2026 Congressional Elections

[chasfh]

3 hours ago, romad1 said:

I think the evidence is already there that the Hispanic vote will swing wildly back to the party that isn't gulaging people for their skin tone. 

 

I can’t imagine that the Texas state government will not work with the Trump government and the state and federal courts to throw every barrier they can brainstorm up to keep people in Democratic and swing precincts from voting. 

[pfife]

4 hours ago, The Ronz said:

He's going to win bigly.

The Democrats aren't going to take the House or the Senate.

Ugh.  You were right last time around.......

[romad1]

39 minutes ago, pfife said:

Ugh.  You were right last time around.......

Enough of this Damien Thorne nonsense.   MAGA is a dead movement. 

[romad1]

steer clear of these weirdos and their tricks

 

[Tiger337]

6 hours ago, The Ronz said:

He's going to win bigly.

The Democrats aren't going to take the House or the Senate.

They will win the House, but not the Senate

[romad1]

 

[chasfh]

I would not underestimate the ability of the Trump machine to get red hats out to the polls. Pay close attention to October.

[gehringer_2]

5 hours ago, chasfh said:

I would not underestimate the ability of the Trump machine to get red hats out to the polls. Pay close attention to October.

Absolutely. If the dems weren't also so unpopular as party the risk wouldn't be so clear - but this election could be anything from a record turnout to everybody on both sides is jaded and stays home - who the heII knows?

[romad1]

42 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

Absolutely. If the dems weren't also so unpopular as party the risk wouldn't be so clear - but this election could be anything from a record turnout to everybody on both sides is jaded and stays home - who the heII knows?

smdh

 

[romad1]

People who know, know

 

[oblong]

With regard to the senate flipping are we sure MI stays blue?  Al- Sayed is a lightning rod and can split the D vote because he and his supporters thinks anybody who is nice to a Jewish person is a Zionist.  If he’s the nominee will he keep pro Israel Democrats?  If he isn’t will he support Stevens?  Doubt it. 
 

 

[gehringer_2]

2 minutes ago, oblong said:

With regard to the senate flipping are we sure MI stays blue?  Al- Sayed is a lightning rod and can split the D vote because he and his supporters thinks anybody who is nice to a Jewish person is a Zionist.  If he’s the nominee will he keep pro Israel Democrats?  If he isn’t will he support Stevens?  Doubt it. 

yeah - MI is definitely a race the Dems could screw up. I can't figure why Buttigieg didn't jump on this one.

[gehringer_2]

from Axios today:

Quote

The intrigue, via our colleague Matt Phillips: Real per capita disposable income — the money consumers can spend after accounting for taxes and inflation — declined 1.4% in April from a year ago. It also dropped 0.4% in March.

• These are the first consecutive negative year-over-year readings since late 2023.
• Some analysts have found that real disposable income can be a powerful predictor of election results, with increases boosting incumbents and declines helping lift challengers.

The bottom line: "Aggregate spending is still being supported by the wealth effect and the upper end of the K-shaped economy, but that support is doing more of the heavy lifting — making the overall spending backdrop look increasingly uneven and fragile," wrote Olu Sonola, Fitch Ratings' head of U.S. economics.

also this from the wire services:

"The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge surged to a three-year high in April, adding to growing concern at the central bank and on Wall Street over broadening price pressures.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Index rose 3.8% in April as the conflict in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher. That was in line with expectations and up from 3.5% in March. Excluding volatile food and energy prices on a so-called “core” basis, PCE was up 3.3%, also in line with expectations, and up a tenth from 3.2% in March. Still, that’s the highest core reading in two and a half years."

Edited Thursday at 11:35 PM by gehringer_2

[chasfh]

15 hours ago, romad1 said:

People who know, know

 

According to the article, the “flailing authoritarian regime” he is fleeing is California.

[CMRivdogs]

 

[pfife]

 

[Tiger337]

On 5/28/2026 at 3:43 PM, gehringer_2 said:

Absolutely. If the dems weren't also so unpopular as party the risk wouldn't be so clear - but this election could be anything from a record turnout to everybody on both sides is jaded and stays home - who the heII knows?

What are the Democrats running on other than being anti-Trump?  I mean that's good enough for me, but it's not going to win any elections.  

[gehringer_2]

24 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

What are the Democrats running on other than being anti-Trump?  I mean that's good enough for me, but it's not going to win any elections.  

the sane runs are running on health-care and increasing economic equity - the latter one plays well conceptually but there is nothing like any wide consensus of what policy to do that looks like. I would guess that if the Dems as a party actually  generated a wide ranging platform of popular economic reforms they'd instantly lose all their big donors.

[romad1]

7 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

the sane runs are running on health-care and increasing economic equity - the latter one plays well conceptually but there is nothing like any wide consensus of what policy to do that looks like. I would guess that if the Dems as a party actually  generated a wide ranging platform of popular economic reforms they'd instantly lose all their big donors.

The Dems have until 2027-2028 to conceptually tell you how they would rule.  The 2026 mid-terms are about investigation and returning the rule of law to the land.   They need to prove they are the party of law and not of one man. 

[gehringer_2]

1 hour ago, romad1 said:

The Dems have until 2027-2028 to conceptually tell you how they would rule.  The 2026 mid-terms are about investigation and returning the rule of law to the land.   They need to prove they are the party of law and not of one man. 

I'd like to believe voter are this intellectually interested in government as government, but I just don't believe it anymore. I think if the GOP gets swamped it will be over a much more mundane concern  - inflation.

[romad1]

1 hour ago, gehringer_2 said:

I'd like to believe voter are this intellectually interested in government as government, but I just don't believe it anymore. I think if the GOP gets swamped it will be over a much more mundane concern  - inflation.

Root Cause of all current inflation is Trump's behavior as a lawless child-king.  Tell me its some other thing.  

[Netnerd]

1 hour ago, gehringer_2 said:

I'd like to believe voter are this intellectually interested in government as government, but I just don't believe it anymore. I think if the GOP gets swamped it will be over a much more mundane concern  - inflation.

Principled interests have practical consequences.

Too many vote the consequences.

Still, leaders ought to be clear on principles. Healthy, worthy principles.

[romad1]

The surrender to Iran will also be in the bin of "oh **** he did that with the Taliban too" and he's doing with Xi as well. 

[gehringer_2]

1 hour ago, romad1 said:

Root Cause of all current inflation is Trump's behavior as a lawless child-king.  Tell me its some other thing.  

If it has to be the incompetence that stems from the base, craven character of the current GOP rather than that character itself that leads to their losses, I'll take it -- even if I am depressed by it.

 

[Tigeraholic1]

You guys love to talk about Nazis but have noooo problem supporting one…