chasfh

I am in the waiting room for a car wash—a very good but very slow car wash—and I am stuck in here with a guy who has the sad trombone from Price is Right as his text tone. It’s going off two, three, four times a minute. It is truly depressing.

Avila was made GM August 2015 and was finally shown the door August 2022.

That’s right, base out state would be dependent on other players and WAR is meant as a self-contained metric.

You misspelled “totally”. Twice.

It is a sad irony that the organization that put all their eggs in the pitching basket for seven years does not have a single ace pitcher they can send out to the mound every five days and say, yup, we got this one.

They already told us this through their projection.

Do they not go after family members in the mob? I don’t know either way. The movies and whatnot tend to whitewash the mob to make them look cool and approachable and even normal. I will say that whenever I hear about some child having been shot in the city, especially while sitting in their home, I frequently imagine it’s payback for some gang shit. EDIT: if you believe the Independent, the idea that the Mob never goes after family is a myth. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/myths-about-the-mafia-exposed-as-threeyearold-is-brutally-murdered-9208753.html

Oh, Jesus, if Trump dies any time soon, we are never going to hear the end of the murder conspiracies.

Ex-president Donald Fraud. Perfect.

To the red hats, she’s not a bug, she’s a feature.

I would think they do care whether you go to church, because that’s where a lot of the Trumpy radicalization takes place. If you hear it in church, if it’s coming directly from God, it’s definitely true, right?

Yes, the Bae play was more difficult to make and I do agree that a good left fielder could have taken a much better route and been in a position to camp under the Meadows ball to catch it. That’s the point I’ve been making. I don’t think even a good LF could have made the catch flat-footed, though. The ball hit off the wall about nine feet up. Maybe Chuck Nevis could have made the catch flat footed. Anyone in baseball would have had to jump. I made the comparison because the angle both Bae and Meadows were taking upon arriving at the ball were about the same. Bae is a younger, far more athletic OF so he cold leap much higher up. Meadows has limitations that wouldn’t allow him to make his own play, let alone the Bae play.

This is the catch people wanted Austin Meadows to make last night.

I agree, but I will punt on that part of it in exchange for smart takes.

So C-Mo has a ball. 😏

“Easy throw to first” …, hey, Schoopy, a little too easy! But hey, this is a series win! Who’da thunk it!

Good on Dan for calling what Schoop threw “a bad throw”, immediately in the moment. This is what I love about Dan. He ain't gonna bullshit you.

How did Vierling keep that to a single!

Get a VPN. 😎

I believe WAR already takes into account base-out state, which is a necessarily component because WAR is based largely on estimated run value of plays. So if your guy is failing in rally situations at the top of the order, WAR should be reflecting that. What WAR won’t take into account is the change in approach the hitter after your guy has to take because, for instance, it’s now still man on first with two outs, instead of first and third with one out.

RBI and runs scored do not factor into the calculation of WAR. It’s a linear weights system: how much is this situation worth in expected run value, and did the player exceed, match, or fall short of that value with his outcome? The player is then credited or debited with the difference. WAR is not designed to take into account the psychological effects on players by other players, situations, etc. It’s designed only to credit or debit the player based on performance against expected run value on each play. Rinse and repeat for 500 or more plate appearances for regulars. In that way, WAR isolates individual performance across the season well.

I suspect this Spencer kid is gonna be OK after all.

The way WAR is structured, A presumably won three extra games all by himself in April and again in July, while B won one extra game all by himself each month, and at the end of the season, they both won six games all on their own, which makes them equal. What I don’t know is whether there is a diminishing return, a marginal utility, at the top end of a player’s overachievement that’s baked into the WAR calculation. I’ve never seen anything on that topic.

That was the Kreidler inning.