Hesitant as I am to prolong the Candelario debate, where are you getting the 4.4 WAR for 2023? I see lower numbers. @Tiger337 Are you extrapolating for the full year?
To me, the debate of whether to keep in was related to a judgement of how well he was likely to do this year, with a range of possible outcomes. Suck/minor improvement, but still poor/medium improvement, but still mediocre/significant improvement, but some inconsistency/major improvement, great season/Awesomeness. I think based on his recent past, as well as a pattern of inconsistency, that the Tigers determined that the first sets of outcomes were more likely than the later set. He wasn’t going to either suck or be a very good player as the only two paths forward. I think a discussion of the merits of projections comes into play here. Whose projections? Degree of certainty, caveats and hedges. I now return to trying to ignore this topic…