohesive population.) final word from the article: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/30/opinion/sweden-pandemic-coronavirus.html?action=click&algo=bandit-all-surfaces-variants-shadow-lda-unique-diversify-time-cutoff-30&alpha=0.05&block=trending_recirc&fellback=false&imp_id=710496947&impression_id=cca9189e-d21a-11ed-a71a-b71ef5b5bdcc&index=6&pgtype=Article&pool=pool%2F5bffce26-a993-4ed4-af7d-8894fdf413ca®ion=footer&req_id=251251044&shadow_vec_sim=0.35518996439878153&surface=eos-most-popular-story&variant=0_pers_bandit_diversified
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04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Sure, Maton and Vierling and Nevin and Ibenaz and McKinstry may turn into solid adds and in 6 weeks it will be clear that Harris is a bottom feeding talent procurement genius. I'm just waiting to feel the vibe. 🐻 -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
It's not only a matter of the marque free agents. It's generally the case of there not having been much of anything done large or small that made you think, "Hmmm, that was clever." You can't help but contrast the Tiger's off season to that of the Lions, where Brad Holmes has been impressing at each turn. So we'll grant that baseball is a tougher environment, I still kept holding out hope right up until last Thursday he would make at least one move of some kind that gave me me one of those "Hmmm,.." moments on the Tiger's ledger - but none have come. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
The other point is that just because a couple of better signings don't turn your team into a winner doesn't mean you don't start somewhere. Every team is built up through acquistions and development over time, you don't coast along and then bingo - in one year you suddenly have a filled out roster. It doesn't matter that had they signed or traded for a couple of better players they might still have been swept by TB if those moves were progress toward a better team down the road in the end than the last off-season's underwhelming haul is likely to be. They are a better team today and even potentially later when it matters with Austin Meadows and ERod than they would have been without them even if there is no brass ring this season or last. Unless your only strategy is to continue tanking for top picks - and even if it is - at some point you have to start building. If you're going to tell me that the guy we hope is one of the bright young minds in the game could do no better than waste his first off-season 'cause reasons, that's just a depressing take. Which is pretty much where I am. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
More than Foley, I took from how you posted it that it doesn't really matter who Hinch plays when. If I got the feeling he was at that level of dismissal of game outcomes, I'd be checking out for of the rest of the season! -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
Nevin to off to a hot start, should see him soon. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
TBF, the Foley comment was partially facetious, but still, do we want to be 10-30 by the time it's all sorted out? If you're not going to play to win, get out of the game. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
It didn't need to be a Correa, but - they didn't add *one* bat of any kind that was even a verified replacement level hitter. Soto and Jimenez went for discount lottery tickets. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
1st suggestion might be not to use Foley in leverage. It's keeps coming down to this. Sure, all we can do is wonder, but against a guy like Springs today - I think I'd rather after the failure the 1st time through the order they throw away all their plans and just play 'see ball - hit ball'. All the guessing and taking sure as hell wasn't working. Again, pure speculation, but I continue to get a vibe that the Tigers over-prep the young hitters. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
I have a some sympathy around the fact that the Tigers probably saw Bally's collapse coming and knowing your single biggest income stream was in jeopardy should have motivated any good management to stay somewhat conservative - but there is still a lot of room between being planning to be 'somewhat conservative' and not upgrading the line-up with a single major league bat. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
LOL - !st run scored by the guy that provides *no* line-up flexibility. I rest my case. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
So far Foley is perfect through, 3/3 inherited runners scored. 'Lineup flexibility' has netted us zero runs and non 3b Maton was just unable to make another play that led to a run. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
well, they do currently project to score 108 runs for the season. Would that be historicially bad? -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
If you throw over twice, you might as well thow the third one and either give him the base or pick him off. EDIT: LOL _ as Chas just posted..... -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
They might want to drop Foley off 60 miles short when they come north to Detroit. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
You would think that if a guy doesn't throw very hard, and you can't pickup his pitch speed, you'd basically go to dink mode and just stay back and try to dink him to death. I know, what am I thinking- - that would require the ability to shift gears in game. Part of the problem with being down by only one - they'd rather all keep trying to tie it on one swing. -
04/02/2023 1:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Game Threads
I guess the best thing we can do for the Tigers at this point is start talking about Springs throwing a no-hitter......
