2025 Detroit Tigers General Discussion Thread

[bobrob2004]

I asked AI to compare my preseason predictions to what the actual player stats are, and this is what it said.  I still plan to do a recap post, butt this is probably better than I could ever come up with. 

 

Got it — let’s turn those preseason expectations into a Projection Accuracy Scorecard so you can see, at a glance, which calls were spot‑on and which ones missed the mark.
Here’s how I’ll score it:
•     5 = Nailed it (projection and reality match almost exactly)
•     4 = Close (small variance, same general outcome)
•     3 = Mixed (some elements right, some wrong)
•     2 = Off (projection missed key outcomes)
•     1 = Way Off (projection and reality were very different)

🎯 2025 Tigers Projection Accuracy

Player	Projection Accuracy Score	Notes
Tarik Skubal	5	Projected as Cy Young‑level ace — delivered elite ERA, WHIP, K’s exactly as forecast.
Jack Flaherty	2	Expected solid rebound; instead had high ERA and HR issues.
Reese Olson	4	ERA and style matched projection, but injuries cut innings.
Casey Mize	4	Slightly higher ERA than projected, but healthy and productive.
Alex Cobb	1	Projection assumed innings; injury erased season.
Jackson Jobe	3	Projection nailed flashes of talent and control issues, but ERA/WHIP slightly better than feared.
Riley Greene	5	Power breakout exactly as predicted, even slightly better.
Kerry Carpenter	5	Platoon usage and power output matched projection perfectly.
Colt Keith	3	Rookie streakiness as forecast, but power/contact slightly below hopes.
Gleyber Torres	4	OBP boost and moderate power as projected; slight HR dip.
Parker Meadows	1	Projection assumed healthy, productive season; injuries and low AVG derailed it.
Matt Vierling	1	Expected modest power uptick; instead had major drop‑off.
Javier Báez	3	Projection was very bearish; he was better than feared but still below prime.
Jake Rogers	4	Defense‑first, low AVG, occasional pop — exactly as expected.
Trey Sweeney	2	Projection hoped for adjustment period with flashes; instead struggled heavily.

📌 Summary Stats
•     Average Score: 3.2 / 5 → Overall, the projections were moderately accurate.
•     Most Accurate Calls: Skubal, Greene, Carpenter.
•     Biggest Misses: Cobb (injury), Meadows, Vierling.
•     Projection Bias: Slight optimism on health and rookie adjustments; otherwise, the tone matched reality for established stars.

[IdahoBert]

I’m going to be mostly MIA for this upcoming series in New York with the evil empire. I’m going up to the mountains in central Idaho for three or four days for my only time this year. So there will be no celebrations on my part about six runs, but I hope they happen anyway. 

Will be doing a lot of hiking, hot springs etc. with one of my oldest best friends. Last year there were terrible fires with ash falling out of the sky and an air quality rating of 500+. Looks like this year‘s fires have subsided and there’s even a little rain on the horizon, which hopefully won’t come with lightning.

Hope the Tigers somehow pull a rabbit out of the hat in the Bronx. Take care all!

 

[1776]

Enjoy your trip, Sir Bert, and be safe! 
Recalibrate for the stretch drive. 

[papalawrence]

3 hours ago, IdahoBert said:

I’m going to be mostly MIA for this upcoming series in New York with the evil empire. I’m going up to the mountains in central Idaho for three or four days for my only time this year. So there will be no celebrations on my part about six runs, but I hope they happen anyway. 

Will be doing a lot of hiking, hot springs etc. with one of my oldest best friends. Last year there were terrible fires with ash falling out of the sky and an air quality rating of 500+. Looks like this year‘s fires have subsided and there’s even a little rain on the horizon, which hopefully won’t come with lightning.

Hope the Tigers somehow pull a rabbit out of the hat in the Bronx. Take care all!

 

Sounds wonderful, enjoy! Stay on the road, keep clear of the moors!

[IdahoBert]

1 hour ago, papalawrence said:

Sounds wonderful, enjoy! Stay on the road, keep clear of the moors!

That’s why I brought Sancho Panza with me. 

[Tigeraholic1]

11 hours ago, IdahoBert said:

That’s why I brought Sancho Panza with me. 

Wow, is that heaven Ray?

[gehringer_2]

12 hours ago, IdahoBert said:

That’s why I brought Sancho Panza with me. 

Bert you have me one-upped. I'll up on the west shore the Keewenah this weekend. I'll get the trees and sky, but no mountains . Lake Superior is cool (literally - it's already snowed up there once), but hard to say anything new in a water under sky picture (at least at my level of graphics skill!)

Edited 18 hours ago by gehringer_2

[oblong]

not a good look for the Ilitch company.  Disappointed in Maybin.