Bold Predictions for 2024

[1776]

On 3/20/2024 at 7:11 PM, 1776 said:

Repeating what I commented on elsewhere, Jack Flahery will receive Cy Young Award votes this year.

Torkelson will take a step back this year and won’t see the same level of production as last year.

Flaherty’s chance for any Cy Young votes looks like a reach at this point. To his credit, he’s had a nice bounce back season either way. 

Tork was low hanging fruit, easy prediction to get right. I don’t expect much more from him than what you’re seeing now, if that. 
 

 

[bobrob2004]

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Parker Meadows will steal over 40 bases. 

He has 19 in Toledo and 9 with the Tigers.  He will need 12 more for the rest of the season.

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Jake Rogers will hit 25 or more home runs.

He needs 15 more for the rest of the season, so there is still a chance. 

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Shelby Miller will end up being the closer with over 30 saves.

He has 2 and will need 28 more in 18 games.  Unlikely. 

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Riley Greene will be a below average hitter.

No.

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Colt Keith and Matt Manning will get sent to AAA at some point due to poor performances. 

No and yes.

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Jace Jung will take over for 3B by September after the release of Gio Urshela.

Yes.

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Ty Madden will make his ML debut this year and make at least 10 starts due to injuries to other pitchers.

Yes and no.  Technically only 1 start, but has pitched 4+ innings in each of his 3 appearances. 

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Tarik Skubal will win the Cy Young Award.  

https://www.espn.com/mlb/features/cyyoung  Will Clase actually win? 

[chasfh]

Clase will not win the Cy Young over Skubal.

[4hzglory]

5 hours ago, chasfh said:

Clase will not win the Cy Young over Skubal.

Yeah, that predictor is heavily skewed towards relievers.  Helsley over Sale in the NL also lol

[chasfh]

12 hours ago, 4hzglory said:

Yeah, that predictor is heavily skewed towards relievers.  Helsley over Sale in the NL also lol

I'm not given to parochial paranoia, but I do wonder whether there's not a little anti-Tigers skew, not because pundits necessarily hate the team or the city of Detroit, but because the Guards are winning and the Tigers are not, at least as popularly viewed. If Clase does steal several first-place votes, I think that would be part of it.

[IdahoBert]

Does Keith Law get the vote on the Cy Young winner in the AL?
 

[1776]

So of my two bold predictions, I missed on my second prediction when Flaherty didn’t receive a vote in the Cy Young voting. Splitting the season between the two leagues probably didn’t help. 

[AlaskanTigersFan]

On 3/23/2024 at 12:39 AM, mtutiger said:

Tarik Skubal wins the Cy Young

I think you should get a premium membership from Motown for nailing that one.......

[Motor City Sonics]

11 minutes ago, AlaskanTigersFan said:

I think you should get a premium membership from Motown for nailing that one.......

I disagree.   Good prediction, but was it Bold.   Skubal was a favorite from day 1

[AlaskanTigersFan]

https://www.foxsports.com/stories/mlb/mlbs-best-pitchers-ranking-the-top-20-starters-for-2024 - Look at this. Skubal wasn't even a top 20 going into the season. I don't think theres many publications that had him top 10 or even 20 heading in to the last year......

[1776]

2 hours ago, AlaskanTigersFan said:

I think you should get a premium membership from Motown for nailing that one.......

Agreed. At least some bonus curly fries!

[mtutiger]

14 hours ago, AlaskanTigersFan said:

I think you should get a premium membership from Motown for nailing that one.......

So much of preseason predictions is based on recency bias and there are always players who come out of nowhere. It's hard to take them too seriously.

I was serious when I threw it out there... how Skubal ended 2023 post injury was a leading indicator of things to come