RandyMarsh

Reading up on the updated beliefs from the evaluators post combine and more than one has said that they think a bunch of rbs may fly off the board in rds 2-3 cause there are several really good ones apparently but the consensus is that Bijan is the 1A and Gibbs being a little behind then. Maybe they pass on Bijan at 6 and just wait till 18 knowing that the other elite one in Gibbs should be there at the very least.

Dame's gonna gun for Wilt's 100 if he plays this game.

Cant remember if it was early in OT or late in regulation but I wish CBS wouldve showed a replay of the possible goaltending that wasn't called. Watching live I thought there was a chance that it hit the glass first and the um bench certainly acted that way. By the time there was a break in the action there was already another close pay that needed reviewing so cbs was focusing on that and forgot about the block/goaltending. Anyway that was basically a 5 point swing since the block led to a transition 3 for Indiana.

Itll end up being the 4 qbs and Will Anderson which would be the worst outcome in my eyes since we lost out on a trade back with no qbs and out on the guy by most accounts seems to be in a tier above the other defenders now that Carter is going through his thing. If that were to happen then that's when Im ok with going with guys like Bijan, Johnston or even the top onlinemen and then get your corner at 18. This of course is assuming that Holmes doesnt have a defacto number 1 DB in mind in which case probably need to take him there and not risk losing out on him.

Well Bijan just posted a 4.47 and 4.48 40 time. Not blazing fast but considering his size it is impressive not to mention all the other things he does well is what makes him special.

I saw a few different tweets that said the league is doing an investigation about the Ja incident and he could potentially get suspended for 50 games cause the fact he showed the gun in Denver means that he almost assuredly carried it with him on the team plane which is of course a major league violation.

I'd be fine with taking Bijan at 6. Not that he is for sure going to get to his level but he reminds me alot of Marshall Faulk and somebody who I think could really transform the offense.

Jake is going to turn into Mike Piazza with better defense and in the end the Verlander trade will end up not being so bad.

Speaking of hand size I often wonder if how they measure is the best method to do so in terms of how it effects your grip on a football. IDK I just wonder cause measuring the way they do from tip of your thumb to pinky I have a hand size of just under 10 inches. Going by their measurements if I was a qb I'd be fine but back when I played football I'd have trouble holding to the ball on pump fakes due to my relatively shorter fingers. So my hand size was mainly due to having a wider palm but I don't know if that is that beneficial without also having longer fingers to go with it.

I think that too but I think that says more about the NFC than anything.

For the record I still do think the Eagles are overrated, a really good team but I don't think they are as good as their record and season ended up being. Kudos for them for doing it but I think they got a very fortunate schedule and circumstances that aided it.

I definitely remember there being a ton of buzz around the Eagles before the season started, I remember when they announced ahead of time the huge attendance at Ford Field for the game some(me) speculated that part of that may have been due to all the buzz around the Eagles.

Definitely isn't a hill I'm worth dying on considering up until about 2 hours I was totally in yours, KL2 and most other people's camps about it being a waste of pick but just seeing how low the hit rate was for all players kinda made me reconsider the stance. I've now gone from thinking it was a wasted pick to being Ok with it under the right circumstances. For example taking Drew Stanton in the 2nd round when we had so many other glaring holes was not the right circumstance but if you're a team that has little holes and/or have a lot of draft capital it may turn out alright swinging for the fences.

This is pointless when I already posted the percentages. You can do this for almost every position and get similar results. Are there more guys at other positions that have made it? Sure but they are also drafted far more but the overall percentages aren't very different. No matter the position you have a high rate of busting. Really only Olinemen and TEs are relatively safe picks in the middle to late rounds by percentages.

Again you can say that about any specific position, no matter what position you pick at best you have a 1 in 3 chance of them being above average and the guys that turn out to be elite are indeed the exception not the rule. It may be a little more drastic with QB but it is also far and away the most valuable and expensive position on the field so taking a slightly smaller odds for a far bigger reward could end up paying off in the long run. For the record I'm not advocating doing this for the Lions right now nor have a specific player in mind just saying in general.

The numbers say that you basically are hoping to get lucky no matter who you draft after round 1 and yeah there is something to be said for getting starting caliber players at other positions but even landing them is low. Unfortunately I don't know how to find what the percentages of that would be but I'd imagine it wouldn't be much more than 1 in 3 in rounds 2-4. If that is somewhat accurate then the choice is a 15% chance of getting a Pro Bowl QB(and as you said it's almost impossible to win without one so getting one is a big deal) or 30-35% of getting a solid guy at a far less valuable position. Most of the time I'd choose the latter as would most teams but I don't think it's egregious to think you may be better off taking a chance on the QB and I certainly wouldn't just chalk it up to a wasted pick if one were to do so.

Disappointed that he chose not to run the 40 today(said he will at Pro Day at the end of the month) but being a measured 6'3 with a 40.5 inch vertical is elite and just what you want in an outside x receiver.

Porcello was 89% of the way to being a Tigers ace as well.

I don't think it takes into account the number of Pro Bowls you make just if you made one so Brees counts the same as a player that only made it once. I do agree about the sample though and the percentage of solid starters is probably higher at other positions but the overall point is that if you are thinking about getting a true plus player percentage wise your chances are virtually no different at QB than any other position. On another note looking at the QB tab on there you can see that QBs in the top 5 hit at a relatively good rate but after that they drop quite a bit even in the 1st round.

Good point but baseball was always Deuce's side hustle and front for his more lucrative underground businesses.

On a side note I came across this cool tool while going through the RAS website. It shows where in the draft Pro Bowlers since 2000 have been picked and you can sort it by position. I particularly was intrigued by QB, the narrative is always that there's no point drafting one after the 1st cause they never hit when in fact the numbers show that they hit after the 1st(especially the 2nd) at a virtually equal to higher clip than any other position. For instance they have a 21% Pro Bowl hit rate in the 2nd, the only positions that are tangibly higher are RBs at 24.62% and Centers at 26.92%. https://ras.football/probowl-counts-and-percentages-by-round/

We definitely need a reliable kicker so he is certainly a possibility.

Bryce Ford-Wheaton WR out of WVU just posted only the second perfect score of 10 on the Relative Athletic Score, the only other person to do that was of course Megatron. I haven't been shy about wanting Quentin Johnson but if we can get Bryce later on then I'd be fine on passing on Quentin. BTW here's how he stacked up with Calvin. Despite both getting 10s you can see that Calvin was still head and shoulders above him. Still good company to be in though. https://ras.football/ras-compare/?p1=16889&p2=7730&pos=WR

It was pretty much luck but I predicted the Ravens would win the SB in 2000/01 before the season started. My thought process was they finished 99 strong going 6-2 in the 2nd half then added Shannon Sharpe in FA and drafted Jamal Lewis and Travis Taylor who I both loved in college. Of course they won cause of their defense so my thought process wasn't why but still probably my biggest Longshot prediction that hit. I couldn't begin to think of the worst cause there have been so many but I remember arguing big time with people on the old NBA boards about the 07-08 Celtics. After they got Garnett and Allen everybody basically was crowning them and I was one of the few on the board that didn't believe in them and thought they would fail. Major miss on my part.

So was just reading Matt Miller and Jordan Reid's write up on ESPN about notes from day 2 and they mentioned Turner and Miller has him all the way up to 5th CB now and projecting him as a late 1st rounder. He had this to say "His Michigan tape showed speed and great change-of-direction ability, but rare speed like this will have NFL teams excited about Turner's potential development as a man coverage cornerback." If he indeed has rocketed up board I guess I was wrong again when I suggested that I didn't think teams put as much stock in the combine particularly the 40 as before.