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1984Echoes

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Everything posted by 1984Echoes

  1. I am INFAMOUSLY defensive. I resemble that remark. But NOT the avatar... sorry... but... no. Just, no.
  2. Tigers Top 30 prospects (according to MLB): 30. Trei Cruz – Nice bloodlines but he hasn’t done anything in the minors. Mendoza line all the way up to AA Erie tells me not a prospect. Maybe a utility guy at best? 29. Izaac Pacheco – has power… but if the hit tool is Mendoza-line, power means nothing. Not enough here for me to be interested. Non-prospect unless he figures something out in the batters’ box. 28. Blake Dickerson – Paid the Padres $500K for him? 6’6” LH’er from 2023-12th round (Padres) but no stats yet. If he does anything maybe he’ll pop up on everyone’s radar? But right now… nothing to see. 27. Tyler Mattison – I like his K-rate and K-BB-ratio. BB-rate is too high, but 13K’s to 4.3 BB’s = a 3-1 ratio. Never a starter, bullpen only candidate. But I like the high heat so I like Tyler Mattison. 26. Christian Santana – I actually like him. But… performance counts so with his below-the-Mendoza-line (so far) stat-line = not enough to be interesting, IMO. Still only 20, maybe he has time on his side? 25. Peyton Graham – Not enough here to be interesting, IMO. 24. Roberto Campos. I actually like him… but similar to Santana, performance counts. Sitting at a .720-ish OPS from the get-go, worse this year at .640 in a repeat-level W Mich. At this point not an interesting prospect. But he IS supposed to have more power and, at a still-young 21 at High-A? I don’t know, maybe I’ll just give him a vote of confidence and see if he can live up to it? Sure, I’ll put him on BOLD. 23. Dylan Smith – Just has never done anything for me to consider him a prospect. I liked the “idea” of him when he was drafted… but… nothing to see here IMO. 24 y.o. and struggling in high-A equals “will crap ou”, IMO. 22. Carson Rucker – only 19 years old so… I have no opinion until I can see something. 21. Eddys Leonard – Seems like he could be a bit useful as a utility guy but I don’t see anything more than that… 20. Wenceel Perez – Loved this guy since 2017. 19. Enrique Jimenez – Nothing here to grab the imagination. 18. Josue Briceno – I remember the signing but he sort of wasn’t on my radar; but he’s been hitting up a storm so maybe I need to pay more attention? Great BB-K-Rate ratio: ~12% BB rate (stateside) and 14% K-rate? Looks like a decently high hit tool as well (only in Low-A so far but only 19 in Low-A?!)? I’ll declare him a prospect even if the Org is uncertain if he can stay at Catcher. They’ve been trying him at 1st too. But “have bat” means the Org will find him a spot somewhere, if he makes it all the way up. Long way to go… but I’ll give him a BOLD. 17. Max Anderson – He has a bat (hit tool), which is why Harris drafted him. But I don’t know what else there is… He’s not an ace fielder and looks more likely to be a DH-only? Not enough here to call out my interest… unless the bat starts to really smoke. 16. Paul Wilson – Trevor Wilson’s kid? Well that’s interesting. But the Org right now is working on him (so no stats) and he throws low-90’s but may have some projectable velocity as a 6’3” Lefty… But until we can see something, I won’t declare anything. Incomplete. 15. Brant Hurter - He’s a huge lefty 6’5” 250#’s but throws low 90’s so, not a power guy. Low walk rate is a plus. Really good slider as far as I know and a decent changeup… but he seems fringy to me so either a 5th starter or a middle reliever. I think he ends up in the bullpen. Which is good enough to call him a prospect, right? I’ll BOLD him regardless, as a fringy bullpen/possible 5th starter-type prospect. 14. Hao-Yu-Lee – Another decent bat acquired by Harris. But I don’t see a major leaguer here. Maybe a bench guy? But I also have a theory: Harris wants the high hit tool guys in the system, even if they never make it to MLB, because he wants these guys to influence OTHERS in the system… Have a prevalence of high hit tool guys who know how to take a walk… so to speak. But Lee is not a prospect… IMO. 13. Dillon Dingler – I thought he was supposed to have a higher hit tool… but, apparently, he does not. Still, he has the looks of another Jake Rogers (2.0) here: Big arm, good defensive catcher (not certain how Dingler ranks here, I know he was a work-in-process defensively), low batting average (if he’s a .240 hitter in MLB it’s probably good enough), with power but limited ability to get to the power (from the low contact rate…). A prospect here but not a high-end guy. 12. Justice Bigbie – I don’t know if he’s a prospect, or not. Had a nice year last year from High-A all the way up to AAA. But I just don’t feel he’ll be Carpenter 2.0. Another 19th rounder… but I think that’s about it for the nice feel good story side. Maybe he gets some bench time in Detroit… But I just don’t feel there’s enough here to call him out as a prospect. So I won’t. If he gets some quality MLB time… good for him. 11. Troy Melton – He’s interesting as the Org has worked hard to develop him. Opposite of Hurter: a righty, mid-90’s and can reach for upper-90’s… but he has such a long way to go development-wise that I think I have to bucket him the same as Hurter: Maybe a 5th starter, or even a 4th is in his future, but more likely bullpen. It’s enough to call him a prospect though. BOLD him. 10. Sawyer Gipson-Long –Has some interesting characteristics and he pitched well last year at Erie (5-1 K-BB ratio 1.01 WHIP), and I know he pitched well for Detroit last year as a starter: 3.25 ERA 1.1 WHIP… I don’t know if he has the staying power to remain in the rotation though. Technically, he’s a prospect. And at least on a par with Hurter and Melton (only he’s “proved it” at a higher level, which is why he is ahead of them and “Top 10”): I don’t see him as hugely different though. So BOLD him. He’s good enough for Detroit so he’s good enough for me. 9. Wilmer Flores – Looks like another bullpen candidate to me. So technically, a prospect. BOLD him up. 8. Keider Montero – Another bullpen candidate, IMO. But he has a wicked curveball which may give him a rotation edge… except there are Detroit guys in front of him so I don’t see him getting there in the near future. A prospect: fringy 5th starter/ bullpen? 7. Justyn-Henry Malloy – I’ll call him a prospect because of his bat; but I’m never enamored with DH-types. So, technically a prospect but certainly not a favorite of mine. 6. Kevin McGonigle – I love his hit tool. And he’s a decent fielder. Most likely won’t be able to stick at SS but that’s OK. First prospect since Briceno that I actually have high hopes for. I’m on his bandwagon. 5. Ty Madden – Another bullpen candidate with maybe a 5th starter chance… I do have him ahead of the Montero/ Flores/ SGL/ Hurter crowd though. Melton may be just as good, or better, but with a much longer development curve, I think. Feel free to disagree… But I will make no judgement except: proof is in the pudding. He’ll show himself what level he can, or cannot attain. I will state that I am on his bandwagon… but he has an uncertain future (IMO). 4. Jace Jung – First guy I can look at as a high-end prospect that ALSO is nearly in Detroit. I’ll put him on a par with Keith: will probably struggle as he adjusts to MLB pitching, ultimately will prove to have an MLB bat, won’t be a spectacular fielder but will be good enough. If he’s good enough to take over any one position (2B, 3B, or even 1B if it comes to that…), I will be satisfied. I’m on his bandwagon. 3. Jackson Jobe – I still think he has ace material… but he’s struggling somewhat along the way. I’ll give him a vote of confidence: BOLD him. 2. Colt Keith – Has yet to prove he can hit in MLB well enough to own 2B as a starter. But I think his bat will heat up and he’ll prove out… We’ll see. BOLD him; I’m on his bandwagon. 1. Max Clark – A long ways away still… But I like what I see so far and will be patient as he goes through his learning curve… Bandwagon fan.
  3. I’m going to start with my summary first: Bottom 15: I believe we have 4 real prospects: a reliever (Mattison), Wenceel, and two guys who are a long ways away and have to get through learning curve struggles (Campos, but I still believe in him) and/ or a possible lack of defensive position (Briceno, but I love his bat too much and it’s still possible he could stick at a position). Top 15: I see two non-prospects and 13 guys I like, more than 2/3 (on a WAG) of which will crap out… Which consists of: 6 middle relievers (maybe one or two of these guys could develop something extra (3rd pitch/ better control/ whatever) to make it as a 4th or 5th starter… Or 6th starter parked at Toledo… I don’t see anything better than that): Madden, Flores, Montero, Melton, Hurter, SGL. One Jake Rogers 2.0 (Dingler). One DH-only who I don’t really care for position-wise… but he may be a good guy and a useful bat so I won’t write him off entirely (Malloy) One potential ace (who is struggling a bit, currently: Jobe) 4 position players who I like a lot, with various degrees of “in Detroit” or “Close to Detroit” or “a long ways to go”: (Keith, Jung, Clark & McGonigle). I hope none of these guys crap out. That’s my summary.
  4. Just my 2 cents: I like Awosika, Sorsdal, and Mahogany as backup G options. Whether on the 53 or practice squad. Despite what the team is saying about Manu, I like Manu, Skipper, and Sorsdal as the backup T options. I don't like our backup Center options. Glasgow (our starting Guard), and...? I think we WANT at least 1, possibly 2 of these UDFA Centers to make the practice squad. I mean, we gotta have SOMETHING as a plan B... don't we?
  5. I'd rather have Manu as a backup T than G. Start him out at RT. I think he'd be great there and when Decker retires or moves on Sewell swings over to LT and insert Manu.
  6. I was being facetious... I get that... But... I still wanna inflict maximum damage in any way possible...
  7. Gimme a little time on this one as I have a couple meetings this afternoon. Once I'm off work after 5-5:30-ish I'll go through the list...
  8. Someone who is being MISCHARACTERIZED. No one likes being mischaracterized. Now I'm Cheech, or Chong? Awesome.
  9. Lee asked me this last year or the year before: I rattled off a dozen ranked prospects (in the Tigers system) that I wasn't high on. I don't remember the names. Parker Meadows (who was struggling badly at the Mendoza line his whole minor league career, at that time), Daniel Cabrera (same). Garrett Hill, who I didn't think much of. In fact, Lee took Garrett Hill and I took Wentz, IIRC. I don't remember all the other guys but it was a decent list and, obviously, not memorable (prospects). I can do the same with the current top 30. List all the guys I think won't make it or will crap out, one way or the other. Would that make everyone happy?
  10. I have my fair share of low expectations on certain prospects. You're mischaracterizing me. But have at it if it gets your jollies off.
  11. Cruzer is the other guy who's been high on Wenceel as a prospect since he was signed.
  12. PS: On Decker: I see zero chance for a tag on him. He wants this team and this team wants him so they'll get an extension done without a need for a tag...
  13. And further... T.J. may just have not been "the guy" for this team. Holmes & Campbell are practicing "Love Voodoo" on this team. They either love ya' as a player. Or they don't and you're out the door. And he was also soon to be quite a bit more expensive... It was time to move on from Hock.
  14. Wenceel absolutely needs to stay in MLB. Find a way...
  15. Coulda been me. I've been high on him since we signed him back in 2017-ish. It was Avila's first foray into spending decent international money instead of "spreading smaller amounts" around. That was probably part of it... it was $500K IIRC. But it was also that he was supposed to have a very high hit tool and really good speed and was projected to have some power (not much, but better than zero) for a middle infielder. And I was getting tired of the Rey Rivera's that Avila was drafting at the time. He showed the hit tool right away and looked like a decent prospect with a decent chance but... Struggled in Low-A in 2019, pandemic so nothing in 2020, and was "meh" coming back in 2021, low and high A. But he broke out in 2022 with a .900+ OPS in high-A and Erie... so I started chirping about him again. A bit loudly. Glad to see he's made it to The Show and let's see what he can do...!
  16. I was talking about Sorsdal with that quote. Mahogany is projected to be a starter. I'm less certain about Sorsdal.
  17. 210. Detroit Lions (from Philadelphia Eagles, compensatory selection): Christian Mahogany, G, Boston College, Grade: A+ This is the best pick of Round 6. Detroit selects a guard many thought would be off the board by Round 3 with the No. 210 overall selection. Mahogany's outstanding power and above-average length make him a mauler in the running game. He'll need time to develop in pass protection and needs to play with more control but this is an incredible value for the Lions.
  18. Is he good enough to become a starter though? Just asking for thoughts and opinions....
  19. The 3 draftable Kickers in this draft were all drafted in the 6th round.
  20. Christian Mahogany is actually rated as a future starter at RG.
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