2026 Congressional Elections

[Tiger337]

5 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

If anybody ever voted for a government rep based on whether they liked football this country deserves to be doomed.

I would bet that millions of people have considered something like that in their votes, both consciously and sub-consciously.  

[gehringer_2]

44 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

I would bet that millions of people have considered something like that in their votes, both consciously and sub-consciously.  

probably just about 77,302,580 I imagine.

[romad1]

https://www.mediaite.com/media/news/shock-poll-el-sayed-opens-up-7-point-lead-over-gop-rival-after-recent-data-showed-him-trailing/

welp

Edited 5 hours ago by romad1

[romad1]

Pollster is Susquehanna Polling & Research survey so I haven't got an immediate gut reaction to that.  its not EPIC MRA which are the premier Michigan pollsters. 

Edit: not bad per Nate Silver

https://www.natesilver.net/p/pollster-ratings-silver-bulletin

They get an A- with a very small D lean. 

Edited 5 hours ago by romad1

[gehringer_2]

I think the polling in this cycle is going to be generally useless. It certain has been in MI and  WI so far.

Also for this cycle I'm not going to be impressed by leads - only polling over a 50% absolute majority, and not even much by that.

 

Edited 5 hours ago by gehringer_2

[romad1]

31 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

I think the polling in this cycle is going to be generally useless. It certain has been in MI and  WI so far.

Also for this cycle I'm not going to be impressed by leads - only polling over a 50% absolute majority, and not even much by that.

 

Oh, I think the narrative shift is worth it.  

[gehringer_2]

3 minutes ago, romad1 said:

Oh, I think the narrative shift is worth it.  

no doubt the use of polling to shift narratives has become a key strategy, but it's also what forces you to doubt the validity of polling all the more.