gehringer_2

I actually first got it from Romad, but it's been a favorite of mine ever since.

During Harris' booth visit yesterday he was pretty emphatic that they believe in young players accumulating PAs. They believe depth of MiLB experience equates to less unproductive time when guys are eventually called up. So their basic approach is that they aren't even trying to move guys at the max rate they can or could.

The thing with Zep is that they were so much more than the sum of their parts that there isn't really any rational explanation for how they were what they were.

Riley is not in a good place recently. He's hit a couple of HRs but otherwise is hitting about a buck fifty for July

Mandy-Rice-Davies; who once famously said "Well, he would (say that), wouldn't he?"

We all love McK, but I still wouldn't play him at SS too often.

all started with the Ump squeezing Reese on two good high fastballs.

Tork was only out of position because you saw where he was so late in the rundown. He moved to close the distance. McK had all kind of time and distance to throw it, he just chose not to.

McK is fast enough he was trusting he could catch Mangam and he miscalculated.

No - Tork should have closed the distance. Mac needed to throw the ball.

Mangam was sitting on the change all the way And what is McKInstry doing there.?

Sun just came out in A^2, that should put it over COPA by game time.

that is wierd - I have no idea how that got transposed.

Maybe the tiers are simple, but the once you start in with Bird, Early Bird, Non-Bird exceptions, Mid-Level Exceptions (Non-Taxpayer, Taxpayer, and the Bi-Annual Exception, the value of expiring contracts, etc., etc. your simplicity goes right past the board like a half-court airball trey. 🧩

that's an interesting point, and I wonder if that's a general physiological thing, or just an artifact because if your hitting falls off first, you are out of the league, whereas if you lose a step but still hit you keep your job. So you might end up with an asymmetric distribution for fielding wrt hitting. And of course as guys train for strength over the years for hitting they can lose some elasticity for catching and throwing. I don't know if with modern training that's the issue it once was, but I'd guess it remains in play to some degree.

Which also means it matters how you want to use the statistics. So player X in RF ends up having the opportunity to make some plays in a given season that elevate his DRS compared to player Y, who didn't have those chances, but (for the sake of argument) we know has better tools. If you look at the stats as a measure of accomplishment - like a hitter's counting stats, then we are on solid ground - the guy made the plays and no reason not to credit that. But if you want to predict (say for team building purposes) which player is going to give you better D in the *future*, you may find yourself looking at a number that is not the best predictor. Which is in line with your point about relievers - the parallel being that looking at their secondary stats is generally more predictive of what you are going to get going forward than their cumulative stats like ERA or number of Saves in any given point.

MRD - as we used to say.

Yeah - was just going to post that Lange's rehab was stopped. They claiming 'abundance of caution' so maybe it will be a short break.....maybe.

I agree stability is part - I think it over measures - I don't believe player defensive values ping-pong around from season to season as much as DRS does. So I'd argue your syntax a bit - I wouldn't say DRS stabilizes over time, you're just taking an average over time to create a stability that isn't actually there in the measurement. So in a way that gives it more credit than I would. But the other thing I question is when you put it all together I don't think the total team aggregates pass the smell test. Now it's fine that knowledgeable people understand the limitation of defensive metrics; they aren't easy to get a good handle on, so you do the best you can. The problem is when the defensive piece gets rolled into WAR and the world take that number as gospel.

So it makes sense that positional value of LF is lower in general, but does a guy get dinged for being a LF at COPA, which has higher positional value than most other parks? Aside from that, can't disagree Riley has a noodle arm.

Ironically, in today's game if you are going to drop a bundle, I think a guy that has already had TJ and recovered successfully might be a better risk to keep playing over the life of a contract. 🤷‍♂️

My confidence in DRS has been falling annually.

Team winning without getting much other than Ks from Riley. Riley is a little homer happy. He has 4 hits in July, 3 were HR. But his OBP is only 241.

Colt does not like April. He digs the rest of the season though.

spectator in his own administration.