chasfh Posted January 1 Posted January 1 I am frankly surprised no one has started one of these yet. I myself am less interested in the horse race aspect of it, although this would be a good thread to put all the poll updates we're going to be inundated with. I will lead with this one table I see, indicating how competitive districts are considered to be by the Cook Political Report. This table is not an indication of how the 2026 election is specifically likely to go based on polling, but rather, how Cook rates the basic competitiveness of the districts based on their description below. https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings About CPR House Race Ratings The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the district's political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candidates and campaign professionals. When sourcing the CPR Race Ratings, please refer to our terms of use. To inquire about API access and licensing, please submit a request. Quote
romad1 Posted January 1 Posted January 1 The GOP retirements plus the huge number of "run for something" candidates who are running will likely make a Dem majority in the House. The Senate is the question mark. Quote
chasfh Posted January 1 Author Posted January 1 3 hours ago, romad1 said: The GOP retirements plus the huge number of "run for something" candidates who are running will likely make a Dem majority in the House. The Senate is the question mark. That's progress for the Dems, who half a year ago looked like they had exact zero chance for the Senate. Quote
Motown Bombers Posted Tuesday at 03:11 PM Posted Tuesday at 03:11 PM Newsom should delay the special election as long as possible. Quote
gehringer_2 Posted Tuesday at 03:17 PM Posted Tuesday at 03:17 PM 4 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said: Newsom should delay the special election as long as possible. maybe he should just pull a McConnell and not hold an election. Let the GOP sue and work its way through the courts, maybe till about Nov. Quote
Motown Bombers Posted Tuesday at 03:18 PM Posted Tuesday at 03:18 PM Just now, gehringer_2 said: maybe he should just pull a McConnell and not hold an election. Let the GOP sue and work its way through the courts, maybe till about Nov. That’s what I’m thinking. Let the voters in November decide. Quote
Mr.TaterSalad Posted Tuesday at 03:23 PM Posted Tuesday at 03:23 PM How will this district be impacted by California's new redistricting? I assume it will get more blue/Dem favorable. If so, why bother holding the election. Quote
Motown Bombers Posted Tuesday at 03:46 PM Posted Tuesday at 03:46 PM 22 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said: How will this district be impacted by California's new redistricting? I assume it will get more blue/Dem favorable. If so, why bother holding the election. It’s probably the only safe republican district in California. It’s way in the NE corner. It’s basically Idaho. Quote
Motown Bombers Posted Tuesday at 07:18 PM Posted Tuesday at 07:18 PM This is big. Peltola won state wide twice and only lost by 2 with Trump on the ballot. 1 Quote
CMRivdogs Posted Tuesday at 07:23 PM Posted Tuesday at 07:23 PM I find it interesting that my CongressCritter (bought and paid for by Newport News Shipbuilding) has been sending out a lot of emails about how he cares for families but still votes in lockstep with his fellow Trumpers on the issues. He also never sniffs this neck of the woods. In the 5 1/2 years I've lived in his I've only seen him (by happenstance) in a small town parade within a few miles of his house. Quote
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