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Well in his rookie year, Keith hit .305 vs LHP in 84 ABs. That was enough for us to only give him half that many ABs vs LHP the following year and basically none this year. So we gave up completely on our 23/24 year old prospect hitting vs LHP despite some data suggesting that maybe he could be solid. We’ve replaced a bunch of those ABs with a journeyman minor leaguer who he got for next to nothing. He only got 100 or so ABs vs LHP last year and did great—but now he’s got 48 this year with 16 Ks and is hitting under .200 and that’s supposed to be his calling card. Wouldn’t the long term data suggest that Jones just isn’t a good player seeing that none of the other 29 teams in the majors ever gave him any real MLB at bats? If it’s just gonna be about long term data and trends, be consistent player to player with it.

I tend to agree. I use it mostly to help describe what has happened in the past. Some of the elements of the various WARs are indeed predictive of the future, but when you try to mix all the parts together, there are a lot of things that can change in the future. For the future, it only works as baseline.

Anderson 0.5 and Madden 0.2 have been nice surprises so far.

WAR May 22, 2025 vs May 22, 2026 Skubal 2.2 vs 1.5 Mize 0.7 vs 1.5 Montero -0.1 vs 0.6 Flaherty 0.4 vs 0.2 Vest 0.6 vs 0.2 Hurter 0.1 vs 0.1 Hanifee 0.2 vs 0.1 Holton -0.1 vs 0 Just for fun, Olson 1.3 vs Valdez 0.6

Yeah, I don't buy into all the handwringing about Cossa. He’s played 41 and 39 games in the AHL and looked pretty good outside of losing steam. He needs to be in the NHL with NHL coaching and NHL training facilities. He needs to practice against NHL players and play 25 games with Postava coming up to spot start and Gibson dialing it back from 57 starts (second-most in his career) to 50 or just under. Gibson wore out at the end of the season too.

The Tigers appeared in that story more than I would have guessed.

I guess if the game gets rained out, we can't lose right? This time will find a way!

At what point does short-term data become useful? If a .300 hitter, goes in a slump for 3 days, do you start treating like a .250 hitter? Is it one week? A month? What if you decide that it's time to make a change and then he goes back to being a .300 hitter again. How long do you wait before you are sure he is now a .300 hitter again? It seems a lot like trying to time the market!

my knee hurts. so, also the fans

This is what I mean about Hinch being a guy who doesn't want to be told about short term trends. Jones' OBP against LHP is less than 300 *this* season. Any rational approach to llne-up construction based on recent outcomes would not have him in the 3 spot, but his OBP over the longer term of with last season was 398 - sure bat him 3rd against a LHP. You can have all the data and analytics you want, but at some point you still have to apply judgments about how to use the data that are beyond what the data can tell you about the player.

Remember the Paul DeJong signing? Season ending hamstring surgery. At some point we’re going to find out the Tigers’ training staff and surgeons are also succumbing to injury. Maybe even some of the Commercial Park event staff, too.

Yeah, they’re great. I might put the aroma of the first crockpot of chili in fall as a top tier smell. This one is going to sound absolutely bizarre and I’m not going to apologize for it. The smell of the infield dirt from a baseball/softball diamond.

I'm as down on Duren's playoff run as anybody but 5 years $100-125m is a major lowball offer. He'd easily get 5 years $150m on the open market even with his flaws. He was in line for something like 5 years $200m prior to the playoffs with him being an All Star and getting All NBA mention. I don't think his playoff performance in a relatively small sample size cut his potential contract in half. I think 5 years $150m is reasonable for all parties but would also understand if some wanted to move on from Duren completely.

I don’t know. Jones is on the roster as the resident vs LHP specialist. If you want to flip Greene and Jones, fine. I guess I don’t have an issue with the top 4 as is. I might go McGonigle, Jones, Greene, Dingler, or Jones, McGonigle, Greene, Dingler. But I don’t know how you optimize the batting 5 hitters. I guess Torkelson at 5 makes sense. After that, I’m not sure how to argue one way or another. Nobody is hitting, so I’m not sure what to do.

The problem is the economy might not have survived 4 more years of JC. We were headed for hyperinflation and Carter - and much of the traditional central banking community, had no idea what to do about it. Looking back I find it weird because the one thing Carter was, was a smart guy. If he have been willing to sit down with a Paul Volker or Milton Friedman or maybe even James Baker he certainly had the intellect to understand why it was critical that the 'new' monetarist paradigm had to be put in place at the Federal Reserve. But for whatever reason he never got there, and for all the talk about the Rose Garden and Iran, it was inflation that doomed his presidency. His fecklessness on Iran was just icing on the cake of a failed economic situation. I really wanted him to succeed, but at that point in his life he (and his team) were too sure of themselves to see when they needed to go get some better advice.

Jahmai Jones batting third and Wenceel batting 6th. I don’t blame the teams bad performance too much on Hinch, but he’s getting to the point where he deserves to be on the hot seat for this kind of stuff.

If his issue is that he runs out of steam, then limit his starts. Which you would do naturally anyways. 20-25 as a backup. Can build up from there. Not unlike innings limits on young pitchers, no?

we were all fooling ourselves if we thought they would get creative with duren or not have to pay. ausar/duren/cade is the core of the team. get used to it (and second round playoff exits).

He is ready to be an NHL backup. Late season struggles are either energy or psychology. Does he lose the stamina or does he wilt under pressure? The guy is six and a half feet tall, so it wouldn’t surprise me if his muscles are still catching up to his bones.

Maybe he can apply for some of that $1776 Billion Trump Money

we're going to find out, because he has to be on the nhl roster this year.

At some point it has to be sink or swim no? Cossa needs to just be called up and given the chance to play at NHL game speed, against NHL talent. The guy is going to be 24, if he isn't ready at 24, then when?

Did they call tonight's game yet? This whole weekend may be a wash out.