Tiger337 Posted Saturday at 09:40 PM Posted Saturday at 09:40 PM 1 minute ago, chasfh said: OK, I’m starting to sense a pattern here I think can be summed up by this decision tree. projection. 😉 Quote
Sports_Freak Posted Saturday at 10:29 PM Posted Saturday at 10:29 PM 1 hour ago, tiger2022 said: Harris should be fired. He hasn't helped the offense since he has been here. People gush over him because he says the word analytics. No, using analytics is a good thing, used properly. Just like anything else, used incorrectly and it can be a disaster. Quote
UCFKNIGHT Posted Saturday at 10:31 PM Posted Saturday at 10:31 PM I just hope this 2026 season doesn't become another 2003 season. Watching Kevin Witt and Chris Truby each night was a mentally exhausting experience. Quote
Sports_Freak Posted Saturday at 10:34 PM Posted Saturday at 10:34 PM (edited) An explanation of analytics used incorrectly; Edited Saturday at 10:35 PM by Sports_Freak Quote
Motor City Sonics Posted Saturday at 10:36 PM Posted Saturday at 10:36 PM Another embarrassment. No changes will be made unless there's an injury. They're tanking to justify trading Skubal to the fans. Quote
Sports_Freak Posted Saturday at 10:42 PM Posted Saturday at 10:42 PM 3 minutes ago, Motor City Sonics said: Another embarrassment. No changes will be made unless there's an injury. They're tanking to justify trading Skubal to the fans. They increased the payroll to ~$200 million and decided to tank? When Harris never makes any significant trades? No way, it's just very poor management, injuries and players not performing. A perfect storm of suckatude. Not going to go into a conspiracy theory level..... Quote
papalawrence Posted Saturday at 10:44 PM Posted Saturday at 10:44 PM 12 games out prior to June 1. Nobody on the planet foresaw this Quote
SoCalTiger Posted Saturday at 11:20 PM Posted Saturday at 11:20 PM Nobody is getting fired nor should they. Are there things that I would like to be done differently heck yes ! Am I glad it's Harris making these decisions and not me double heck yes !!! We over performed the last two years and it was reasonable to expect improvement from the same players plus Kevin McGonigle plus Framer Valdez and two more veteran bullpen arms. Regression, injuries and older guys falling off the cliff all happened at the same time equaling FUBAR for 2026. The best way to learn, and the hardest, is trail and error and failure. Harris has now experienced this and he will learn from that and make adjustments. IF he doesn't THEN you get the pitch forks out and I will lead the charge. Now is Scott Harris's moment of truth. Quote
tiger2022 Posted yesterday at 01:22 AM Posted yesterday at 01:22 AM 2 hours ago, Sports_Freak said: No, using analytics is a good thing, used properly. Just like anything else, used incorrectly and it can be a disaster. I'm not saying it's bad, but it's just a buzz word that he throws out there to sound impressive. Quote
papalawrence Posted yesterday at 01:30 AM Posted yesterday at 01:30 AM Half game up on the Rockies for worst in mlb. Next up, at Tampa where the Rays are 20-6. Good times ahead.... Quote
tiger2022 Posted yesterday at 01:33 AM Posted yesterday at 01:33 AM 1 minute ago, papalawrence said: Half game up on the Rockies for worst in mlb. Next up, at Tampa where the Rays are 20-6. Good times ahead.... Looking too far ahead. They still have to get their ass kicked tomorrow by the ChiSox. Quote
1984Echoes Posted yesterday at 02:46 AM Posted yesterday at 02:46 AM This year feels a lot like 2008. Quote
buddha Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM Posted yesterday at 03:06 AM This is why you go for it when you have the chance. you never know what next year brings. progress is not linear. 2 Quote
tiger2022 Posted 22 hours ago Posted 22 hours ago So Charlie Morton amd Chris Paddack isn't the definition of going for it? 1 Quote
monkeytargets39 Posted 21 hours ago Posted 21 hours ago 7 hours ago, buddha said: This is why you go for it when you have the chance. you never know what next year brings. progress is not linear. Which is how you convince someone to overpay for 1/3 of a season of Skubal Quote
Tiger337 Posted 20 hours ago Posted 20 hours ago 13 hours ago, Sports_Freak said: An explanation of analytics used incorrectly; I see some Padre bias in here! It's pretty general all along and then all of the sudden it throws in a Larry Walker/ Tony Gwynn comparison. I think someone was upset that Gwynn and Walker have about the same WAR. 😁 Quote
buddha Posted 20 hours ago Posted 20 hours ago 1 hour ago, monkeytargets39 said: Which is how you convince someone to overpay for 1/3 of a season of Skubal flags fly forever. 1 Quote
tiger2022 Posted 19 hours ago Posted 19 hours ago (edited) Trading for a guy who can give you a legit shot to win it all is much better than keeping prospects that won't ever contribute to the big league club or will give you 5 or 6 years of mediocrity from Jeimer Candelaria-esque players. A few years ago they could have traded guys like Jace Jung for established players to help down the stretch but can't give up any prospects. Edited 19 hours ago by tiger2022 1 Quote
chasfh Posted 18 hours ago Posted 18 hours ago If anyone despises analytics and wants them out of the game, there are literally thousands of games on YouTube from the 1990s and before that they can go and enjoy. Quote
tiger2022 Posted 17 hours ago Posted 17 hours ago (edited) 43 minutes ago, chasfh said: If anyone despises analytics and wants them out of the game, there are literally thousands of games on YouTube from the 1990s and before that they can go and enjoy. That's not what anyone is saying. They are saying the guy we have who is running the analytics sucks at his job. Mr. Harris Edited 17 hours ago by tiger2022 1 Quote
gehringer_2 Posted 16 hours ago Posted 16 hours ago (edited) 1 hour ago, tiger2022 said: That's not what anyone is saying. They are saying the guy we have who is running the analytics sucks at his job. Mr. Harris Analytics is no panacea in the player development process, it's still only a tool that can tell you much more accurately what a guy is now, and help you show a guy what to do next; but projecting what guys will be in two or three years after they put in more or less work or get more or less strong or big or do or don't take care of their conditioning or end up more or less injured is still a very inexact science because you have a very non-analytic human being at the center of the process - and great analytics is also no guarantee you have the good coaching to pair with it. You're not going to improve many players by just throwing spreadsheets at them - you need people with people skills to instruct and motivate. Edited 16 hours ago by gehringer_2 Quote
Sports_Freak Posted 15 hours ago Posted 15 hours ago 4 hours ago, Tiger337 said: I see some Padre bias in here! It's pretty general all along and then all of the sudden it throws in a Larry Walker/ Tony Gwynn comparison. I think someone was upset that Gwynn and Walker have about the same WAR. 😁 Its just showing how bad it is cherry picking one stat over a lot of other data. WAR says they're equal? IDK, but if it does, it's a flawed stat. Quote
Sports_Freak Posted 15 hours ago Posted 15 hours ago 3 hours ago, tiger2022 said: Trading for a guy who can give you a legit shot to win it all is much better than keeping prospects that won't ever contribute to the big league club or will give you 5 or 6 years of mediocrity from Jeimer Candelaria-esque players. A few years ago they could have traded guys like Jace Jung for established players to help down the stretch but can't give up any prospects. And it's a real cop out when you hear people say "well, the guy you wanted to trade for didnt do any good, anyway." Like anyone could predict future accomplishments. Making trades for established players shows that at least you're trying to get better. And never, ever, stop trying to get better. Its literally his only job. Quote
chasfh Posted 12 hours ago Posted 12 hours ago 3 hours ago, Sports_Freak said: Its just showing how bad it is cherry picking one stat over a lot of other data. WAR says they're equal? IDK, but if it does, it's a flawed stat. Larry Walker has a higher WAR than Tony Gwynn. But why do think that makes WAR a flawed stat? Why do you think Tony Gwynn should be considered much better than Larry Walker? I’ve included some head to head stats to make it easy for you to make your case to us. Quote
gehringer_2 Posted 12 hours ago Posted 12 hours ago interesting that Walker actually makes up the difference in BA with a better OBP. You can certainly be the best hitter for average in the game but not be anything like the most valuable hitter in the game, but even by a narrower definition of pure hitting (i.e. ignoring power), I would still take OBP (fewest out made per PA) as a better indicator of a pure hitter than BA, so Walker still wins the comparison. Quote
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