Trumps Presidency 2025

[gehringer_2]

35 minutes ago, Tigerbomb13 said:

RIP the tourist industry if that happens. 

So which countries would be significant tourist sources but also visa overstays? Mexico certainly. That and it would be the Central and South American upper/middle classes that would be hit I would suppose. I don't think there are many visa overstays from Western Europe or Japan. Is there PRC tourism on the West Coast?

[Tigermojo]

Russia 2.0 before next year's elections.

[pfife]

2 hours ago, Tiger337 said:

I ,for one, have no idea what Cecil and Pfife are talking about.  

Michigan politics

[pfife]

2 hours ago, romad1 said:

Whatever the hell was going on in this thread above...you guys realize that the purity wars are fun until you get a fascist man-baby elected. 

Old enough to remember when his ilk saved maga mike.   Hard pass on that noise

[ewsieg]

Still very leery of AI generated reports regarding news, but I was listening a podcast talking about the BLS numbers, in which they agreed that it's ridiculous that in 2025, that wide swing of numbers can be discovered in a revision.  Point being that BLS has some antiquated systems in place to obtain these numbers.   And with that, here's Google Gemini talking DOGE:

Based on recent news reports, it appears that Howard Lutnick, the current Secretary of Commerce, has taken actions that have impacted efforts to modernize and improve the reliability of government economic data, including some that were relevant to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). 

Specifically:

• Disbanding Advisory Committees: Lutnick disbanded two expert committees, including the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC), which advised on economic statistics, including those related to inflation, employment, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
• Concerns over Data Quality: Reports suggest that the disbandment of these committees, combined with previously existing budget cuts at the BLS, could negatively affect the accuracy and quality of future economic data.
• Criticism of Economic Metrics: Lutnick has also floated the idea of changing how GDP is calculated, suggesting the exclusion of government spending, which has raised concerns about potential political interference with official data. 

While the exact nature of any specific "project to modernize BLS numbers" that may have been canceled or impacted is not detailed in the provided search results, Lutnick's actions with the advisory committees and public comments on data collection have raised concerns about the future of such modernization efforts and the independence of economic data gathering at the BLS. 

[GalagaGuy]

Regarding the redistricting nonsense going on in Texas.....

Texas has 38 seats in the House and 25 are currently filled by Republicans.  That's 66% of the seats in a state where between 55-60% of the vote for President goes to the Republican candidate.

Now lets look at California.  They have 52 seats and 9 are currently filled by Republicans.  That's 17% of the seats in a state where 35-40% of the votes are for the Republican candidate for President.  

Seems that both sides are just as bad when it comes to gerrymandering.   At least we're playing fair here in Michigan.  13 seats with it currently being 7-6 for Republicans.  

 

[gehringer_2]

2 hours ago, ewsieg said:

Still very leery of AI generated reports regarding news, but I was listening a podcast talking about the BLS numbers, in which they agreed that it's ridiculous that in 2025, that wide swing of numbers can be discovered in a revision. 

 

Except that it's not really a "wide swing in the numbers" The new jobs stats are a tiny difference between huge numbers, (total US employment is ~160,000,000. New jobs in a month are about 0.1% of that). It's impressive that they get as close as they do reporting practically in real time.

[pfife]

Its surveys that come in late.   Thats why they revise.   Theres nothing about 2025 that abolished lateness.