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The gambling stuff is out of control. It needs to go the way of tobacco advertising.

Incidentally, the Tigers now control their destiny. If the Tigers go 9-0, they’re in. Because either the Twins lose a game or if they don’t, the Twins will defeat the Orioles 3 times. Which would give Baltimore at least 6 losses considering the Tigers beating them 3 times.

Robinson's spokesman speaks on the news last night

Ohtani gets to 50/50 and then 51/51 with one of the most unreal days ever. 6 FOR 6 3 HRS 2 2B 2 SB 10 RBI

Oriole Park at Camden Yards Baltimore, MD Game Time Forecast: Partly Coudy 80 Listen: 97.1 The Ticket Watch: Apple TV+ Starters: TBD RHP Corbin Burnes

The whole roster seems to be reaching the next level of what they are capable of all at the same time.

I just checked today’s numbers. FG still thinks the current tigers team would play .496 against a neutral .500 team. FG also thinks the current twins would play .523 ball against a neutral .500 team. I’m sure the system has its reasons for this, but this does not pass the smell test to me.

It doesn’t happen all the time. It happens some of the time. For instance, some percentage of the time. Almost like a probability.

Everyone has a plan until Corbin Burnes throws a filthy pitch a few inches below the zone that CB Bucknor calls a strike.

Nope. No error.

Burnes/Bucknor is a brutal combination to hit on.

I hate Lululemon logo being digitized into the mound.

Carpenter is a DH. Verling is an excellent right fielder. Just stop tinkering

They just showed a Chevrolet ad where the man in the car was wearing a Tigers cap.

I wonder if Glasgow’s knee explains how bad he was in pass protection last Sunday. Looking around the league, we can’t complain much about this injury report.

yeah, he didn't let them strike he did go to bat for them hard, browbeating the RR's into giving them most/all they would have gotten out of a strike.

I'll be accessing the Capt. Jack Sparrow stream, matey.

Have to rememeber as well that despite winning by a big margin, Whitmer did worse with these sorts of voters than Biden 2020 did. So much fretting over these voters, and while it isn't totally unimportant, they are around ~1% of registered voters in Michigan and the margins were likely always going to be a little worse regardless of October 7th.

Everyone needs to stream to the east tonight.

FanGraphs

Max should announce his community service will be starting a group to expand gay and women's rights in Saudi Arabia.

ESPN only exists as league PR mouthpieces and gambling.

It amazes me that we’ve had the best record in the majors for the past 6 weeks but we are ranked 16th in power rankings by ESPN and haven’t really moved up more than 2 or 3 spots. I wish I wrote articles for ESPN….must be the easiest job in journalism.

I bought a new iPhone a few weeks ago and pretty sure that comes with 3 months of Apple TV+

They are based on playing time projections, but to my knowledge they do not make an attempt to figure out opposing platoon splits. They may bake those into playing time projections though? Like if the Tigers were projected to face 10 straight lefties, I think their system would weight Andy Ibanez a bit more than Jace Jung, or at least it should. What I like about projection system based systems is it does factor in who is playing. Odds change (slightly) at the trade deadline. Odds change when a star player gets hurt. They are my go to.

This is fish-in-a-barrel stuff

Damn sucks the game is on AppleTV plus. Was going to go to our local watering hole with some friends to watch it but I'm not sure they have it.

Best choice is to have him available for the last game if it's a must win and if you're lucky you can save him for the wildcard round.

There is some team getting hot or cold somewhere right now!

If a team was in every way a static entity, then you would just look at the season win-loss record and who was left to play (and their records) and the probability you'd get would be the best available predictor. I assume FG and ESPN do something like that. But we know a team is not a static entity. The personnel is always in flux, and the players themselves go through arcs of injury and health, some of which never even become public. Some young players are in a real process of getting better over the course of a year, maybe an older one irreversibly starts to break down. So the art of handicapping in large part turns on how far back do you want to go to get the 'best' estimate of a team's likely winning rate over the next X games. The further back you go, the stronger the statistical 'power' in the estimate, but the more your assumption that you are looking at the 'same' team all across the sample may be breaking down. If you take the whole season, since their records are exactly equal the best estimate would be the Twins and Tigers will win the same number of games of the next 9 so Minny end up winning by the tie-breaker (ignoring the difference in the quality of the opposition just for the sake of outlining the argument). If you look from the ASB, the Tigers would be slightly favored. If you look at the last 30, the Tigers would be clearly favored. Pay your money and take your choice! (if you like to gamble that is.......) 🤷‍♀️

I think playoff odds are pretty much useless at this point in the season.

It’s so cute to hear other announcers for other American League teams talk about their own “Cy Young” candidates. Ha!

The Tigers’ playoff push is the Red Wings’ stretch run in reverse.

I'm glad Eric and Trump Jr are keeping their father humble.

Now why would the Iranian ambassador have a Hezbollah pager? OK, I admit, dumb question.