oblong

My gut tells me you are correct but that’s not based on any data. Just what I see in terms of enthusiasm and all that. But I had those feelings in 2012 thinking Romney would win. I don’t trust myself. At game 4 of the ALDS, I’m not making this up, my friend texted me in the 7th asking if I was there. When I said yes he told me he thought they would do it. I replied “me too” and not a minute later Frye hit a 2 run HR. I don’t like it when I think something is going to turn out. I’m usually wrong.

I can't square that either. What good does it to them to be "wrong" even if that was their intent for whatever reason, either to be overly cautious or b/c they were paid to say something different. Is falling back on the margin of error enough of an incentive to not worry about. If PAC goes to a polling firm with explicit instructions to convey a certain outcome, then why would the poll even bothering conducting it? Just make up the responses and don't bother contacting anybody. If the election were not as close as the pollsters suggest then why would Harris be all over the swing states?

possums and raccons rule. I always get sad when I see a dead one in the road. They do so much good for the environment. So with Ring, is it a subscription? Where is the footage hosted? online?

yeah that's it. They see him as "gangsta". Like Kwame. Interesting combo when you consider all the racists who bash their art as 'not real music'.

I think in snoop's case, it's business. He became "lovable". Ice-T doing car warranty commercials. In Eminem's case I chalk it up to sobriety and getting clean. I also think staying home kept him grounded.

we had a manager would get on the floor and check under things. Everything had to be cleaned spotless and put away. Nothing, not even an apron or towel could be just sitting around. The floors would get flour caked on to them and you couldn't mop or scrub. we had to spray them every night. We'd go home soaked. One person sprayed and another squeegeed. It was a seniority thing. It was hard work but was also the most fun I ever had at a job. We were all friends with no responsibilities and would party at work, afer work.... We'd get ahead of the work we had to do and would sit outside with our friends who were not working but "just driving by".... it was like American Graffiti.

speaking of security cameras.... what's everyone's choice on that? We don't have one and I feel like the only people in the world who do not.

I don’t remember if how we voted in ‘20 was absentee. We put it in a drop box. I didn’t get anything sent to me. We do early voting in our city now so that’s what it will be for me. I’m already in that building 4 tomes a week anyway. That way I can save my electikn day off not worrying about voting. I know I should do a civic duty and work the polls since my company gives me a day off and everyone I see there is 90. $100 can’t hurt.

That worries me less in terms of turnout but it also makes me question any judgements people are making about early voting results. But I think someone who figures out how to work the logistics of mail jn voting probably already was a regular voter so he’s not pulling in a net increase. You have to go thru some hoops and I don’t see a non election day voter suddenly voting by mail. It’s more convenient and takes care of last minute issues but I don’t think it’s easier if you are already registered.

That never bothered me because baseball is my favorite sport and I’m sad when it’s over and don’t like waiting until February. Weather is no worse than in April.

How often does the rotation you plan on March 20 last until May!?

I saw a tweet last week speculating on the “silent Harris” voter. Didn’t offer anything besides one example but I can see it. People just fed up with the nonsense.

When I read poll discussions among the experts it reminds me of theological debates among preachers and other kinds of clergy and researchers. They’re going on about something translated from a stone 3,000 years ago. Some have an agenda to pursue or a bias they are working from and others do not. But everyone is making some kind of subjective calculation.

I did a half marathon today and one of the signs said “run like JD Vance is chasing you”

That’s why you make a list of exemptions for celebrities.

Do you mean like “quit thinking”? I recall someone once asking Lou what a pitch he hit was and he said he didn’t know. He just sees the ball and tries to hit it. I have no idea if that approach can work today.

Welcome to the site. They won’t be patient. He showed some promise in the playoffs and his performance at the end of the season wasn’t terrible. But that’s not good enough. He has to get better. He’s in the plans for now because that’s the only option but they won’t let him get in their way if they see an opportunity. His status as a 1:1 will not interfere at all with a decision.

I know the house.

As someone who “manages” a lot of “systems”…. 😂

All I can say is if I can do it then I bet most anyone can. I was an athlete in HS. Played baseball and soccer and was decent. But I hated running. As an adult I gained a few pounds a year and in my mid 30s found myself about 40 pounds overweight and out of shape. My wife was a runner so I took it up a little bit. Did a few 5Ks. Then I set a goal to do one under 28 minutes. In 2019 I set a goal to run one race a month and did my first half marathon. Just takes training and building up. When I did a couch to 5K program in 2013 I thought I would have a heart attack after a quarter mile. Each step you think you can’t do it but you do.

Yes. It resumed in 2023. That was the first time I did it. It’s very cool running across the bridge around sunrise.

I just got back from Cobo to pick up my race stuff for Sundays half marathon. Trump is speaking there this evening and already his peeps were down there hanging around the expo. They were easy to spot. Dressed like clowns. MAGA hats aside, the jeans with the flag down one leg, crazy buttons. One thing you never do is judge a runner by their looks or size. They come in all varieties. But Trumps folks still stood out. Think leathery faces with “meth mouth”.

Lucas Raymond too.

You can get a sense from their walk up music.... white dudes have country type songs, the fake bro country. KErry Carpenter has a Christian Praise song. The "Mexicans" get latin pop music. The absolute best walk up song ever was Carlos Guillen's use of T.I.'s "U don't know me". It fit him to a tee. Swagger. Loved that guy.