Edman85

I'm blocked by John Feinstein on twitter.

Wasserman has seen enough to declare Russi.

That district includes East Palastine. I'm wondering how much resentment toward any GOP laissez faire policies on regulating the environment and transportation may be playing a role there. It's also not just southeast OH. You have Youngstown in there, I believe. Pretty much the eastern strip of the state south of Cleveland/Akron.

And the left so lenient. Politics is so weird and tribal.

538's first post-Nate Silver model has Biden 53%, buoyed mostly by fundamentals.

A couple years ago, I went through and culled my Twitter to hopefully reduce the amount of outrage that shows up in my feed (and therefore the amount of outrage from my account). It seems to be working now. Quick to mute topics that may lead to craziness (e.g. "Pride" this month).

Allan MacDonald is honestly one of my professional heroes.

Shame you made that comment looking like a bucket of ****

The amount of people that got this Halloween costume I spent double digit hours on putting together a couple years ago...

I'm starting to think gag orders and sitting in court for hours on end may have helped him.

2 factor authentication. External authenticator app.

Stand up to Cancer and adjacent charities that divert resources in the name of awareness for a disease everybody is aware of.

What difference does it make if, on June 8, 2024, McGonigle is in low A or high A? They probably have things they are working on with him; he got a late start to the year. Wait til all the boxes are checked and make the move when they are so you don't have to send him back and hamper his development. He's a year out of high school. You don't rush his development because Javy Baez can't hit my weight. It's not like McGonigle is banging down the door with a 1.500 OPS or anything like that.

If Arenado is struggling at his age, there's a decent chance this could be a sign of what the rest of that contract looks like. I'd rather not find out what that's like on the back end...

Bo Bichette would likely cost Jobe, Clark, and maybe Jung.

Canha was a short fuse. Milwaukee was going to decline his option, so you either had to acquire him for a minor league reliever and pick up his option or fight with 28 other teams for his services. There was no option to wait around and see if you won the Teoscar sweepstakes.

Another Florida factor, based on people I've talked to, is how a significant amount of DeSantis die hards may go to RFKJ

They are broken, but people who publicize individual anomalous polls may exaggerate the extent of their disarray by fundamentally misunderstanding their nature.

Abortion is on the ballot in Florida too, which adds another wrinkle. I will quadriannually caution against using individual polls to come to conclusions though. Even though 538 is a fraction of what it was, their polling averages are probably a better measure, factoring in quality and biases of polls.

Is that account affiliated with the Biden campaign? I've seen it a lot lately, but seems like a trolly engagement farmer.

Am I crazy or are they .500 in an era where 85 wins gets you into the playoffs?

Honestly, f innings limits. I am not convinced they are empirically based. Flags fly forever.

Ummmm... I see no reason to sell when you have a 20-23% chance of the playoffs depending on which model you look at.

This tweet encapsulates a peeve I have about Twitter these days. that torkmoil account falls under this category.

Can Kennedy play shortstop? When your starting shortstop is Javy Baez, you need a second guy on the roster who can play there. That's why McKinstry is still on the roster. His time is running low with Kreidler off the Toledo IL though.