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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. It's an interesting game of chicken. Theoretically, with manufactured goods, the buying country should have more leverage because they have more options - they can use a different product, they can go without, they can try to build it themselves. OTOH, the producer is kind of stuck, if he cant sell his product his investment is wasted and his people are unemployed. Though the reality is there are still a lot of ways around those tariffs exactly because the US is trying to target to target China more exclusively, which leaves a million ways to trans-ship material around the tariffs.
  2. key with Manning is always a >95 fastball. When he throws hard all his other stuff works better. They want him to throw that hard as a starter but they've been dinking around for 3 yrs and it's not happening, If he'll throw hard as reliever just move him there.
  3. Toledo won 1-0 last night a 5.2 inning no-hit, no-walk, 6k outing by Montero. Manning was used in relief - threw a 3 inning save. 3H , 1BB, 3K. Jung scored the game's lone run on a single by Madris after singling and going to 2nd on a WP.
  4. the admission will come with a surgery announcement at some point in the off-season that he suffered some injury at 4 nations and just played through it the rest of the way.
  5. Ambition brings out the hollow in a lot of politicians. McCain was a totally different guy as a Presidential candidate than he was as a Senator. Is that what is going to happen to Whitmer - it could - time will tell.
  6. Maybe. But the Dems need to do more than win whisker narrow elections - they need to rebuild a coalition that is going to include a lot of the people - like the ones that carried Trump in our own state just last year. People may lose enthusiasm for Trump as he flails around this time just like last time but if all you do is run around yelling 'Trump is an idiot' how do your get past the implication to his voters that they are idiots, which doesn't get you anywhere- hasn't gotten the Dems anywhere since 2015 with Obama at the Correspondents dinner. None of which may really matter because the Dems still dont't have an economic message to the working class that appeals to them.
  7. you wrote that a question but I assume it's a statement. (and this is actually in the form of a statement but it is really a question. ;))
  8. big spike but no price action so it was in both directions - somebody or a bunch of somebodies clearing/resetting hedges?
  9. She is triangulating. The Dems have to come to terms with the fact that a lot of people voted for Trump and if you start out by invalidating the opinion of all those people, you create a hole for yourself you don't need to.
  10. So lets assume Torkelson is having a >5 WAR season and is ensconced at 1b. If Torres and Keith are splitting 2B and putting up the same numbers what is the advantage of keeping both even if you are in a playoff hunt? Maybe there is something else (like a reliever) you need more. Now of course since Keith and Torres are L/R pair, they wouldn't be the same player even if they are each producing at a similar rate on their side of the platoon - but Torres is not going to be a happy camper if he is playing for a fat contract and he ends up on the short side of a platoon because Colt is left handed and Torkelson is out producing him (remember this is all hypothetical!). Yeah - I know - the good kind of problems for a team to have! In the real world, I think Colt with straighten up, JHM will end up back at Toledo and Torkelson and Torres will both take some time at DH and Keith will rotate through all three spots - 1B, 2B, DH, IOW the orginal plan coming out of ST.
  11. He still wants some revenue to work with.
  12. I am not pessimistic about Keith long term, but yeah - they have to put him on a path he can follow and dig out of his hole. I still go back to two realities: Torres is not likely to re-sign with the Tigers, and in the 2nd half last season I think Colt was playing a decent 2b. In perfect world those two things would argue to send him back to Toledo to become the best 2B he can and when he does so well that Torres can be moved at the deadline he gets his gig back or he just comes back and everyone shares the AB with DH so there are enough to go around. But it's not a perfect world - first because a guy is not going to like being jerked around by the org that way that course would play, but also because that means you've hitched your wagon to Torkelson. I'd love to be able to do that - but after at least another 150 or so PA to prove what we are seeing today. But if he doesn't snap out of it himself soon, a decision on Keith isn't going to wait another 50 games. Harris is going to have to earn his salary figuring this one out.
  13. No argument there - I didn't mean there wouldn't be some permanent outcome, only that at some point the chaos on this issue will subside and be replaced by chaos on other issues that have captured his attention. But I think the ultimate take away is that the US acting alone will not be able to make much of a dent in Chinese total exports, and large volumes of Chinese production will continue to find their way into the US at less than the direct tariff rates on China.
  14. The thing is, he's yet to show the power a 1b would need even if Torkelson weren't currently locking down the position like a Dibold safe.
  15. Still a great 9th. What are they going to do with Keith? His demeanor in his last AB was terrible. Looked defeated before he took the 1st pitch.
  16. Yankees deserve to lose this just to prove to Judge what a bone head play he just made.
  17. n.e.v.e.r.s.a.y.d.i.e.
  18. 2-0 would look a lot more promising here.
  19. Javy refused to make the last out.
  20. probably won't change the outcome but that was a great AB by #20
  21. Now you don't want Brebbia to throw too many pitches in one inning in the cold.
  22. well, if you're going to get shut out, you might as well get all your screw-ups done in one game.
  23. the weakness in the strategy of trying to single out one country for tariff action is that China will just trans-ship through 3rd countries or even do some nominal finish value added there. The only way it actually works is if the rest of the world cooperates to pressure China - but of course cooperation is anathema to Trump, which is why all this screwing around appears to likely to fail in the end.
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