2026 Congressional Elections

[chasfh]

I am frankly surprised no one has started one of these yet. I myself am less interested in the horse race aspect of it, although this would be a good thread to put all the poll updates we're going to be inundated with.

I will lead with this one table I see, indicating how competitive districts are considered to be by the Cook Political Report. This table is not an indication of how the 2026 election is specifically likely to go based on polling, but rather, how Cook rates the basic competitiveness of the districts based on their description below.

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

About CPR House Race Ratings

The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the district's political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candidates and campaign professionals. When sourcing the CPR Race Ratings, please refer to our terms of use. To inquire about API access and licensing, please submit a request.

 

[romad1]

The GOP retirements plus the huge number of "run for something" candidates who are running will likely make a Dem majority in the House.  The Senate is the question mark.  

[chasfh]

3 hours ago, romad1 said:

The GOP retirements plus the huge number of "run for something" candidates who are running will likely make a Dem majority in the House.  The Senate is the question mark.  

That's progress for the Dems, who half a year ago looked like they had exact zero chance for the Senate.