bobrob2004
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4/8 1:10 White Sox @ Tigers **OPENING DAY 2022**
bobrob2004 replied to Tigeraholic1's topic in Game Threads
I just found out he was on the Opening Day roster. -
4/8 1:10 White Sox @ Tigers **OPENING DAY 2022**
bobrob2004 replied to Tigeraholic1's topic in Game Threads
This year is also the year of the Tiger in Chinese New Year. -
4/29.
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I can't keep up with all the playoff rounds, so I'll just guess: Mets over Angels in 7 AL MVP - Jose Ramirez AL Cy Young - Dylan Cease AL Rookie - Julio Rodriguez NL MVP - Fernando Tatis Jr. NL Cy Young - Sandy Alcantara NL Rookie - Brennen Davis
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Yes, I was always spelling it Parades too. I'm still bummed that I learned how to spell Tuiasosopo and Saltalamacchia and they were only here for a short time. I could've used those brain cells for better use.
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I've used it for the last few years. It's good for the whole season. *Blackout restrictions apply.
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That's it, I'm done until next year. I don't care if Avila trades for Corbin Burnes or Tyler O'Neill, I'm not doing another prediction this year. I'm also glad I don't have to do a prediction for Shohei Ohtani. Although on second thought, that one might actually be fun. See ya next year.
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #15 –Austin Wade Meadows Austin Meadows had a breakout season in 2019 when he hit .291/.364/.558 with 33 home runs and 89 RBI. Then production fell in the COVID-shortened 2020 season when he only played in 36 games. However, his production still didn’t fully come back after playing a full season in 2021. Was 2019 a fluke? The first stat that jumps out is his .331 BABIP in 2019, which is pretty high and hard to repeat. This fell to .249 in 2021, which seems to be on the opposite side of the luck bar. I would expect Meads to have a higher batting average simply due to things evening out. What is concerning is the drop in power, going from a .268 ISO to .224. Going into his age 27 season, I would expect him to be entering his prime years of highest production, including power numbers. The good news is that both his walk rate (9.1 percent to 10 percent) and strikeout rate (22.2 percent to 20.6 percent) slightly improved, even though his plate discipline stats show he was more aggressive. He swung at 46.7 percent of pitches in 2021, up from 42.2 percent in 2019. And when he made contact, only 34.9 percent were hard-hit, down from 45.4 percent in 2019. Over half of his batted balls were fly balls (53 percent), while only 28.7 percent were ground balls. This gave him a 0.54 GB/FB ratio, the lowest of any everyday player last year. In 2019, it was at 0.80 GB/FB ratio, which was still below league average. Other split stats were also concerning. Being a left-handed hitter, Meadows is obviously better against right-handed pitching. In 2021: Vs. RHP - 402 PA | .251/.336/.536 | 10.9% BB% | 19.7% K% Vs. LHP - 189 PA | .198/.270/.293 | 7.9% BB% | 22.8% K% Meadows also struggled more when the defense used a shift: 2019 - 286 PA | .322 AVG | .416 SLG 2021 - 335 PA | .241 AVG | .326 SLG Finally, this last split is likely noise, but I wanted to end optimistically. Meadows performed better under more pressure situations. In 2021: High Leverage: 124 PA | .294/.379/.559 Low Leverage: 260 PA | .228/.304/.427 Going into 2022, there’s a lot of factors to consider, new team, new ballpark, entering his prime years, and having another year of experience under his belt. Meadows definitely needs to make some adjustments, but I also think some stats will just naturally even out. I don’t think he’ll be as good as 2019, but I also don’t think he’ll be as bad as 2021, somewhere in the middle most likely. It will be interesting to see how his playing time changes once Riley Greene comes back. Will he be in a right-handed pitching platoon situation? Will they trade Robbie Grossman? Will Miggy take less of a role and Meadows move to DH? Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 523 AB | .246/.326/.465 | 27 HR | 83 RBI | 6 SB | 58 BB | 133 K ZiPS – 526 AB | .259/.332/.498 | 29 HR | 102 RBI | 8 SB | 54 BB | 128 K THE BAT – 509 AB | .251/.331/.480 | 27 HR | 81 RBI | 7 SB | 57 BB | 125 K ATC – 512 AB | .247/.323/.467 | 26 HR | 86 RBI | 6 SB | 55 BB | 129 K FGDC – 521 AB | .252/.329/.482 | 28 HR | 92 RBI | 7 SB | 55 BB | 129 K RotoChamp – 499 AB | .246/.323/.463 | 25 HR | 83 RBI | 7 SB | 54 BB | 122 K CBS Sports – 540 AB | .263/.328/.500 | 30 HR | 100 RBI | 6 SB | 50 BB | 128 K ESPN – 516 AB | .238/.317/.455 | 26 HR | 96 RBI | 6 SB | 57 BB | 125 K My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – N/A 2021 Actual – 518 AB | .234/.315/.458 | 27 HR | 106 RBI | 4 SB | 59 BB | 122 K 2022 Prediction – 529 AB | .263/.342/.501 | 27 HR | 96 RBI | 7 SB | 62 BB | 127 K
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #14 –Riley [Insert Middle Name Here] Greene Riley Greene was a first round pick by the Tigers in 2019 and has been a top 50 prospect by Baseball America for the last three years, #49, #31, and #4. He has most of the tools you look for in a player, including hitting for average, power, speed, and defense (many people believe he can be an elite centerfielder). In 2021, Greeney hit .301/.387/.534, with 24 home runs, and 16 stolen bases between AA and AAA. His BABIP was .392, which is going to be very hard to repeat in the Major Leagues, so his batting average may not reach .300 (at least not right away). However, he has the speed to beat out infield singles, so a higher than average BABIP is very possible. He hit 8 triples and was only caught stealing once last year, for a successful stolen base rate of 94 percent. Both are very likely to carry over to the Majors. Greene’s walk rate was an above average 11.3 percent and his strikeout rate was a concerning 27.4 percent. There were 20 qualified hitters last year who had a strikeout rate of over 27 percent last year, as it’s becoming normal for hitters to strikeout more often as long as they hit for power. Over half of these players (12), hit 30+ home runs. Entering his age 21 season, Greene has time to develop more power to be part of this group. AL Rookie of the Year winner Randy Arozarena might be a good comparison to what we might expect out of Greene. Arozarena hit .274/.356/.459 with 20 home runs and 20 stolen bases, 9.3 percent walk rate, and a 28.1 percent strikeout rate last year. If he’s able to develop the home run power, it’s not at all out of the possibility that Greene can hit like Fernando Tatis, Jr., who hit .282/.364/.611 with 42 home runs, 25 stolen bases, 11.4 percent walk rate, and a 28 percent strikeout rate. Somewhere in the middle is where I’d expect Greene to hit in his prime. Unfortunately, Greene suffered an injury with his foot during Spring Training and will be out for at least 6-8 weeks, maybe longer if they keep him in AAA for an extended period of time for rehab. My guess is that he’ll be on the Major League roster around the All-Star Break. This also allows the Tigers to manipulate his service time so that he is under control for an extra year. This makes it extremely hard to predict his stats, as there is usually an adjustment period for both rookies making the leap from the Minors to the Majors as well as coming off an injury (not to mention how much playing time he’ll actually get). Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 316 AB | .255/.325/.440 | 12 HR | 43 RBI | 4 SB | 30 BB | 93 K ZiPS – 514 AB | .268/.335/.465 | 23 HR | 71 RBI | 12 SB | 47 BB | 158 K THE BAT – 412 AB | .236/.306/.378 | 11 HR | 44 RBI | 5 SB | 38 BB | 133 K ATC – 411 AB | .253/.324/.420 | 14 HR | 52 RBI | 9 SB | 39 BB | 127 K FGDC – 338 AB | .262/.330/.452 | 14 HR | 46 RBI | 6 SB | 32 BB | 102 K RotoChamp – 397 AB | .254/.328/.431 | 15 HR | 51 RBI | 7 SB | 37 BB | 122 K CBS Sports – N/A ESPN – 367 AB | .259/.344/.460 | 13 HR | 52 RBI | 8 SB | 43 BB | 113 K My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – N/A 2021 Actual (AAA) – 159 AB | .308/.400/.553 | 8 HR | 30 RBI | 4 SB | 22 BB | 51 K 2022 Prediction – 374 AB | .257/.330/.455 | 15 HR | 47 RBI | 8 SB | 38 BB | 126 K And that’s all 9 position players and 5 starting pitchers. It’s not like Al Avila is going to make a last minute trade or anything…
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Oh c'mon! I just finished my write-up on Riley Greene and I wasn't going to do any more.
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #13 – Spencer Enochs Torkelson Spencer Torkelson has been the #5 prospect by Baseball America for the last two years and Riley Greene is currently the #4 overall prospect. The last time the Tigers had two prospects in the top 10 was in 2007 with Cameron Maybin at #6 and Andrew Miller at #10. Instead of trading these guys for the next Miguel Cabrera, it looks like they are going to try to build a contending team around them. Tork was the overall first pick in the 2020 Rule 4 Draft. 2021 is the only year he has spent in the Minor Leagues, hitting a combined 30 home runs spread across three levels, including a home run every 16.1 plate appearances in AAA. Power is definitely Tork’s strongest asset, as his batting average was only .238 in AAA and .267 overall, while his ISO was .293 in AAA and .285 overall. 53 percent of his hits went for extra bases. When he hits a home run, can we call it Torque Power? Tork’s on-base percentage was also very good at .350 in AAA and .383 overall with a 13 percent walk rate in AAA and 14.5 percent overall. Like most power hitters, strikeouts are a concern, 20.3 percent in AAA and 21.5 percent overall. I wouldn’t be surprised if this goes up even more in the Majors, probably around 25 percent (especially in the first season). The 21-year-old initially struggled when he first advanced to AAA. He hit .177/.279/.373 in his first 13 games with 2 home runs. But he finished strong, hitting .271/.388/.615 with 9 home runs in his remaining 27 games. It wouldn’t be a big surprise if he struggled early in the year. But I’d be shocked if he struggles so much that they have to send him down to AAA. Torkelson has officially made the opening day roster and will hopefully stay at first base all year. If he struggles, Kody Clemens or Willi Castro could fill in at second base with Schoop moving back to first base. However, I’d be shocked if that happened. In fact, Tork is in early consideration for Rookie of the Year, along with teammate Riley Greene, Julio Rodriguez (SEA), Adley Rutschman (BAL), and the early favorite, Bobby Witt, Jr. (KC). With rookies, it’s always difficult to predict as Minor League stats don’t always translate to the Majors, especially in the first year. But I’m going to be a bit optimistic here. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 454 AB | .250/.339/.490 | 27 HR | 75 RBI | 4 SB | 57 BB | 118 K ZiPS – 462 AB | .249/.334/.489 | 28 HR | 77 RBI | 4 SB | 55 BB | 117 K THE BAT – 383 AB | .238/.318/.415 | 15 HR | 51 RBI | 2 SB | 41 BB | 98 K ATC – 379 AB | .244/.332/.447 | 18 HR | 58 RBI | 3 SB | 45 BB | 100 K FGDC – 481 AB | .249/.337/.490 | 29 HR | 80 RBI | 4 SB | 59 BB | 123 K RotoChamp – 311 AB | .244/.335/.457 | 16 HR | 48 RBI | 3 SB | 37 BB | 80 K CBS Sports – 474 AB | .259/.333/.464 | 23 HR | 73 RBI | 3 SB | 48 BB | 127 K ESPN – 390 AB | .241/.341/.459 | 20 HR | 68 RBI | 2 SB | 55 BB | 107 K My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – N/A 2021 Actual (AAA) – 147 AB | .238/.350/.531 | 11 HR | 27 RBI | 1 SB | 23 BB | 36 K 2022 Prediction – 560 AB | .241/.315/.463 | 32 HR | 86 RBI | 0 SB | 58 BB | 159 K
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My comment was more tongue in cheek. I think at times people give Hinch way too much credit just like I thought people gave Ausmus too much criticism. Personally I don't think managers make that much of a difference.
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Can we put Baddoo in CF and use Haase in RF? Or move Grossman to RF and use Haase in LF?
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They forgot to factor in for A.J. Hinch. He's worth 10 wins all on his own, right?
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Interesting that Greene is playing RF instead of CF today.
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #12 – Matthew George Manning If it weren’t for several injuries, Matt Manning likely wouldn’t have pitched much at the Major League level last year. He was called up in mid-June and stayed in the rotation for the rest of the season, although his innings were limited in September. He showed signs of brilliance (in his last start he pitched 5 innings, allowing 2 hits and 7 strikeouts). However, he was wildly inconsistent, ending with an ERA of 5.80. There are signs that Matty’s (Manny? Georgy? Ziggy? Let’s give him a good nickname) ERA was unfortunately high. His FIP was only 4.62. Also, his left-on base percentage was a very low 61.9 percent, while the league average was at 72.1 percent. Typically, pitchers are not that far away from the league average, so given a bigger sample it is likely that this stat would even out, which will result in a lower ERA. Manning’s shinning stat in 2021 is his low 1.1 HR/9 rate. His walk rate (3.5 BB/9) is higher than he showed in AAA (2.8 BB/9) and AA (2.6 BB/9), so an improvement is very likely. His 6.0 K/9 was a bit disappointing considering that it was at 10 K/9 in both AAA and AA and 11 K/9 overall in the Minor Leagues. It may not go over 9.0, but I would expect this stat to increase in 2022 as he gains experience. Manning throws several pitches, including a 4-seam fastball, sinker, slider, changeup, and curveball. The slider was his poorest pitch in 2021, throwing it 15.2 percent of the time and allowing an opponent’s batting average of .371 and a slugging of .468. His changeup could also use an improvement, throwing it 12.7 percent of the time and allowing an opponent’s batting average of .293 and slugging of .488. It’ll be interesting to see what adjustments he makes in 2022. Going into 2022, the Tigers could go with a 6-man rotation of Rodriguez, Mize, Skubal, Pineda, Manning, and Peralta, with Alexander making some starts. The Tigers have a deeper rotation than they have in the last few years and could afford to send Manning down to AAA for more seasoning if he struggles early on (provided everyone avoids major injuries). On the flip side, I can easily see Manning improving so much that he outperforms Mize and Skubal. It’s really a coin flip at this point. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 123 IP | 7-9 W/L | 4.88 ERA | 1.43 WHIP | 93 K | 44 BB ZiPS – 121 2/3 IP | 7-8 W/L | 4.59 ERA | 1.41 WHIP | 94 K | 42 BB THE BAT – 121 IP | 7-11 W/L | 5.06 ERA | 1.42 WHIP | 87 K | 41 BB ATC – 121 IP | 6-8 W/L | 4.76 ERA | 1.38 WHIP | 93 K | 42 BB FGDC – 114 IP | 6-8 W/L | 4.75 ERA | 1.42 WHIP | 87 K | 40 BB RotoChamp – 119 IP | 6-9 W/L | 4.76 ERA | 1.40 WHIP | 90 K | 41 BB CBS Sports – N/A ESPN – 134 IP | 6 Wins | 4.57 ERA | 1.41 WHIP | 101 K | 46 BB My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – N/A 2021 Actual – 85 1/3 IP | 4-7 W/L | 5.80 ERA | 1.51 WHIP | 57 K | 33 BB 2022 Prediction – 131 2/3 IP | 7-9 W/L | 4.65 ERA | 1.352 WHIP | 111 K | 43 BB
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Now compare Miggy's current contract to his previous one.
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That's awesome that you don't need a subscription to watch the games. Are these replacing the YouTube games or will they still have those as well?
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Neither of them are on the 40-man roster...yet.
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #11 – Tucker Jackson Barnhart Wilson Ramos was supposed to be the starting catcher in 2021. They needed an offensive upgrade and called up Eric Haase, who hit .231/.286/.459 with 22 home runs in 381 AB. He caught in 64 games (while also playing some outfield and DH). Jack Rogers was the primary backup, catching 36 games (Grayson Greiner and Dustin Garneau also caught some games). However, Haase and Rogers ranked rather poorly in pitch framing; Hasse was at -6 runs and Rogers was at -3 runs. This ranked 56th and 49th out of 59 qualified catchers. Enter Tucker Barnhart, who ranked 7th at 5 runs saved. Barney isn’t going to wow anyone on offense. His wRC+ has always been below average, around 78-88 over the last few years. As he is now on the other side of 30, there’s some concern of a decline. His walk rate has always been above average until 2021. It went from 12.1 percent in 2019 to 7.5 percent in 2021. His power also took a bit of a dive, going from .149 ISO in 2019 to .121 ISO in 2021. I can see an increase in doubles and triples, but I wouldn’t expect to see double digits in home runs. His batting average was at .247 in 2021, but even that he may not be able to repeat. His BABIP was at .324, the highest of his career. It was at .278 in 2019 and his career mark is .295. Finally, his strikeout rate continues to go up at a rather alarming rate, going from 16.1 percent in 2017 to 18.4 percent in 2018 to 22.8 percent in 2020 to 25.8 percent in 2022. Fortunately, the Tigers got Barnhart for his defense. Along with his elite pitch framing, he had a 28 percent caught stealing rate, which ranked 5th among catchers with at least 800 innings last year (behind Salvador Perez, 44 percent, Yadier Molina, 41 percent, Martin Maldonado, 40 percent, and Buster Posey, 31 percent). I would expect a decrease in most of his offensive numbers for 2022, but as a trade-off, the Tigers pitching should be greatly improved. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 305 AB | .229/.307/.350 | 7 HR | 32 RBI | 1 SB | 31 BB | 80 K ZiPS – 340 AB | .229/.303/.335 | 6 HR | 35 RBI | 0 SB | 33 BB | 87 K THE BAT – 346 AB | .220/.298/.339 | 8 HR | 37 RBI | 0 SB | 36 BB | 95 K ATC – 350 AB | .226/.301/.348 | 8 HR | 39 RBI | 0 SB | 34 BB | 93 K FGDC – 330 AB | .229/.305/.343 | 7 HR | 35 RBI | 1 SB | 33 BB | 86 K RotoChamp – 340 AB | .226/.304/.350 | 8 HR | 38 RBI | 1 SB | 34 BB | 91 K CBS Sports – 425 AB | .242/.305/.372 | 11 HR | 55 RBI | 0 SB | 36 BB | 127 K ESPN – 349 AB | .218/.300/.327 | 7 HR | 40 RBI | 0 SB | 37 BB | 92 K1 My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – N/A 2021 Actual – 348 AB | .247/.317/.368 | 7 HR | 48 RBI | 0 SB | 29 BB | 100 K 2022 Prediction – 321 AB | .227/.301/.352 | 6 HR | 38 RBI | 0 SB | 31 BB | 95 K
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I wouldn't be surprised if Joe Jimenez doesn't make the team.
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #10 –Michael Francisco Pineda Paulino Even with the signing of Eduardo Rodriguez, the Tigers still needed starting pitching depth. And they got it by signing Michael Pineda and resigning Wily Peralta. Pineda has a career ERA of 3.98 and last year it was at 3.62. However, he only pitched just over 109 innings in 2021 and hasn’t exactly been healthy throughout his career. He has only started 30+ games once in his career, in 2016. Big Mike missed all of 2018 due to Tommy John surgery but started 26 games in 2019 with pretty good results. He only pitched in 5 games in 2020 while he was serving a suspension after testing positive for a banned substance but bounced back again in 2021 with 22 games pitched, again with pretty good results. In fact, his 2019 and 2021 seasons were similar in a lot of ways. 2019 – 146 IP | 4.01 ERA | 23.3% K% | 4.7% BB% | 13.5% HR/FB | 4.02 FIP 2021 – 109 1/3 IP | 3.62 ERA | 19.2% K% | 4.6% BB% | 13.1% HR/FB | 4.21 FIP The stats imply a bit of good fortune for Pineda in 2021 as his ERA was better than his FIP. The concerning stat is the declining strikeout rate. Pineda is entering his age 33 season and his average fastball velocity was only 90.9 MPH in 2021, down from 92.6 MPH in 2019. Naturally as pitchers age, they lose velocity. Therefore, it’s not at all surprising to see a declining strikeout rate. I wouldn’t expect him to be above 8 K/9 again. Pineda throws a 4-seamer, changeup, and slider. He relied on his fastball 54.2 percent of the time in 2021. This is consistent with previous years as he threw it 51.9 percent in 2019. Despite his loss in velocity, his movement improved, 19 inches of vertical drop in 2021, which was up from 18.5 inches in 2019. His slider vertical movement (37.4 to 40.9) and changeup vertical movement (27.6 to 29.3) also improved from 2019 to 2021. However, this didn’t directly improve any results. Whiff rate went down 25.5 percent in 2019 to 22.1 percent in 2021 and hard hit rate went from 37.4 percent in 2019 to 46.7 percent in 2021 (according to Baseball Savant). Going into 2022, the worst case scenario is another Jordan Zimmermann situation, who also was a few years removed from Tommy John surgery when the Tigers acquired him while also facing a loss in velocity. Luckily for the Tigers, Pineda doesn’t have a huge contract and we have some depth to replace Pineda if he struggles too much or gets injured. It’ll be interesting to see any adjustments he makes this year as I think he needs to change something. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 154 IP | 8-11 W/L | 4.83 ERA | 1.35 WHIP | 117 K | 39 BB ZiPS – 109 IP | 8-7 W/L | 4.29 ERA | 1.24 WHIP | 91 K | 22 BB THE BAT – 136 IP | 7-11 W/L | 4.94 ERA | 1.35 WHIP | 105 K | 37 BB ATC – 136 IP | 9-9 W/L | 4.40 ERA | 1.24 WHIP | 111 K | 31 BB FGDC – 148 IP | 9-10 W/L | 4.57 ERA | 1.30 WHIP | 118 K | 34 BB RotoChamp – 138 IP | 8-9 W/L | 4.57 ERA | 1.29 WHIP | 110 K | 33 BB CBS Sports – N/A ESPN – 127 IP | 7 Wins | 4.25 ERA | 1.23 WHIP | 109 K | 28 BB My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – N/A 2021 Actual – 109 1/3 IP | 9-8 W/L | 3.62 ERA | 1.235 WHIP | 88 K | 21 BB 2022 Prediction – 122 IP | 7-9 W/L | 4.43 ERA | 1.238 WHIP | 96 K | 25 BB
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Personally I'd switch Greene and Torkelson. Schoop will likely slide between Candelario and Miggy.
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I believe all Spring Training games are free on MLB.com.
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Bobrob’s 2022 Preseason Prediction #9 – Jonathan Rufino Schoop After his breakout year in 2017, Jonathan Schoop has only been below average once, in 2018 (80 wRC+). For 2021, Schoop hit .278/.320/.435, good enough for a 105 wRC+. Aside from the power numbers, he had almost exactly the same batting line in the COVID-shortened 2020 season, .278/.324/.475. However, it took him a while to get going as he only hit .198/.230/.284 in 24 games in March/April. He would then hit .340/.379/.698 in 26 games in the month of June, so his numbers eventually evened out. Here are his splits from before and after the All-Star break: First Half – 368 PA | .277/.321/.466 | 16 HR Second Half – 306 PA | .278/.320/.398 | 6 HR The one stat that immediately stands out is the declining power. Mamba’s ISO has consistently been around .185-.210 for most of his career, but it was only .157 in 2021. His home run to fly ball ratio was only 10.7 percent last year, the lowest it has ever been. His overall home run rate was 3.3 percent, down from 5 percent in 2019 and 4.5 percent in 2020 and the lowest it’s been since his rookie season. As Schoop is entering his age 30 season, this could be the first sign of exiting his prime years. The more encouraging stats are his walk (5.5 percent) and strikeout rates (19.7 percent), both of which are the best they’ve ever been in his career. While his walk rate is still way below league average, the only other time it was above five percent was in 2017. And his strikeout rate has never been below 20 percent before 2021. The other encouraging stat is the number of games played, 156. The last time he healthy enough to play this many games in a full season was in 2017 with 160 games played. Schoop was forced to play first base for the first time in his career last year, and he was average at best (learning a new position may have affected his batting, which explains his slow start). He ranked 15th out of 21 qualified first basemen in UZR at -1.4 and 14th in range with a .774 RZR. Hopefully Spencer Torkelson is ready to play first base this year and Schoop can go back to his natural position at second base. If not, he may need to play first base at the start of the season while Willi Castro or Cody Clemens plays second. He’s at an age where his defense will likely not improve, but the first base experience will likely not affect his batting. At the same time, he’s at an age where his power numbers could go either way. His second half of last year could just be a fluke, or the start of his decline. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: Steamer – 574 AB | .264/.311/.441 | 23 HR | 77 RBI | 2 SB | 32 BB | 127 K ZiPS – 569 AB | .265/.307/.436 | 22 HR | 74 RBI | 2 SB | 28 BB | 121 K THE BAT – 549 AB | .264/.315/.440 | 22 HR | 74 RBI | 1 SB | 34 BB | 120 K ATC – 551 AB | .263/.309/.437 | 22 HR | 74 RBI | 2 SB | 31 BB | 123 K FGDC – 565 AB | .264/.309/.438 | 22 HR | 75 RBI | 2 SB | 30 BB | 123 K RotoChamp – 559 AB | .265/.308/.438 | 22 HR | 74 RBI | 2 SB | 31 BB | 123 K CBS Sports – 526 AB | .279/.326/.443 | 19 HR | 68 RBI | 2 SB | 30 BB | 112 K ESPN – 593 AB | .263/.306/.432 | 23 HR | 77 RBI | 2 SB | 31 BB | 134 K My Prediction: 2021 Prediction – 425 AB | .240/.281/.409 | 19 HR | 61 RBI | 1 SB | 20 BB | 109 K 2021 Actual – 623 AB | .278/.320/.435 | 22 HR | 84 RBI | 2 SB | 37 BB | 133 K 2022 Prediction – 578 AB | .268/.308/.424 | 21 HR | 75 RBI | 1 SB | 31 BB | 130 K
