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Week Three: Detroit Lions (1-1) @ Arizona Cardinals (1-1)


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4 hours ago, MichiganCardinal said:

Some analytics instead of work this morning.

Since 2023 week one, including playoffs, the Lions have scored 152 points in the 1st quarter (25%), 190 points in the 2nd quarter (31%), 101 points in the 3rd quarter (17%), and 163 points in the 4th quarter (27%). That would seem to spell a 3rd quarter problem.

But, they have led at the half in 17 of the 23 games in that stretch (74%). In 8 of those games (35%), they have led by more than 8 points at the half. They have a good tendency to start strong out of the gate. And they don't tend to lose that lead either. In those 17 games, they are 14-3. In the 8 games with two-possession leads (including yesterday), they are 7-1. The only loss they have suffered after taking an 9+ point lead into the half was in the NFC Championship Game. Oof.

That is to say though, it's not like they are often playing from behind, desperately needing third quarter points, and are just making crazy comebacks in the 4th quarter to make up for it. I think it's their strategy (which is working more often than not) to slow the game down and control the pace in the second half after getting out to a 1st half lead, and a natural consequence of that is that you're going to score less.

Furthermore, when they are not leading at the half, the stats change. In those 6 games, they have scored 26 points in the 1st quarter (22%), 10 points in the 2nd quarter (9%), 35 points in the 3rd quarter (30%), and 45 points in the 4th quarter (39%). Those are different games, and call for different strategy at the half.

i agree with this almost completely.  there is an element of clock management at work.  and unlike last year they dont HAVE to get to 35 points to win because this year the defense is better.

goff throwing picks is still a bit of an issue.  but the run game looked fine to me.  unlike in the tampa game they stuck with it and it paid dividends.

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Back to Hutch getting double teamed every down with a rotating cast of clowns like Romeo Okwara and Charles Harris opposite him.

Holmes might bring someone in to replace Davenport, but it won’t be Reddick. Doesn’t for the locker room or the scheme, and we won’t want to pay him long-term. Azeez Ojulari might fit the bill.

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1 hour ago, Motown Bombers said:

Looks like Barnes will be out a while. 

 

Man, injuries can kill a season. Barnes out for "a significant amount of time" Branch is in the concussion protocol. But everyone else day to day? Even LaPorta?

 

 

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4 minutes ago, Sports_Freak said:

Man, injuries can kill a season. Barnes out for "a significant amount of time" Branch is in the concussion protocol. But everyone else day to day? Even LaPorta?

 

 

I was worried about Alim McNeil so "Mack will be day to day" is pretty good at least.

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