Jump to content

Recommended Posts

Posted
1 minute ago, IdahoBert said:

So, the Brewers have a 19 year-old number one prospect in all of baseball a shortstop named Jesus Made? Sounds like he’s made for the Tigers clubhouse.

Strict agnostic as it turns out.  It would be like naming a drummer Neil or Buddy.

Posted
14 minutes ago, romad1 said:

Strict agnostic as it turns out.  It would be like naming a drummer Neil or Buddy.

I was just trying to be a jerk. But that’s good to know.

Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, chasfh said:

Baseball America throwing cold water on things.

If Tarik Skubal gets traded, the Tigers’ realistic hope won’t be to win the trade—it’ll be to survive it.

For teams trading one of the best pitchers in baseball on an expiring deal, the prospect return rarely comes close to matching what they gave up. That also means the acquiring club will likely have few regrets going forward.

Looking at comparable trades this century, history shows that it’s almost impossible for a team to win a trade when shipping out an ace on an expiring contract. At best, they can avoid losing it too badly. 

I am trying to build some optimism, but this is still my fear.  

And the worst part for you is when everone calls Harris a ***** for not getting a better return.  

Edited by Tiger337
  • Like 1
Posted

Blockbuster trade by Harris.  They are still all in apparently.  

Tigers acquired RHP Zane Barnhart from the Orioles for C Jake Rogers.

The 24-year-old right-hander was a 17th round pick by the Orioles from the 2023 draft class. Barnhart has made 31 appearances at Double-A Chesapeake this season, posting a 4.05 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and a 45/19 K/BB ratio across 40 innings. He’ll add bullpen depth in the upper minors for the Tigers. 
Posted
3 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

Blockbuster trade by Harris.  They are still all in apparently.  

Tigers acquired RHP Zane Barnhart from the Orioles for C Jake Rogers.

The 24-year-old right-hander was a 17th round pick by the Orioles from the 2023 draft class. Barnhart has made 31 appearances at Double-A Chesapeake this season, posting a 4.05 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and a 45/19 K/BB ratio across 40 innings. He’ll add bullpen depth in the upper minors for the Tigers. 

So Bernhart will become the next Verlander, or something like that. 

Posted
2 hours ago, 4hzglory said:

While I get this and it’s why I was against trading Skubal before the season (and up through last week) “losing it too badly” is a bit of an overstatement when the value of the ace on the expiring deal to all of the teams trading said ace was basically 0 for the rest of the season.  Any future value over what they would have received in draft pick compensation was more than the value of that ace for the rest of the season on a losing team.   
 

We probably have the greatest playoff odds of any of those historical teams, but even so, the future value of a ML starter with multiple years of control and ideally ready or almost ready OF is likely more valuable to us at this point than the value of Skubal finishing the season on our team.  We got much more value from Boyd and Norris (including Olsen) than we would have from 2 months of Price in a losing season.

Yes. I understand JJ has to produce content, but he’s stretching to find comparable deals here. First, Skubal is a tier above all of the guys mentioned. Second, the tigers are presently in a more competitive position than any of those teams. That increases the level of return necessary to justify a trade. 
 

Scott Harris knows the hit rate on prospects. He’s not going to settle for a combo package like Avila, mostly because he can legitimately say to every interested team trying to call his bluff that he will just keep Skubal and make the playoffs. And he might be right. 

Posted
19 minutes ago, theroundsquare said:

those guys are raging liberals now, probably interested in letting the poors vote even!

Hopefully has a life where politics doesn't permeate every corner of it.

  • Like 2
Posted
2 hours ago, Shelton said:

Yes. I understand JJ has to produce content, but he’s stretching to find comparable deals here. First, Skubal is a tier above all of the guys mentioned. Second, the tigers are presently in a more competitive position than any of those teams. That increases the level of return necessary to justify a trade. 
 

Scott Harris knows the hit rate on prospects. He’s not going to settle for a combo package like Avila, mostly because he can legitimately say to every interested team trying to call his bluff that he will just keep Skubal and make the playoffs. And he might be right. 

Also have to factor in how many teams that are currently buyers (and conversely, fewer sellers).  This lines up nicely for the Tigers to capitalize on Skubal, Mize and/or Torres.

Posted
3 hours ago, IdahoBert said:

I was just trying to be a jerk. But that’s good to know.

It would be a supreme power move to declare that he was an agnostic with that name.

Posted
4 hours ago, Tiger337 said:

I am trying to build some optimism, but this is still my fear.  

And the worst part for you is when everone calls Harris a ***** for not getting a better return.  

Harris has an extremely small needle to thread here. Anything that is not a sale of Skubal with a return that does not include a major league-ready outfield bat, a backed-rotation-ready pitcher, and a Pipeline numbered prospect for the future, at minimum, is going to be seen as a failure. It won't be fair, but when you have that job, them's the breaks.

Posted
1 minute ago, chasfh said:

Harris has an extremely small needle to thread here. Anything that is not a sale of Skubal with a return that does not include a major league-ready outfield bat, a backed-rotation-ready pitcher, and a Pipeline numbered prospect for the future, at minimum, is going to be seen as a failure. It won't be fair, but when you have that job, them's the breaks.

I agree.  

Posted
18 minutes ago, chasfh said:

Harris has an extremely small needle to thread here. Anything that is not a sale of Skubal with a return that does not include a major league-ready outfield bat, a backed-rotation-ready pitcher, and a Pipeline numbered prospect for the future, at minimum, is going to be seen as a failure. It won't be fair, but when you have that job, them's the breaks.

It will never be enough for most, regardless of the return.  I’m setting my expectations low, similar to how I approach almost every other aspect of my life.  I’m rarely disappointed.

Posted

So today I was listening to "Rogen and Rodney (as in Rodney Peete ) a local LA sports talk show that loves the Dodgers and they were speculating Depala- Wroblesky and Vreeland" for Skubal. I sure wish they were the Dodgers GM.

  • Like 1
Posted
7 hours ago, Tenacious D said:

It will never be enough for most, regardless of the return.  I’m setting my expectations low, similar to how I approach almost every other aspect of my life.  I’m rarely disappointed.

Underpromise and overdeliver.

Posted
9 hours ago, Tenacious D said:

It will never be enough for most, regardless of the return.  I’m setting my expectations low, similar to how I approach almost every other aspect of my life.  I’m rarely disappointed.

Hmm, lets take another angle on this. All IMHO. If the Tigers were trying to get Skubal now, with their own prospects/players what would it take? You have to also consider the competition (LAD, Milw., etc.). Then say to ACTUALLY get him in a trade - what would it take?

The one problem few consider is that SPs like RRay, KGausmen, FPeralta, etc. are also out there. They are not Skubal nor the 'seemingly' difference maker he could be - but teams might settle. With said I do not see the Dodgers really going that far for anyone on the SP market except Skubal. One big reason is that they will consider they may not wish to face him in a series (remember, the LADs have several LH bats in their lineup). The other SPs, more than likely, do not scare them as much.

Point for the aforementioned is that Milw., etc., will have to put forth a pretty strong package to obtain him, rental or not. 

BTW, the LADS also wish to three-peat. That will motivate them and the fact that they have surplus prospects does not hurt.

So, I ask again what would the Tigers, hypothetically speaking, have to come up with to ACTUALLY beat the offers from other teams?

That is why Detroit should get a stronger package (IF they do decide to deal him) than maybe what some pundits feel (ex BA). I am not saying it will be earth shattering - but it should be 2 pretty good prospect/players (and an addition or two) or one top level type plus a couple other pieces (here scouting is important).

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)
16 hours ago, NorthWoods said:

I won't argue Hiller for long mostly because of the multiple innings difference.   But I would still take Willie over Henneman.   

Willie 6yrs 358games 120Saves 483IP ERA+135 ERA3.52

Henneman 9yrs 491games 154saves 669IP  ERA+136  ERA3.40

Hiller 15yrs 545games 125saves 1242IP ERA+134  ERA3.39

Kind of amazing how similar the ERA+/ERAs are between the 3 

I'd guess the Hiller difference in number of appearances per year is directly relatable to complete games.

It's definitely debatable.  Hernandez had the better peak.  Henneman pitched more years and innings.  Peak versus career is always tricky when doing these lists.  The other thing that's hard in ranking relievers is that roles have changed so much over the years.  Today, most closers pitch one inning and also in save situations and some of those situations are not so impressive.  Go back to the 70s and Hiller was a closer, set-up man, middle reliever and spot starter all wrapped in one.  I don't think Jones could have done that.  Hermandez probably could have, but it might have impacted his rate stats.  

Edited by Tiger337

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...