2026 Congressional Elections

[CMRivdogs]

From early results I'm seeing. We need to rename the GOP. It's now the Grand Old Pedophile Party.  

[ewsieg]

CNN calling it for Gallrein.  I know nothing about the democratic candidate, but it's a huge boost for them.  

[CMRivdogs]

 

 

[gehringer_2]

49 minutes ago, CMRivdogs said:

 

 

I'm sure that just like always, a few Senate votes to support him will assuage Miss Suzie's disappointment in him.

really though, how long can a lying scumbag keep play acting at stupid before her constituents figure it out? 

Platner's stance is that she is either a liar or incompetent - I hope Mainers realize that is exactly true.

Edited May 20 by gehringer_2

[guy incognito]

Susan Collins doesn’t understand things just like Mike Johnson has never heard of them.

Pathetic, disingenuous hacks.

[chasfh]

9 hours ago, guy incognito said:

Susan Collins doesn’t understand things just like Mike Johnson has never heard of them.

Pathetic, disingenuous hacks.

Out of reactions today, but Thanks.

Disappointment is directly connected to expectations, so if Susan Collins is telling us she’s expecting ethical decisions and behavior out of Trump, she is either pathetically disingenuous or galactically stupid.

As for Mike Johnson, he is simply a Pharisee straight out of Matthew 23.

Edited May 20 by chasfh

[CMRivdogs]

 

[CMRivdogs]

8 minutes ago, CMRivdogs said:

 

 

[gehringer_2]

Paxton wipes out Cornyn in Tx - not even close 63-37

But always am interested in vote totals. Cornyn got 6 million votes in the 2020 general. The total GOP vote in what was supposed to be a hotly contested primary tonight looks like it be about 1.4M. 

So only one in 4 of Cornyn's 2020 voters were willing to come out to support his re-election in what was supposed to be a tough primary.

Edited Wednesday at 01:52 AM by gehringer_2

[Motown Bombers]

 

[Motown Bombers]

 

[oblong]

He's gonna win.  Who are we kiddin'?

 

[gehringer_2]

7 minutes ago, oblong said:

He's gonna win.  Who are we kiddin'?

 

So Texas is just about the cruelest state for low income health care, its big cities have higher murder rates than NYC, its tax system is more regressive for the bottom 50% of earners than the national average, and life expectancy is lagging the rest of the country.

Yup, sounds exactly like the vision of paradise the GOP has been trying to build, why should they even think about changing course?

Edited Wednesday at 02:25 PM by gehringer_2

[romad1]

This is interesting

 

[gehringer_2]

16 minutes ago, romad1 said:

This is interesting

 

I started looking for the Dem side turnout last night but got distracted so thanks for posting. I try not to put too much stock in primary turnouts, but the fact that those who didn't like Trump's middling did NOT come out for Cornyn at all is some sign that at least somewhere, some frustrated GOP voters are now crossing the line all the way to the other side.

The utter collapse of  Cornyn's support among the 6 million that voted for him in 2020 should also disabuse (as if they still needed it) any remaining GOP 'never Trumpers' that their old party is anything other than dead and buried.

Edited Wednesday at 02:41 PM by gehringer_2

[romad1]

1 minute ago, gehringer_2 said:

I started looking for the Dem side turnout last night but got distracted so thanks for posting. I try not to put too much stock in primary turnouts, but the fact that those who didn't like Trump's middling did NOT come out for Cornyn at all is some sign that at least somewhere, some frustrated GOP voters are now crossing the line all the way to the other side.

I'll be hopeful when i see the pros being hopeful.  Right now they are merely encouraged. 

[gehringer_2]

4 minutes ago, romad1 said:

I'll be hopeful when i see the pros being hopeful.  Right now they are merely encouraged. 

yes - the caution here is that the Dem turnout in Tx, despite being better than the GOP, is still less than a third of what they need to win the general for Talarico.

you'd never expect a primary vote that was more than a fraction of a GE vote, but it still means 65% of the voters haven't been heard from.

Edited Wednesday at 02:40 PM by gehringer_2

[RatkoVarda]

37 minutes ago, oblong said:

He's gonna win.  Who are we kiddin'?

same. i'll believe when i see it.

probably the most revealing race in 2026 is this one. will Hispanics, who were moving to Trump/MAGA to small but real numbers, return to the Dems? if so can the Dems get them in 2028?

[oblong]

40 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

So Texas is just about the cruelest state for low income health care, its big cities have higher murder rates than NYC, its tax system is more regressive for the bottom 50% of earners than the national average, and life expectancy is lagging the rest of the country.

Yup, sounds exactly like the vision of paradise the GOP has been trying to build, why should they even think about changing course?

Reminds me of the famous LBJ quote, which I'll paraphrase from the language of the day... "If you can convince the poorest white man that he's better than the best black man, you can pick his pocket.  Give him someone to always look down on and you can rob him blind"

[romad1]

1 hour ago, RatkoVarda said:

same. i'll believe when i see it.

probably the most revealing race in 2026 is this one. will Hispanics, who were moving to Trump/MAGA to small but real numbers, return to the Dems? if so can the Dems get them in 2028?

I think the evidence is already there that the Hispanic vote will swing wildly back to the party that isn't gulaging people for their skin tone. 

 

[The Ronz]

1 hour ago, oblong said:

He's gonna win.  Who are we kiddin'?

 

He's going to win bigly.

The Democrats aren't going to take the House or the Senate.

[Mr.TaterSalad]

46 minutes ago, The Ronz said:

He's going to win bigly.

The Democrats aren't going to take the House or the Senate.

The old James Carville quote of "It's the economy stupid" rang true in 2024 and cost Kamala Harris and the Democrats. That same quote and same notion is going to cost the Republicans in the 2026 midterms. Trump has reversed any of the economic gains made by the Biden Administration and Democrats in Congress and turned them into negatives for his party. Inflation is pushing close to a 4% pace. Gas prices are up nearly $2 above the national average and are over $5 and $6 per gallon in some states. In the eyes of the average American consumer and voter, this economy is in bad shape. They are feeling it and are going to express it at the ballot box.

Republicans are very likely losing the House because of it and could very well lose what should otherwise have been a gifted win for them in the Senate. I think North Carolina with Roy Cooper and Maine with Graham Platner will flip giving Democrats seats 47 and 48. I think Ohio probably goes next with Sherrod Brown returning, followed by Alaska with Mary Peltoa, giving Democrats seats 49 and 50. I think the Talarico seat ends up the tie breaker if there is one. I don't think Talarico wins, I think Paxton squeaks out a victory margin between 1-3%, but will make is closer than it should be.

There are other seats like Independent (Democrat) Dan Osborne in Nebraska and Josh Turek/Zach Wahls in Iowa that could flip in the most amazing of years for Democrats. I tend to think that the electorate is waaaaay too partisan at this point and that both Nebraska and Iowa are simply too far out of reach. So I wouldn't count on those flipping. But the Senate should have been an absolute lock for Republicans and impossible for Democrats. Thanks to a terrible economy, with high prices and expensive gas, Trump has made it a competitive environment for Democrats to take advantage of and win the Senate.

[romad1]

42 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

The old James Carville quote of "It's the economy stupid" rang true in 2024 and cost Kamala Harris and the Democrats. That same quote and same notion is going to cost the Republicans in the 2026 midterms. Trump has reversed any of the economic gains made by the Biden Administration and Democrats in Congress and turned them into negatives for his party. Inflation is pushing close to a 4% pace. Gas prices are up nearly $2 above the national average and are over $5 and $6 per gallon in some states. In the eyes of the average American consumer and voter, this economy is in bad shape. They are feeling it and are going to express it at the ballot box.

Republicans are very likely losing the House because of it and could very well lose what should otherwise have been a gifted win for them in the Senate. I think North Carolina with Roy Cooper and Maine with Graham Platner will flip giving Democrats seats 47 and 48. I think Ohio probably goes next with Sherrod Brown returning, followed by Alaska with Mary Peltoa, giving Democrats seats 49 and 50. I think the Talarico seat ends up the tie breaker if there is one. I don't think Talarico wins, I think Paxton squeaks out a victory margin between 1-3%, but will make is closer than it should be.

There are other seats like Independent (Democrat) Dan Osborne in Nebraska and Josh Turek/Zach Wahls in Iowa that could flip in the most amazing of years for Democrats. I tend to think that the electorate is waaaaay too partisan at this point and that both Nebraska and Iowa are simply too far out of reach. So I wouldn't count on those flipping. But the Senate should have been an absolute lock for Republicans and impossible for Democrats. Thanks to a terrible economy, with high prices and expensive gas, Trump has made it a competitive environment for Democrats to take advantage of and win the Senate.

The only thing that can stop the Democrats is the Democrats stumbling over their own junk.  They won't be able to out spend these creeps, but people are pissed at $5 gas, the Epstein Class' being able to get away with pedophilia, and the general Orban-level corruption.  That will break through the money that the Epstein Class will drop on this election.  

People see how creepy these creeps are.  

Edited Wednesday at 06:02 PM by romad1

[romad1]

That's probably a good number for Dems

[chasfh]

5 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

So Texas is just about the cruelest state for low income health care, its big cities have higher murder rates than NYC

Can I just tell you how funny i find it that people to this day still think of New York City as being the gold standard of “murder cities”? As if we’re still living in the era of Death Wish, Taxi Driver, and The Warriors. But not only does New York City rank no higher than 127th in murder rate, but its murder rate is actually -24% lower than that of Warren, Michigan!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_crime_rate